Red Line Report’s 2013 NHL Draft Guide

Red Line Report’s 2013 NHL draft guide is out–here’s a look at their final top-30 rankings along with my thoughts on the publication (for last year’s go here and for their predictive success go here):

1. Seth Jones
2. Jonathan Drouin
3. Nathan MacKinnon
4. Aleksander Barkov
5. Valeri Nichushkin
6. Sean Monahan
7. Elias Lindholm
8. Darnell Nurse
9. Max Domi
10. Bo Horvat
11. Adam Erne
12. Hunter Shinkaruk
13. Rasmus Ristolainen
14. Ryan Hartman
15. Samuel Morin
16. Nikita Zadorov
17. Josh Morrissey
18. Ryan Pulock
19. Alex Wennberg
20. J. T. Compher
21. Emile Poirer
22. Curtis Lazar
23. Kerby Rychel
24. Steve Santini
25. William Carrier
26. Valentin Zykov
27. Morgan Klimchuk
28. Tom Vannelli
29. Mirco Mueller
30. Nic Petan

RLR lists 315 players eligible for the draft (more than any source other than Central Scouting), providing scouting profiles for the top-115.  The guide isn’t intended for fantasy fans, as RLR is a professional scouting source and their list represents how they assess the talent rather than where they see the players being picked (they include a list of players they think will be picked higher or lower than their own assessment; it’s worth noting RLR puts more value on players in the States than any other source).  There are two first round mock drafts, in the first they have the Sens picking Josh Morrissey:

Durable two-way defender may have just average size, but his skating, hockey sense and physical edge remind the Sens of another player they have on the blue line by the name of Karlsson.

In the second mock draft they have the Sens picking Alex Wennberg:

Have you taken a look recently at the success Ottawa has had with Swedes in the top rounds? And this kid’s style is a nice fit on their club.

They also offer organisational analysis and for Ottawa write:

Erik Karlsson just turned 23, and really nothing else needs to be said. In Karlsson, Kyle Turris, Jared Cowen, Robyn Lehner, Patrick Wiercioch, Mika Zibanejad and Jacob Silfverberg, the Senators have a fascinating core of younger players who are going to contribute more as they mature. Like most teams, the Senators could use more scoring, and a Daniel Alfredsson retirement would make that need more acute. But GM Bryan Murray has enough assets to add some goals. Defenceman Sergei Gonchar wants to play a couple more seasons, and the Senators may not want to pay his price tag – so the Sens could be shopping in the veteran defenceman market. Tim Murray, Bryan’s nephew, is responsible for drafting much of the young nucleus.

Like McKeen’s RLR includes sleeper picks, but those players are also part of their overall rankings which makes their selection easier to assess.  They include three overage European players eligible for the draft who aren’t part of their master list: Viktor Antipin (he of the Andrey Osadchenko-based Sens rumour in January), Martin Janmark-Nylen (presumably they mean Mattias Janmark Nylen from AIK), and Tomas Nosek.

They also have a list of top European free agents (11 are listed): Antti Raanta (signed by Chicago), Reto Berra (signed by Calgary), Jakub Svoboda, Ilari Melart (signed by Columbus), Juhamatti Aaltonen, Joacim Eriksson (signed by Vancouver), Jerome Flaake, Denis Hollenstein, Jimmie Ericsson, Dick Axelsson, and Reto Suri (signed by Tampa).

Red Line Report is an excellent product, but it’s expensive (only ISS costs more) and while entertainingly written it’s not aimed at casual or fantasy fans–it’s a serious resource for serious draft nerds.  The one comparative criticism I’d offer is that RLR contains fewer scouting profiles than every other draft guide other than The Hockey News.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

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  1. […] Red Line Report’s 2013 NHL Draft Guide […]

  2. […] my look at their top-30 rankings and thoughts about the publication (for the last two year’s go here and here).  In terms of accuracy here are their last three years (compared to Future […]

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