Senators News: September 17

There’s plenty of Sens news to look at today:

The Ottawa Citizen‘s James Gordon talked to Bryan Murray (link) who had some interesting things to say. Murray said he’d been targeting Craig Anderson back when he was playing for the Florida Panthers (08-09), but decided to trade for Pascal Leclaire instead; Gordon also writes “The team is interested to see where Peter Regin is now after a terribly disappointing year. Regin got hurt, but he also languished under coach Cory Clouston. Murray said Paul MacLean and his staff bring a “newness” and an ability to communicate, which sometimes results in “the performance of a lifetime” from some players in training camp.”  I’m not sure if Gordon’s comments are via Murray or his own, but Clouston’s communication problems are well-established.

The Ottawa Sun‘s Don Brennan also writes about Regin (link) about whom Bryan Murray said “I think it [the coaching change] helps Peter, because Peter felt he wasn’t getting everything he could get last year.”  Regin himself added, “I think I can help the team win some games and really be a guy that puts up points more often than I did. And my two-way game, working in my own end, too, and be responsible. The whole package. I never got into that last year and that’s what I want to find this year.”  I agree that Clouston did not give Regin much rope last season, so it will be interesting to see how he performs with a clean slate under MacLean.

-Elliotte Friedman was on The Fan 590 yesterday and had some interesting comments about the Senators and Ottawa fans: “They’re [the team] a long way away.  Ottawa’s fans…they jump off the bandwagon pretty quick.”  The sentiment seems common outside the region.  The commentators (Friedman along with Stephen Brunt and John Shannon) also believed the Sens organisational depth was below Edmonton’s (the other rebuilding Canadian team) and had a long way to go.

-Senators training camp has been divided into three rosters (link), here are the groupings:

Boschman
32 Machovsky
41 Anderson
17 Kuba
38 Conboy
39 Carkner
46 Wiercioch
63 Godfrey
65 Karlsson
6 Kramer
14 Greening
15 Smith
16 Butler
19 Spezza
21 Filatov
37 Locke
42 O’Brien
50 Culek
56 Downing
57 Grant
60 Stone
Kyte
29 McKenna
35 Auld
2 Cowen
51 Raymond
55 Gonchar
62 Gryba
64 Schira
9 Michalek
10 Prince
11 Alfredsson
24 Da Costa
27 Parrish
44 Pageau
48 Cannone
49 Lessard
53 Hamilton
54 Cowick
58 Gratchev
68 Hoffman
93 Zibanejad
Marsh
30 Stewart
40 Lehner
4 Phillips
5 Lee
7 Rundblad
52 Fransoo
74 Borowiecki
3 Puempel
13 Regin
17 Foligno
18 Winchester
20 Petersson
22 Condra
23 Daugavins
25 Neil
28 Konopka
36 Noesen
59 Dziurzynski
67 Caporusso

-Corey Pronman of Hockey Prospectus lists the top-100 NHL Prospects (link).  7 Sens made the main list (goalies were listed separately, so 8 including them):
17. David Rundblad
21. Mika Zibanejad
40. Nikita Filatov
46. Stephane Da Costa
76. Jared Cowen
85. Jakob Silfverberg
90. Patrick Wiercioch
4. Robin Lehner

-John Henkelman of Hockey Futures has updated the Senators prospect rankings.  Here are his top-20 (change from the previous ranking in brackets):
1. David Rundblad
2. Jared Cowen
3. Mika Zibanejad
4. Robin Lehner (3)
5. Jakob Silfverberg (4)
6. Matt Puempel
7. Nikita Filatov
8. Bobby Butler (7)
9. Patrick Wiercioch (5)
10. Colin Greening (14)
11. Erik Condra (9)
12. Stefan Noesen
13. Stephane Da Costa
14. Jim O’Brien (8)
15. Andre Petersson (13)
16. Mark Stone (19)
17. Mark Borowiecki (NR)
18. Eric Gryba (12)
19. Louie Caporusso (6)
20. Shane Prince

-Binghamton signed Ottawa training camp invites Maxim Gratchev (KHL 13-0-0-0) and Brian Stewart (4-5-0 3.05 .891) to AHL contracts (link).

Senators News: September 16

Sens training camp opened today with medicals.  The news of interest:

The Ottawa Citizen‘s Ken Warren writes about the expectations for the team (link).  Alfredsson said, “The expectations are not as high as we’ve had previously, but I think we’ve got a real good group of guys that can play to a real high level.  And who knows how far that’s going to take us? I think we’ll be exciting to watch and come February or March, I hope we’re in position to make a push for the playoffs. But most importantly, we hope to see progress.”  Paul MacLean said, “I don’t know who they are [people predicting Ottawa will finish last], but that doesn’t really matter, either. All I want to do is to get better every day. Do things right. Do it right every day.

The Ottawa Sun‘s Don Brennan talked to Daniel Alfredsson about his health (link), who said “I don’t think anybody’s going to camp 100%.  But I feel good, and obviously excited to start off. Training has been going good so far. I’m happy where I am. As you get older, that’s going to be tougher and tougher, but we’ll assess the situation, how I feel, as we go along. Starting off, I expect to play a lot.

-The Elmira Jackels announced three more signings (link): Dominic D’Amour (3-88 2002 Tor, CHL 59-11-12-23), Michael Devin (NCAA 34-6-10-16), and Jordan Lane (CHL 61-3-0-3)

Red Line Report‘s latest 2012 draft preview is out.  Here’s their top-thirty (with the position changes noted):
1. Nail Yakupov (Sarnia, OHL)
2. Nick Ebert (Windsor, OHL)
3. Ryan Murray (Everett, WHL)
4. Henrik Samuelsson (US NTDP, USHL) (+1)
5. Filip Forsberg (Leksand, Sweden) (+6)
6. Griffin Reinhart (Edmonton, WHL) (-2)
7. Alex Galchenyuk (Sarnia, OHL)
8. Zemgus Girgensons (Dubuque, USHL) (+1)
9. Mikhail Grigorenko (Quebec, QMJHL) (-3)
10. Olli Maatta (London, OHL) (-2)
11. Morgan Rielly (Moose Jaw, WHL) (-1)
12. Matt Dumba (Red Deer, WHL)
13. Sebastian Collberg (Frolunda, Sweden) (+2)
14. Jacob Trouba (US NTDP, USHL) (-1)
15. Martin Frk (Halifax, QMJHL) (-1)
16. Slater Koekkoek (Peterborough, OHL) (+2)
17. Jordan Schmaltz (Sioux City, USHL) (-1)
18. Derrick Pouliot (Portland, WHL) (-1)
19. Pontus Aberg (Djurgarden, Sweden)
20. Matia Marcantuoni (Kitchener, OHL)
21. Eric Locke (Barrie, OHL) (+1)
22. Calle Andersson (Malmo, Sweden) (+11)
23. Gianluca Curcuruto (Sault Ste. Marie, OHL) (-2)
24. Cody Ceci (Ottawa 67s, OHL) (+1)
25. Chandler Stephenson (Regina, WHL) (-2)
26. Brendan Gaunce (Belleville, OHL) (-2)
27. Teuvo Teravainen (Jokerit, Finland) (+1)
28. Troy Bourke (Prince George, WHL) (+3)
29. Damon Severson (Kelowna, WHL) (+3)
30. Jarrod Maidens (Owen Sound, OHL) (+7)
Falling out of the top-30: Scott Laughton (#31, -1), Ryan Olsen (#36, -9), Patrik Machac (#36, -7), and Luca Ciampini (#40, -13)

Senators News: September 15

Here’s the Sens news of the day along with scouting reports via McKeen’s:

-Tim Murray was interviewed on The Team 1200 yesterday (September 14) about the rookie tournament (link).  There wasn’t much new in his comments, but in summary: he said Mika Zibanejad would have to receive at least top-nine minutes to make the NHL club; thinks David Rundblad will do even better playing with better players and thinks he’s a little ahead of the other defensemen; he was happy with most of the lineup, specifically mentioning Andre Petersson, Louie Caporusso, Mark Stone, Mark Borowiecki, and Stephane Da Costa; he says there’s one blueline spot to be earned in Ottawa.

-Rob Brodie wrote an article on Colin Greening (link), whose outlook is very realistic, “I thought I was very fortunate to be up for 24 games last year, but that was last year. With a new season comes a new set of challenges and hurdles to get over. It’s all part of coming to camp. The prospect of potentially making the team out of camp is very exciting for me. I hope it happens for me, but that’s up to me right now. It depends on how I play in camp.

David Rundblad writes about the rookie tournament experience in his blog (link); Google translation provides the gist of what he’s saying (along with some hilarious errors), but in general he was happy with how the tournament went (but was unimpressed with how yappy Leaf rookies were).

The Ottawa Sun‘s Bruce Garrioch provides his five-keys to the Sens making the playoffs (link). His keys are: 1) a solid Craig Anderson, 2) a healthy Daniel Alfredsson (with the assumption that means he’ll be productive), 3) buying into Paul MacLean’s system, 4) a strong performance from Jason Spezza, and 5) rebound years from Sergei Gonchar and Chris Phillips (and no, I don’t know why these two players count as a single reason).  His criteria closely echoes other commentators in regards to veterans needing bounceback years.

-The Senators training camp roster has been released (link).  There are only six players on tryouts (two amateur, four professional).  Among the tryouts only three are unsigned within the organisation and they are:
Matej Machovksy (OHL 7-13-2 2.90 .904); attended the rookie tournament
Brian Stewart (AHL 4-5-3 3.05 .891)
Maxim Gratchev (4-106 2007 NYI, KHL 13-0-0-0); played 17-games with Binghamton  two years ago (09-10)

McKeen‘s yearbook includes scouting reports on David Rundblad, Patrick Wiercioch, Stephane Da CostaColin Greening, Mika Zibanejad, Robin Lehner, Jared Cowen, and Nikita Filatov.  Their analysis:

Rundblad (4.5/5) – “big, skilled, strong-shooting rearguard .. puck-control type, comfortable in possession and supported by a wide wingspang and good stickhandling skills .. quick to identify offensive openings and is a talented and accurate passer – tailors his speed and delivery .. still prone to overhandling the puck at times .. not a pretty skater – stride is short and mechanical .. uncomfortable moving backwards – generates nominal speed, while his pivots can be rough and sluggish .. compensates by patiently sustaining his positioning, but will concede the outside lane to puckcarriers .. displays good poise and shooting instincts running the power play .. keeps shots low and into areas for easier tips .. a high risk-reward type however – pinches aggressively and will forsake his defensive duties

Wiercioch (3/5) – “talented rearguard with good puck skills and deceiving mobility .. adept on his feet .. displays good co-ordination and all-around footwork, only needing to get quicker which should evolve as his lower body strengthens .. still growing into spacious frame .. comfortable and composed in possession [of the puck] – transitions the puck well and is a strong passer with a knack for finding open seams .. gets his point shot through to the net and keeps it low .. still developing defensively – and learning the nuances of defending pro speed and strength – which will mandate better gap control and crease-area coverage .. can be slow to identify threats and establish tight checking positions .. gets drawn up ice watching for ways to join the attack .. good upside as a strong top four NHL blueliners – with the proper refinements

Stephane Da Costa (2.5/5) – “methodical two-way playmaker with soft hands .. smooth, sturdy skater .. reacts quickly to changes – body and stick well-prepared .. talented puckcarrier, poised and skillful in possession .. makes tight, compact turns and subtle diagonal shifts to open up lanes .. accurate passer with a knack for sneaking feeds through seams .. delays his release point for an extra moment which opens up more options – and adds to his craftiness .. right-hand shooter on the powerplay, boasting a strong one-time plus an unassuming wristshot that generates surprising velocity .. neither big, belligerent or overly strong, however he is competitive and balanced – and guided by good sense and awareness .. manages the puck well thanks to a structured and responsible game – always back in proper support positions .. will fare better if he can get stronger over the summer

Colin Greening (2.5/5) – “big, strong two-way winger .. adequate puckhandler whose prime weapon is a heavy slapshot powered by a quick release .. hard-working and diligent defensively .. deceptive skater – not overly explosive or quick off the mark, yet generates excellent top speed from a wide, sturdy stride .. plays in the hard areas – earns time on the penalty kill .. excels on the forecheck and grinding along the boards – using his thick frame to body opponents off the puck .. displays solid net-front presence – gets into shooting lanes for tips – and on top of the crease with his stick and body in good position

Mika Zibanejad (4.5/5) – “determined two-way forward with good size and smarts .. anticipates the game well on both sides of the puck .. versatile – plays the wing and also mans the point on the power play .. talented passer and stickhandler, supported by quick, soft hands and a range upper body .. crafty 1-on1, boasting wide stick-handling range and clever moves to open up space for a heavy shot .. good developing skater .. top speed is fine, generates deceiving power from a wide, gangly stride .. startup and acceleration could be quicker .. must continue to get stronger and more balanced on his feet .. responsible – comes back deep on the backcheck and is comfortable operating in traffic .. knows how to use his body to play a tenacious physical game

Robin Lehner (4.5/5) – “big competitive goalie .. cocky, colourful, brimming with self-confidence .. plays an energetic stay-at-home style based on positioning and net coverage .. collapses rapidly to a tight butterfly, displaying excellent vertical quickness .. makes himself look tall, filling the top of the net with an imposing upper torso .. can be hesitant to aggressively cut down angles .. gets stranded on his pads when dropping prematurely, particularly moving laterally into a butterfly .. does a good job controlling rebounds off his chest, but can give up juicy ones on low shots

Jared Cowen (4.5/5) – “tough, strong-willed and studious .. excels as a proactive crease-clearer – knows how to use his size and strength to box out intruders .. does possess decent skills for his size and some imagination .. steadily adding velocity to a hard slapshot which stays low and on target .. good, solid skater – dextrous and strong on a wide base – but needs to keep increasing footspeed and quickness .. projects as a stout defender able to absorb pressure to clear the zone – or make an impact play with his physical tenacity

Nikita Filatov (3/5) – “fast gifted playmaker .. fluid and dynamic on his feet with a gift for manufacturing space using speed and puckhandling .. crisp passer, excellent first touch, and equipped with an understanding of how to position his body to receive passes .. determined and stealth-like in the offensive zone .. not as diligent or as passionate defensively, tends to lose interest and stops moving his feet .. will have to make a greater commitment to developing his strength and conditioning as his slightly-built frame was clearly not prepared for NHL warfare

Senators News: September 14th

The Sens news roundup:

-Rob Brodie has an article on Derek Grant (link).  Grant talks about why he turned pro, “I just felt the opportunity was there and I thought I was ready to take the next step. I kind of pushed myself and forced myself to be ready. I finished the year off in (Binghamton) and that was a lot of fun and a good experience.”  Kleinendorst commented on where they see him this season, “I think he’s more of a natural left wing than a centre. We’re going to try him down the middle. You can see he’s a big kid, he’s got good skills and he’s smart guy. He should play a good role for us. He should fit in nicely, for sure.

The Ottawa Sun‘s Bruce Garrioch wrote an article to wrap the rookie tournament (link), which contains a few interesting tidbits.  Kurt Kleinendorst on the performance of Mark Stone, “All in all, maybe he struggled just a little bit. He didn’t have a great night, but he had a great finish. When we really needed him, he came through for us.”  The Sens have been very happy with Robin Lehner, Rick Wamsley saying “When players have some level of success as a coach, you worry about some hangover because of the success. I haven’t seen a hangover. That wasn’t a worry, but that’s something you worry about as a coach.”  Finally, on the triva side of things, Andre Petersson and Erik Karlsson were childhood friends in Sweden.

The Ottawa Citizen‘s Alan Panzeri has an article on Patrick Wiercioch (link), looking at what’s holding the college standout back from being an NHL regular.  Kleinendorst said, “Wiercioch’s issue is probably more strength than anything. He’s really smart. He has got the offensive instincts. He’s very comfortable  with the puck. But in the AHL, you’re playing against men. In college, you’re playing  against younger men, older boys. Strength-wise, you really can’t compare college to the (AHL). So for (Wiercioch), I think it was just an adjustment to the pro game. It was an  adjustment to his strength. He just needed to get stronger, and I think he has,  and now we’ll just have to see if he’s got strong enough.”  The blueliner commented, “I did what they’ve been telling me to do for the last couple of years.

-Ottawa’s ECHL affliate Elmira announced three signings (link): Benjamin Dieude-Fauvel (CHL 56-6-17-23), Dustin Gazley (NCAA 38-11-15-26), and Mike Radja (DEL 49-11-8-19).

Ottawa Rookies 4 Toronto Rookies 3 (OT)

The final game of the rookie camp is in the books and the Ottawa Senators remained undefeated after a 4-3 OT win over Toronto.  This was the best game of the tournament.  As expected, Robin Lehner started for Ottawa, facing Toronto’s Mark Owuya.  There were far fewer broadcaster errors, making it the best called game on Rogers.

The Ottawa scratches: Jean-Gabriel Pageau (groin, the same injury that forced him to miss game one), Darren Kramer (bumps & bruises, which was what kept him out of the Chicago game), and The Team 1200 mentioned that  Wacey Hamilton was never with the team, having tweaked something prior to the tournament.  The Sens iced seven defencemen.
The Toronto scratches: Tyler Brenner, David Broll, Jerry D’Amigo, Dave Cowan, and Stuart Percy

Ottawa Forward Lines (unchanged beyond the scratches)
Prince-Zibanejad-Petersson
Puempel-Da Costa-Stone
Noesen-Grant-Cowick
Culek-Caporusso

Defence Combinations (other than the middle pairing these changed a lot)
Cowen-Rundblad
Wiercioch-Gryba
Godrey/Fransoo-Borowiecki

Summary
First Period
1. Ottawa, Stephane Da Costa (Jared Cowen, Shane Prince)
This was a phantom assist for Prince
Shots: Ottawa 14, Toronto 13
Ottawa Penalties: none, but it featured Corey Cowick getting pummelled by Garrett Clarke
Second Period
2. Ottawa, Jakub Culek (Louie Caporusso)
3. Toronto, Matt Frattin (Mitchell Heard) (pp)
Jake Gardiner should have received an assist; this was a 5-on-3
Shots: Ottawa 11, Toronto 13
Ottawa Penalties: Prince (a dumb interference penalty), Godfrey (boarding), Prince (unsportsmanlike), Zibanejad (hooking), Gryba (hooking); there was also an fight between Mark Borowiecki and Jamie Devane that’s worth watching (hockeyfights/ 104970)
Third Period
4. Toronto, Sondre Olden (Jesse Blacker) (pp)
5. Ottawa, Mika Zibanejad (Shane Prince)
6. Toronto, Greg McKegg (Josh Nicholls, Mitchell Heard)
Shots: unknown (the broadcasters at Rogers did not list them)
Ottawa Penalties: Borowiecki hook (terrible call)
OT
7. Ottawa, Mark Stone (Eric Gryba, Shane Prince)
Shots: unknown (the broadcasters at Rogers did not list them)
Other notes: Da Costa was terrible on faceoffs throughout the game

Player Performances
Forwards*
* I tracked scoring chances and they are included in brackets next to the player’s name
Mika Zibanejad (3) – the best forward on the ice
Andre Petersson (3) – played a strong game in all three zones
Matt Puempel (6) – no one had more chances to score, but he couldn’t cash-in
Stephane Da Costa (1) – continued to show his great hands
Shane Prince (0) – contributed on the scoreboard, but was much less involved
Mark Stone (3) – I liked his hustle and his game winner was fantastic
Louie Caporusso (3) – his best game of the tournament; lot’s of hard work and creativity
Corey Cowick (1) – showed plenty of effort, but wasn’t as noticeable
Stefan Noesen (1) – despite playing hard this was his worst game (too many turnovers)
Derek Grant
(1) – was physical, but didn’t get much accomplished offensively
Jakub Culek
(3) – continues to make a lot of mental errors

Blueline
Mark Borowiecki – thundering hits, a great fight, and lot’s of passion
Eric Gryba – played a simple game and showed a little offensive flair
Jared Cowen – tried to do too much, but there lot’s to like
David Rundblad – too many turnovers
Patrick Wiercioch – tried to force things that weren’t there
Jordan Fransoo – kept things simple
Josh Godfrey – was virtually invisible

Goaltending
Robin Lehner – played very well; all the goals against were in man-advantage situations (two scored on powerplays and the other with the goalie pulled).

Overall Impressions
The best forward was Mika Zibanejad (he and Mark Stone were the only players to have points in all three games).  His speed, hands, his hockey sense, and his physicality all put him at the top of the forward group.  Next are Stephane Da Costa and Andre Petersson; Da Costa showed his great hands, head for the game, and a terrific shot, while Petersson demonstrated great effort in all zones of the ice as well as producing on the score sheet.  Other forwards who improved their stock include Corey Cowick (with lots of hustle and production) and Shane Prince.  Only one player up front hurt himself in the tournament–Jakub Culek has not progressed since last year.

Among the blueliners David Rundblad was the best overall, showing great poise with the puck and fantastic hands.  He made defensive errors, but not out of proportion compared to his teammates.  Jared Cowen was number two, but he needs to continue to work on his hands.  Beyond the two highly touted players I think Mark Borowiecki stood out, showing his heart and determination.  No blueliner hurt their chances at the tournament, but I expected more from former second-rounder Josh Godfrey.

In net there’s no question that Robin Lehner was dominant.  He made all the routine saves and a number of the spectacular variety.  His backup, Matej Machovsky, has a long way to go to become a pro.

For a different perspective check out Adnan’s article for The Silver Seven (link).

Post-game Interviews with Kurt Kleinendorst and Mark Stone are here (link).

Early Predictions for Ottawa’s 2011-12 Season, Part Two

Continuing my look at early season predictions for the Senators (part one is here, early-predictions-for-ottawas-2011-12-season).  To briefly recap that article:

The Hockey News predicts Ottawa will finish 15th in the East
The Ottawa Sun (Jeff Frank) suggets the team needs major rebound from its veterans to avoid being 15th in the East
-Sportsnet’s Mike Brophy (senators-news-wednesday-edition) isn’t definitive, but suggests Ottawa is in the running for the 1st overall pick in the 2012 draft
Senators Extra predicts Ottawa will finish 15th in the East
The Bleacher Report (Daniel Friedman) predicts Ottawa will finish 15th in the East
Senshot (Jared Crozier) provides a range where Ottawa will finish, but 9th seems most likely using his analysis

There are two more predictions to comment on:

The Hockey Writers have their Eastern Conference predictions up and, like virtually everyone else, see the Senators in last place (thehockeywriters.com/20112012-nhl-season-predictions-eastern-conference).  Brandon Schlager, who wrote the article, says the following, “What can we say about the Ottawa Senators? It seems like yesterday the good ol’ Sens were among the NHL’s elite, vying for a Stanley Cup year after year. But it turns out this year’s club couldn’t be any further away than the ones that featured that incredible first line of Dany Heatley, Jason Spezza and Daniel Alfredsson and came oh so close to hoisting the cup in 2007. Sure, the latter two still suit up in red and black, but Alfredsson is nowhere near the player he once was and Spezza simply can’t do it all by himself.  There is no doubt this team is in the midst of a full-fledged rebuilding process, and we’ll see that at it’s worst (or finest, depending on your viewpoint) this season. Spezza will put up his usual numbers as the entire hockey world speculates whether he’ll be traded at the deadline and the young defenseman David Rundblad should begin to come into his own and become a rare bright spot during this dismal season. MVP: Jason Spezza, Breakout Candidate: David Rundblad.

There isn’t much analysis here (Alfredsson is old and there’s no supporting cast).  I’m not sure if Schlager is serious about the Spezza-trade talk–the idea has never made any sense to me.  There’s nothing else to comment on.

-I’ve looked over McKeen’s yearbook which includes both point predictions as well as a review of the team.  Here’s the gist of their outlook for the Sens: “The Sens off-season essentially began in March when they re-signed netminder Craig Anderson on a four-year deal, installing him as the team’s No. 1 as they attempt to rebuild on the fly under Murray.  Part of the present and future will be an intriguing cast of youth. There’ll be growing pains, to be sure, and this will likely once again be one of the lower scoring teams in the league as some of their newcomers find their footing in fairly substantial roles. The Sens will also be closer to a floor team than a cap team, and playing in what’s quickly becoming a far more competitive Northeast Division, that spells trouble, at least for this season.  There’s nowhere to go but up.”  The magazine see’s Ottawa finishing 13th in the East.  I don’t buy their argument that Ottawa’s payroll is necessarily connected to poor performance, but otherwise I agree with what’s said.

McKeen’s picks Bobby Butler as the team’s player to watch (also calling him a “hidden gem”) with Mika Zibanejad as the Sleeper Prospect.  They believe that Peter Regin, Bobby Butler, and Erik Condra are on the upswing.  David Rundblad is considered the 13th most likely Calder candidate, with Zibanejad as the 18th.  McKeen’s also has a Top Prospect list.  The Sens on it are:
Mika Zibanejad (15)
Jared Cowen (19)
David Rundblad (26)
Nikita Filatov (35)
Patrick Wiercioch (56)
Stefan Noesen (85)
Matt Puempel (97)
Jakob Silfverberg (98)
Robin Lehner comes in as the 3rd highest goalie prospect (behind Jacob Markstrom and Jack Campbell)

McKeen’s predicts the performances of the roster throughout the year:
Jason Spezza 75-70
Milan Michalek 78-51
Daniel Alfredsson 68-51
Erik Karlsson 77-49
Bobby Butler 74-38
Sergei Gonchar 68-38
Nick Foligno 82-35
Nikita Filatov 70-31
Erik Condra 82-31
Peter Regin 75-29
Mika Zibanejad 68-22
Colin Greening 69-22
Filip Kuba 55-19
Chris Phillips 82-18
David Rundblad 69-16
Chris Neil 69-15
Stephane Da Costa 61-15
Jesse Winchester 74-13
Brian Lee 80-13
Zack Smith 66-10

-I’ve also looked at The Hockey News Fantasy Pool Guide.  Stephane Da Costa is sixth in their top-ten prospect list.  Alfredsson makes their high risk/high reward list due to injury-concerns.  Spezza is the highest ranked Senator for top fantasy picks (#36).  There’s not much team analysis offered in the book (that’s not its prerogative), but they do offer “Expect growing pains.”  Their top-ten Sens prospects:
1. David Rundblad
2. Mika Zibanejad
3. Nikita Filatov
4. Jared Cowen
5. Robin Lehner
6. Jakob Silfverberg
7. Patrick Wiercioch
8. Stefan Noesen
9. Colin Greening
10. Matt Puempel

THN’s point predictions for the roster:
Spezza 68
Alfredsson 58
Karlsson 51
Butler 45
Michalek 40
Gonchar 40
Da Costa 33
Filatov 32
Foligno 29
Rundblad 27
Greening 25
Regin 20
Cowen 20
Condra 19
Neil 19
Smith 15
Kuba 15
Phillips 15

Senators News: September 13th

Here’s the Sens news roundup for today:

-Rob Brodie wrote about Andre Petersson for the Sens website (senators.nhl.com/ club/news.htm?id=588218&cmpid=rss-brodie).  The Swedish rookie speaks at length about his back problems and a little about his play, “I’ve been struggling for two years with my back. This is the first time in two years I’ve been able to play two games without feeling any back pain, so I’m really happy about it. It’s amazing that I could go 1-1/2 years with this pain and then the past six months have been this much better. It has been really tough. When you’re out there, you can’t skate 100 per cent. It’s been an awful two years, but I’m really happy about (playing) two games without any pain at all. I came over here (earlier this year) and they started to fix my back over the last six months. I really trust the guys in Ottawa. I played my last game at the beginning of January, so I kind of have to start all over again. But it feels pretty good. The first game  was not that good. I couldn’t do much at all. But the last game was better and I know it’s going to be even better tomorrow.”  There’s also an interview with him on the site (video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/console?=DL|OTT|home).

The Ottawa Citizen‘s Alan Panzeri has an article about Mark Borowiecki (Borowiecki+aims+reward+Sens+faith/5390578/story.html).  There’s not much new, with Pierre Dorion staying what’s seemed fairly obvious from the beginning, “Realistically, he’s someone who needs to go to Binghamton and refine his game.  Down the road, we see him as someone who can contribute in a  hard-to-play-against role.

The Ottawa Sun‘s Bruce Garrioch wrote an article about Robin Lehner (humble-lehner-wants-to-earn-spot-with-sens), where he revealed some frustration about his depiction of being arrogant, “It feels like whatever I say to the media, they kind of try to twist it and they kind of try to make me look arrogant. I’m going in humble to this camp. I feel like if I’m not going in for a job, why should I even go there? It’s as simple as that. I’m trying to go there and show what I can do. If it goes the right way, that’s good. If it doesn’t, I’m down in Binghamton as a 20-year-old and that’s not bad either. I have a lot of friends that are up with the big team now. Of course I want to play with them. Everybody would be lying if they didn’t want to aim for the NHL. That’s what I want to do and that’s what I’m aiming to do since I started hockey.

Shane Prince has posted a blog about the rookies’ day off (prince-a-day-to-catch-our-breath).

Senators News: September 12th

Here’s the Senators news roundup of the day:

-Rob Brodie writing for the Sens website wrote about Stephane Da Costa after his hat-trick yesterday (senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=588168&navid=DL|OTT|home).  Pierre Dorion said, “He’s someone that has a good shot, but knows where to put it on net. He’s someone with a lot of hockey sense, a lot of skill and a lot of puck poise. He showed a lot of good things today. (Da Costa) still has to get stronger and he still has to get quicker, but with his hockey sense, skill level, playmaking ability and shot, I think we’re going to see some good things out of him.”  Kurt Kleinendorst added, “He’s very intelligent, very skilled, an honest player. We knew that he played the point on the power play in college. He’s very comfortable out there.”  Da Costa himself said, “Everything went in, which was good. It gave me confidence for the third period. The first period, I wasn’t really happy with myself. I had a pretty bad period. I’m just here to play and try my hardest to make the team. If I make it, good, if I don’t, I’m going to keep trying and just do my best.

The Ottawa Sun‘s Bruce Garrioch wrote a packed article covering a wide range of subjects (www.ottawasun.com/2011/09/11/battle-has-begun-for-sens).  The most interesting notes were Tim Murray talking about Zibanejad and Da Costa, “We’re happy and it kind of justifies what we’re thinking: They both have a chance to crack our lineup. Both won’t. It will be one or the other or neither.”  Kleinendorst is impressed with Zibanejad, “There are no shortcuts in his game from what I’ve seen.”  Binghamton’s bench boss also had an interesting comment about Shane Prince, “How many should he have had? He could have had a career (game) which is what you’re looking for, but you’re also looking for finish. I thought he played very well.”  Incidentally, Garrioch mistakenly has Cowick scoring his fourth goal instead of his third (presumably meaning his fourth point).

-Pierre Dorion was interviewed on The Team 1200 during the game and called Andre Petersson the most talented prospect they had, but did not think he had much of a chance in camp.  He mentioned that Petersson cheated defensively and that was one of the things the team wanted to curb.

The Silver Seven‘s Dave Young explores how Nikita Filatov will perform by comparing him to other first round picks that have been traded (www.silversevensens.com/2011/9/ 12/2418199/can-nikita-filatov-become-the-next-low-risk-high-reward-success-story# storyjump).  The sample size used is small (Michael Grabner, Gilbert Brule, Brian Boyle, and Kari Lehtonen), but it’s an interesting exercise.

Ottawa Rookies 6 Chicago Rookies 5

The second game of the rookie camp is in the books and the Ottawa Senators prevailed over Chicago 6-5.  The game was a bit faster than the first, but was just as sloppy.  As expected, Matej Machovsky started for Ottawa, facing Chicago’s Johan Mattson.  Unfortunately, the broadcast on Rogers suffered the same difficulties in identifying players.

The Ottawa scratches: Josh Godfrey (healthy), Darren Kramer (healthy), and Wacey Hamilton (presumably healthy)
The Chicago scratches: unfortunately I missed them

Ottawa Forward Lines (unchanged beyond the scratches)
Prince-Zibanejad-Petersson
Puempel-Da Costa-Stone
Noesen-Grant-Cowick
Culek-Pageau-Caporusso

Defence Combinations (these remained very consistent)
Cowen-Rundblad
Wiercioch-Gryba
Fransoo-Borowiecki

Summary
First Period
1. Ottawa, Andre Petersson (Mika Zibanejad)
2. Chicago, Peter Leblanc (unassisted)
3. Ottawa, Corey Cowick (unassisted) (sh)
4. Chicago, Brandon Saad (Phillip Danault) (pp)
5. Chicago, Brandon Saad (unassisted)
Shots: Ottawa 12, Chicago 17
Ottawa Penalties: Borowiecki with a hook
Second Period
6. Ottawa. Stephane Da Costa (Mark Stone)
An assist should have gone to Mark Borowiecki
7. Ottawa, Stephane Da Costa (David Rundblad, Shane Prince) (pp)
8. Ottawa, Stephane Da Costa (Andre Petersson, Mika Zibanejad) (pp)
The second assist should have gone to Shane Prince
9. Chicago, Jimmy Hayes (Brandon Saad, Simon Lalonde) (pp)
Shots: Ottawa 9, Chicago 6
Ottawa Penalties: Puempel (goaltender interference), Cowick (slashing)
Third Period
10. Ottawa, Mika Zibanejad (Andre Petersson)
11. Chicago, Jimmy Hayes (Joe Lavin)
Shots: unknown (the broadcasters at Rogers did not list them)
Ottawa Penalties: Culek took a hooking penalty trying to prevent a goal

Player Performances
Forwards*
* I tracked scoring chances and they are included in brackets next to the player’s name
Stephane Da Costa (4) – he struggled in the first period, but was dominant afterward
Andre Petersson (6) – fantastic offensively
Mika Zibanejad (2) – he got burned on Chicago’s final goal, but was excellent otherwise
Corey Cowick (4) – played well, although he took another dumb penalty
Shane Prince (4) – had a ton of chances and played hard
Stefan Noesen (3) – wasn’t quite as good as the first game, but was the most physical forward
Matt Puempel (4) – plenty of opportunities, but no finish yet
Mark Stone (1) – played well
Derek Grant (1) – a step back from his strong performance in game one
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2) – the best of the fourth line, but didn’t accomplish much
Louie Caporusso (0) – did not stand out
Jakub Culek (0) – virtually invisible

Blueline
David Rundblad – cut down on the turnovers and was the engine for the offence
Jared Cowen – a turnover lead to Chicago’s first goal, but overall he was very strong
Eric Gryba – played a simple, strong game
Mark Borowiecki – showed a bit more offensive flair
Patrick Wierioch – poor coverage lead to Chicago’s fourth goal, but made a few good plays
Jordan Fransoo – had a mix of good and bad moments

Goaltending
Matej Machovsky – not all the goals were his fault, but he has a long way to go

I expect Godfrey to return to the lineup and Fransoo to sit, while if Hamilton is healthy he should suit up and perhaps Culek will sit against Toronto (Kramer may also return to the lineup, in which case I could see Caporusso sitting).  Lehner will start.

Here’s Senshot‘s Tony Mendes take on the game: senshot.com/2011/09/12/sens-rookie-tournament-game-two-analysis/#more-8568

Shane Prince‘s blog on the game: fans.senators.nhl.com/community/blog/1/entry-257-prince-were-here-to-win-it-all

Sens TV has interviews with scout Bob Lowes, Pierre Dorion, Kurt Kleinendorst, Mika Zibanejad, and Stephane Da Costa (video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/console)

Senators News Update: Sunday Edition

Here’s the Sunday news roundup (I’ll post my reaction to today’s game tomorrow, but for those who don’t know the Ottawa rookies beat Chicago’s 6-5):

The Ottawa Sun‘s Bruce Garrioch interviewed head coach Paul MacLean (www.ottawasun.com/2011/09/10/q-and-a-with-sens-coach-paul-maclean).  Two interesting things to note: 1) MacLean wants to experiment with his top line, seeing a MichalekSpezzaAlfredsson combination as something to fall back into–“That’s a place I can always go back too. I know it works. If I need that, I can always go with that, so I don’t have to start with that. That’s going to be in place if I need it. We have a lot of guys who need an opportunity to play like (Nikita) Filatov, (Bobby) Butler, (Erik) Condra, (Peter) Regin, (Stephane) Da Costa and (Mika) Zibanejad, even (Nick) Foligno. We won’t find out until we have scrimmages and games who is going to compliment one another.”  He also specified which veterans he’s talked to over the summer, “Jason [Spezza] and I sat down for about an hour the other day when he was in town and had a real good conversation. I’ve talked to Chris Phillips, Sergei Gonchar a little and I talked to Alfredsson when I got the job. As they’re coming into the rink in the last week or so, I’ve tried to spend some time with as many as I can. So far it’s been positive about what we’re trying to do and the expectations.

-Garrioch also wrote about Corey Cowick after his strong game in the rookie tournament opener (www.ottawasun.com/2011/09/10/glory-for-corey–hard-work-pays-off).  Cowick said “The biggest thing for me was the mental part of the game. Gaining confidence. Knowing that I can play at the next level. I think physically I’m strong enough. Yes, there are things you can work on every summer, but I think the majority of my time was spent trying to get mentally stronger.

-Alan Panzeri had a similar article in The Ottawa Citizen (www.ottawacitizen.com/ sports/hockey/ottawa-senators/Goalie+Robin+Lehner+shines+rookie+game/5383218/ story.html), with this tidbit from Kurt Kleinendorst, “I think Corey [Cowick] will be the first one to tell you that he didn’t play as well as  he could. He got himself into a bad spot. But this to me looks like a positive sign that he’s coming out of it.

-Rob Brodie of the Senators website wrote an article on Matt Puempel (senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=588160&cmpid=rss-brodie), where the rookie talked about his first tournament game, “It’s a lot faster than it is in junior, so you have to change your game knowing that and it’s just a different type of atmosphere. The first one’s out of the way and the nerves are out of the way so hopefully, today’s a little bit more of a relaxed day and I can go into a little comfort zone and get a lot more confidence.

-Bob McKenzie tweeted about the Sens-Chicago rookie game (twitter.com/#!/ TSNBobMcKenzie), saying “Checked out OTT-CHI rookie game today in Oshawa. Stephane Da Costa and David Rundblad, as well as Mika Zibanejad, played well for Sens.

-Kurt Kleinendorst about the game today (https://vr.shapeservices.com/listen.php?hash=d6665b453101e502dee87dbb2c5c087849cec3219ee9922f7), saying he thought Chicago dominated the first period, but gave the team credit for dominating the rest of the game.