Senators News: May 16th

-Judging by how the Sens practiced today it seems like Andre Benoit will slide in to replace Eric Gryba.  There was no chance Mike Lundin would play (in my estimation).

Travis Yost breaks down the Sens lackadaisical powerplay and talks about their poor tendencies.  It’s a very good piece and I highly recommend it.  Travis then makes the case for the Sens to have a chance in the series and I think of the two elements he discusses (goaltending and avoiding penalties) only the former is realistic and it really will rest on the shoulders of Craig Anderson for Ottawa to take the series.  Unfortunately for the Sens goaltender, his sample against Pittsburgh this season is not encouraging.

Mark Parisi tries to find positives from the Sens loss by comparing it to their opening loss to the Rangers last year.  While there are some surface similarities, the Penguins are not the Rangers so it doesn’t seem particularly apt to me.

-ISS has released its latest 2013 draft rankings (for their previous list go here):

Rank Name Pos. Birthdate Shot H W Team League Last Rank
1 Seth Jones D 10/3/94 R 6.03.5 208 Portland WHL 1
2 Nathan MacKinnon C 9/1/95 R 6.00 182 Halifax QMJHL 3
3 Jonathan Drouin LW 3/27/95 L 5.10.75 185 Halifax QMJHL 4
4 Valeri Nichushkin RW 3/4/95 L 6.04 202 Chelyabinsk Traktor KHL 2
5 Sasha Barkov C 9/2/95 L 6.03 209 Tappara FinE 5
6 Darnell Nurse D 2/4/95 L 6.03.5 189 Sault Ste. Marie OHL 6
7 Elias Lindholm C 12/2/94 R 6.00 192 Brynas SweE 8
8 Nikita Zadorov D 4/15/95 L 6.05.25 230 London OHL 7
9 Sean Monahan C 10/12/94 L 6.02 186 Ottawa OHL 9
10 Bo Horvat C 4/5/95 L 6.00.25 200 London OHL 10
11 Rasmus Ristolainen D 10/27/94 R 6.04 207 TPS Turku FinE 11
12 Curtis Lazar C 2/2/95 R 5.11.75 193 Edmonton WHL 12
13 Hunter Shinkaruk C 10/13/94 L 5.11 175 Medicine Hat WHL 13
14 Ryan Pulock D 10/6/94 R 6.00.5 211 Brandon WHL 14
15 Alexander Wennberg C 9/22/94 L 6.01.5 190 Djurgarden SweJE 15
16 Andre Burakowsky LW 2/9/95 L 6.01.5 178 Malmo SweAl 18
17 Steve Santini D 3/7/95 R 6.01.5 207 USA Under-18 NTDP 22
18 Frederik Gauthier C 4/26/95 L 6.05 210 Rimouski QMJHL 20
19 Valentin Zykov RW 5/15/95 R 6.00 210 Baie-Comeau QMJHL 16
20 Kerby Rychel LW 10/7/94 L 6.01 200 Windsor OHL 17
21 Josh Morrissey D 3/28/95 L 5.11.75 182 Prince Albert WHL 19
22 Madison Bowey D 4/22/95 R 6.00.75 200 Kelowna WHL 27
23 Anthony Mantha LW 9/16/94 L 6.04 190 Val d’Or QMJHL 25
24 JT Compher C 4/8/95 R 5.10.5 184 USA Under-18 NTDP 21
25 Max Domi C 3/2/95 L 5.09.25 193 London OHL 26
26 Nicolas Petan C 3/22/95 L 5.08.5 163 Portland WHL 29
27 Dillon Heatherington D 5/9/95 L 6.03 196 Swift Current WHL 37
28 Michael McCarron RW 3/7/95 R 6.05 228 USA Under-18 NTDP 62
29 Chris Bigras D 2/22/95 L 6.00.5 189 Owen Sound OHL 30
30 Samuel Morin D 7/12/95 L 6.07 200 Rimouski QMJHL 45

Robert Hagg (#23), Jason Dickinson (#24), and Ryan Hartman (#28), fell out of the top-30.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 15th; Ottawa 1 Pittsburgh 4

-Ottawa opened its playoff series with their biggest loss to the Penguins this season.  Although the team held their own 5-on-5, their special teams were awful as Pittsburgh scored 2 powerplay goals and a shortie.  Craig Anderson did not have the form he did against Montreal, making 26 saves in the loss, while Colin Greening scored the only goal.  Here’s the boxscoreScott had the scoring chances 18/14, and however shaky Tomas Vokoun looked he only allowed one goal.  Eric Gryba was hurt in the loss and while I’d normally expect Patrick Wiercioch to replace him,if he still isn’t healthy enough to go presumably Andre Benoit will join the lineup (or perhaps even Mark Borowiecki, whose best NHL game was against the Penguins).

The Raaymaker had a hard time coming up with positives from the game, but he liked Sergei Gonchar and Jean-Gabriel Pageau, while dumping on Anderson, Jared Cowen, and Eric Gryba.  He also doesn’t like Milan Michalek because he didn’t put up points last night.

Scott Burnside see’s some positives for Ottawa in the loss:

In fact, one of the interesting things about this series — the fourth time the teams have met in the postseason since the 2007 playoffs — is that the Senators resemble a slightly less developed, less refined version of the Penguins themselves. The Senators move the puck quickly and smartly out of their zone and are patient with the puck in the offensive zone. If they lack the finish of the Penguins, it is a function of a lack of raw skill and experience as opposed to will or understanding. The differences, then, separating these two teams in this series-opening game were subtle, the kinds of differences that almost always separate the teams that can take a first-round series victory and build on it, and those that cannot.

Stu Hackel jumps in with a late series preview and also thinks the Sens have a great powerplay.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 14th

-As expected Tomas Vokoun will start for the Penguins tonight.

Adnan takes a look at the line combinations, but ignores the third game of the season series so it’s a small sample size.  He believes Karlsson and Methot will match up against Crosby, while Gonchar and Phillips or Cowen will line up against Malkin.  He thinks Turris will face Crosby.  He also adds:

Crosby may be a douchebag, but he is a very talented one.

Succinct and to the point.

Dave Molinari looks at the match-up, but clearly did not watch the Sens series against the Habs because he thinks their powerplay was “lethal”; he picks the Penguins in six.

Scott Burnside also wasn’t watching Ottawa’s series (he also thinks their powerplay is good), but his look at the series is more well-rounded.  He picks the Pens in six.

The Hockey News predicts the Pens in seven, giving Pittsburgh the edge in offense and special teams, but Ottawa the edge in defense and goaltending.

Ian Mendes offers up a variety of Sens-Pens trivia, the most interesting of which is that all of the coaches in the second round have won Stanley Cups (six as coaches, two as assistant coaches).

Marc Methot talks about how difficult it is to target star players physically:

They’re good for a reason. They don’t put themselves in vulnerable positions where they’ll get hit. It’s going to be tough. The biggest thing is to stay tight in our own end and not get running around in our own end where they thrive.

Nichols looks at Bryan Murray failing to earn a nomination as the top GM for the year:

Bryan Murray’s omission is the kind of result that instinctively channels the inner-fanboy in most fans, but it’s worth remembering that this exercise to evaluate or recognize a GM’s accomplishments for one season’s work is ridiculously inane. This isn’t the freshman fifteen when the months of binge drinking, eating fast food and cafeteria catch up to student in short order. It takes years before the true efforts of a GM can be grasped and properly evaluated.

All very true and yet another reason why awards are rarely indicative of anything.

Bobby Kelly doesn’t want the Sens to have the “Canada’s Team” label, because he doesn’t think the idea is very serious (it isn’t).  What it is (potentially) is good marketing, and if that creates a few more Sens fans I’m fine with it.

-Last night the Leafs choked away a three-goal lead in the third to lose to Boston in overtime, establishing a new playoff record for failure.  It has been a funny series to watch, as the Bruins have not looked good while the Leafs primary problem seemed to be between the pipes.  Given how much talent Toronto has donated to Boston over the years it makes you wonder how different things would be if there was better management in Leafland.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 13th

-Here’s my preview of the second round series against Pittsburgh, which will begin tomorrow (Tuesday).

Allan Muir picks the Pens in seven, echoing the points above and below (focussing primarily on Pittsburgh’s goaltending).

The Raaymaker gave me a heart attack by suggesting Chris Phillips will be the main guy shutting down Sidney Crosby:

Despite Phillips‘ coverage, Crosby‘s lit up the Sens in the regular season (6G, 19A in 24GP), and it’s only been worse in the post-season: He’s got 27P (10G, 17A) in 15 career playoff games against Ottawa–far above his career points-per-game average.

He may be right about the match-up, but I doubt Paul MacLean wants it exclusively.  A healthy Erik Karlsson is the only Sens blueliner who can keep up with his speed and I’d rather have Marc Methot on Crosby duty.

James and Varada discuss with the match-up with James suggesting the Pittsburgh-Ottawa match-up is on par with the Boston-Toronto series, which I just don’t see at all.  Varada suggests agitating the Penguins like Philadelphia did last year in order to have success, while James thinks a speed advantage is the Sens way to win.

Jason Spezza did not join the Sens as they travelled to Pittsburgh, so will miss at least game one.

-Some quotes from Daniel Alfredsson, Karlsson, and Paul MacLean about the upcoming match-up:

You can’t come down (the ice) and know that he’s [Tomas Vokoun] going to butterfly every time [like Marc-Andre Fleury]. He’s going to do different things all the time. You’ve almost got to make him think that you think that I think what he thinks all the time. Does that make sense? I don’t know.

And

Even though they have a great team, if you just work hard and the right way you’re going to give yourself a chance.

And

How do we match up against them? We’re going to have to see. They’re the No. 1 seed for a reason so we’re going to have to be ready to work. One thing I’ve learned from the Stanley Cup playoffs is that they play the games and a lot can happen. A lot of times what’s supposed to happen doesn’t happen. We just have to get ourselves prepared as best we can and give ourselves a good effort.

Jared Cowen talked about the match-up:

There’s so much to worry about over there. They have quite a bit of firepower. I think we have the perfect style of play to combat that. Obviously we showed that against Montreal against their top players so I don’t think we should have too much difference in our game plan in terms of shutting them down. The Islanders play kind of similar to how we play with the kind of lineup they have and I think if we can simulate that, but maybe have more success in the O-zone. They have three lines that could be a first line on a lot of other teams. The core of their team has been playing together for a while so they’re very familiar, they’ve been to the final a couple of times so it’s not like they’re inexperienced and talented, they’re experienced AND talented. They’ve got a lot of facets to their game and everyone here has to play their best to match that. We have experienced guys in different ways but not in the same way that they are.

Mark Parisi needs to rename his ups and downs column to “Michalek Bad”, since that’s pretty much all he’s said the last couple of weeks.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Ottawa Senators Second Round Preview

Ottawa finished the season with a 25-17-6 record, good for seventh in the conference.  They face the Pittsburgh Penguins (36-12-0) as their second round opponent, who they met three times in the regular season finishing with a 0-2-1 record.  Here’s a look at each game:

January 27th 2-1 (SO) Pittsburgh (boxscore)
Ottawa gave up the first goal, trying the game in the second period (Colin Greening) before losing in the shootout.  Craig Anderson made 33 saves in the loss, while Marc-Andre Fleury picked up the win.  The game featured Jason Spezza, but a number of players were in the Sens lineup who won’t be playing in the series (barring injury): Peter Regin, Kaspars Daugavins, Jim O’Brien, Mark Borowiecki, and (presumably) Guillaume Latendresse.  The Penguins were healthy, but did not feature their deadline acquisitions.

February 13th 4-2 Pittsburgh (boxscore)
The Penguins scored first again, but Ottawa responded and took a 2-1 lead midway through the second period (Stephane Da Costa and O’Brien).  Pittsburgh was able to tie it before the third period and then pulled away.  Anderson made 26 saves for the loss, while Fleury earned the win.   This is the infamous game where Karlsson was injured.  The Sens were missing Spezza, Cowen, and Michalek, while dressing O’Brien, Da Costa, Lundin, Benoit, and Daugavins.  Pittsburgh was only missing its deadline acquisitions.

April 22nd 3-1 Pittsburgh (boxscore)
The Penguins took an early 2-0 lead in the first and despite a third period Patrick Wiercioch goal took the win.  Anderson made 21 saves in the loss, while Tomas Vokoun stood strong (34 saves) in the win.  Only Spezza and Karlsson were missing in terms of key players, while the Sens dressed no one (besides Wiercioch) who hasn’t dressed in the playoffs thus far.  The Penguins were missing Crosby, Malkin, and Letang.

A number of things to note: Anderson played all three games and looked ordinary in two of them; the Penguins had at least five powerplays in every game (well above the NHL norm); Pittsburgh scored first in every game; Ottawa only had the lead in one of the games (briefly); both Penguins goaltenders looked good against the Sens.  There’s no edge I can see for Ottawa in this series, and that seems reflected in a nervous blogosphere that steers clear of looking at the match-up directly.  Travis Yost hopes Anderson, Spezza, and Karlsson will make the difference–which has to be the case, but Anderson did not shine against the Penguins and Pittsburgh beat Ottawa with both Spezza (once) and Karlsson (twice) in the lineup.  Senschirp goes completely off the rails believing the Sens are either even or better than the Penguins in all categories.  Jared Crozier ignores the team’s history against each other this season and instead looks at their numbers in their first round series (as if the Habs and Islanders might foreshadow the second round opponents; I understand wanting to find trends, but still…).

I’d love to see Ottawa give Pittsburgh a run for their money, but if there is a weakness for the Sens to exploit in the Penguins I don’t see it.  The Islanders benefitted from horrific goaltending by Fleury as well as simply not being taken seriously early in the series.  I’d like the Sens to make it a long series, but it’s hard to see it going more than five games.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 12th

-As expected, Pittsburgh knocked out the New York Islanders and will be Ottawa’s second round opponent.  Oddly enough, neither journalists nor bloggers have dived into the match-up much yet.

Jason Spezza practiced with the team today, although the organisation remains cagey about his return.  There’s no question the Penguins will plan for him to be in the lineup however, so other than teasing fans I’m not sure what the point of the ambiguity is.

Scott had the scoring chances of game five 15/9.

Travis Yost has a point of emphasis he thinks has largely been missed:

It’s interesting to me that MacLean more or less bestowed all of the credit for the team’s success on the front office, which is a point that keeps getting buried under a lot of the Jack Adams discussion. This is a point I’ve been trying to hammer home for the past couple of months, none of it a slight to what the head coach has really accomplished. MacLean might have been able to mask some deficiencies, but without good players, Ottawa’s not in the second-round of the playoffs.

I don’t think anyone could argue differently–without good players in the pipeline it wouldn’t matter how great a coach MacLean is.

-Travis also looks at Jean-Gabriel Pageau‘s impact via the same link–he had a great series.

Jason Chen offers Hockey’s Future update of the Sens top-20 prospects.  This list is troubled by HF’s rigid policy of requiring a certain number of NHL games before a player is considered to be no longer a prospect:
1. Mika Zibanejad
2. Jakob Silfverberg
3. Robin Lehner
4. Cory Conacher
5. Stefan Noesen
6. Chris Driedger
7. Patrick Wiercioch
8. Cody Ceci
9. Matt Puempel
10. Mark Stone
11. Shane Prince
12. Eric Gryba
13. Jean-Gabriel Pageau
14. Mark Borowiecki
15. Andre Petersson
16. Stephane Da Costa
17. Mike Hoffman
18. Fredrik Claesson
19. Derek Grant
20. Robbie Baillargeon

There’s not much reasoning that I can see for how Chen has arranged the list–why did Mark Stone drop from #6 to #10?  Why did Mike Hoffman fall?  I have no idea.  Lists like these have inherent problems, but I wish there was more investment into explaining the changes and rankings.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Sens Prospects: A Season in Review

The seasons have ended for Ottawa’s junior and college prospects and it’s time to take a look at how they’ve performed since they were drafted (for those who spent the year playing professionally you can see how they did here).  The prospects are listed chronologically from those who’ve spent the most time in the organisation to the newest group drafted last year (players in green are signed).  For those of you who want to read the scouting reports/profiles related to the players when drafted, I’ve included links in each comment.

Jeff Costello, LW, 6’0, DOB 1990, 5-146/09
2009-10 USHL Cedar Rapids 54-29-19-48 +18 149pim (3rd in points)
2010-11 NCAA Notre Dame 44-12-6-18 -4 56pim (11th)
2011-12 NCAA Notre Dame 28-5-7-12 -6 58 pim (9th)
2012-13 NCAA Notre Dame 33-11-19-30 +18 52pim (3rd)

It was a breakout season for the hard-working Costello who was among his team’s top scorers.  He was a plus player for the first time in his collegiate career and set highs in assists and points.  He has one more year of NCAA eligibility and given the glut of forwards in Ottawa’s system I’d expect him to play it.  He is the only 2009 draft pick yet to be signed.

Michael Sdao, LD, 6’4, DOB 1989, 7-191/09
2009-10 NCAA Princeton 30-5-4-9 -3 48pim (5th in d-points)
2010-11 NCAA Princeton 27-3-7-10 -1 65pim (5th)
2011-12 NCAA Princeton 30-10-10-20 -4 87pim (1st)
2012-13 NCAA Princeton 31-8-7-15 36pim (1st)
2012-13 AHL Binghamton 12-1-0-1 +4 23pim

The rough and tumble Sdao finished his collegiate career as Princeton’s top-scoring defenseman and joined Binghamton on an ATO.  While Sdao did not beat his career highs from the previous season, he remained the most important cog on his team’s blueline.  Sdao was easily able to push Ben Blood out of Binghamton’s lineup.

Jakub Culek, LW, 6’4, DOB 1992, 3-76/10
2010-11 QMJHL Rimouski 55-7-15-22 +2 37pim (11th)
2011-12 QMJHL Rimouski 55-13-27-40 +3 58pim (5th)
2012-13 QMJHL Cape Breton 9-3-4-7 -2 5pim (t-13th)
2012-13 AHL Binghamton 3-0-0-0 Even 10pim

It was a weird year for Culek, who was returned to Rimouski by Binghamton, but they had no room on their roster for him so he remained in limbo for weeks before being traded to Cape Breton.  Culek proceeded to suffer an injury and miss most of the rest of the season, eventually joining Binghamton in time to play a few games.  I’m not sure what the upside of Culek is, but he’s envisioned as a depth, checking forward and he’ll get his chance to be that next season.

Bryce Aneloski, RD, 6’2, DOB 1990, 7-196/10
2010-11 NCAA Nebraska-Omaha 39-2-17-19 +15 14pim (2nd)
2011-12 NCAA Nebraska-Omaha 38-6-14-20 -5 12pim (1st)
2012-13 NCAA Nebraska-Omaha 38-5-16-21 +8 10pim (2nd)
2012-13 CHL Americans 7-2-1-3 +3 2pim

Aneloski‘s production has remained consistent throughout his time at Nebraska-Omaha.  Because he played a semester with Providence the year before he was drafted, his collegiate career is over and he signed with the CHL’s Allen Americans.  This means either that the Sens have cut him loose or else he was a victim of Ottawa being so close to their contract ceiling.  Given the blueliners likely to be in Binghamton next year (Ceci, one of Borowiecki/Gryba, Eckford, Claesson, Sdao, Wideman, Rutkowski, and possibly Blood) I’m leaning towards the former.

Stefan Noesen, RW, 6’1, DOB 1993, 1-21/11
2011-12 OHL Plymouth 63-38-44-82 +18 74pim (1st)
2012-13 OHL Plymouth 51-25-28-53 +7 43pim (6th)

Injury and playing on a stacked team slowed down Noesen‘s production this year, but he remains a dominant player.  Binghamton’s post-season didn’t last long enough for him to join them, but there’s no doubt that Noesen will be an important member of the B-Sens next season.

Matt Puempel, LW, 6’0, DOB 1993, 1-24/11
2011-12 OHL Peterborough 30-17-16-33 -3 31pim (6th)
2011-12 AHL Binghamton 9-1-0-1 +1 2pim
2012-13 OHL Kitchener 51-35-11-46 +5 43pim (3rd)
2012-13 AHL Binghamton 2-0-0-0 +1 0pim

After forcing a trade to Kitchener, Puempel enjoyed a strong season with the Rangers (his goals to assist ratio is ridiculous).  Puempel joined Binghamton after his OHL season was over and enjoyed a strong performance in the B-Sens loss against Wilkes-Barre in the playoffs.  Top minutes await him in the AHL in the fall.

Max McCormick, LW, 5’11, DOB 1992, 6-171/11
2011-12 NCAA Ohio 27-10-12-22 -6 31pim (t-3rd)
2012-13 NCAA Ohio 40-15-16-31 -1 26pim (3rd)

It was s strong sophomore season for the gritty McCormick, who set highs in goals, assists and points.  He’s a couple of years away, but appears to be well on target.

Jordan Fransoo, RD, 6’2, DOB 1993, 7-186/11
2011-12 WHL Brandon/Victoria 71-3-18-21 -2 45pim (2nd)
2012-13 WHL Victoria 67-8-14-22 -21 80pim (t-3rd)

Fransoo did not have a great season for Victoria and appears to be one of the few busts from Murray’s scouting staff.  Despite establishing a career high in goals and improving his points-per-game, he does not seem to have improved (a team worst -21).  I would be shocked if he was offered a contract.

Ryan Dzingel, CL, 6’0, DOB 1992, 7-204/11
2011-12 NCAA Ohio 33-7-17-24 +4 32pim (2nd)
2012-13 NCAA Ohio 40-16-22-38 -9 22pim (1st)

It was a great sophomore season for Dzingel, who lead his team in points while establishing new highs in goals and assists.  Like his teammate McCormick, he is a couple of years away from turning pro.

Cody Ceci, DR, DOB 1993, 1-15/12
2012-13 OHL 69-19-45-64 -8 12pim (1st)
2012-13 Binghamton 3-1-1-2 +2 0pim

With the Ottawa 67s season crashing and burning early, Ceci was traded to Owen Sound.  He did not look out of place in limited action with Binghamton, where I expect him to play next season.  For scouting reports on Ceci and the other 2012 picks go here.

Chris Driedger, GL, DOB 1994, 3-76/12
2012-13 36-14-4 2.51 .915

Made significant improvement in all categories (GAA, save percentage, and wins), but remains at least a year away from turning pro.

Jarrod Maidens, CR, DOB 1994, 3-82/12
2012-13 did not play (injured)

He missed the entire season recovering from concussion symptoms.

Tim Boyle, DR, DOB 1993, 4-106/12
2012-13 NCAA 15-0-2-2 -4 25pim

Limited play in his rookie season in the NCAA, but the fact that he played at all is a complement to his play (in comparison, Brad Peltz did not dress for a game in his first year at Yale).

Robbie Baillargeon, CR, DOB 1993, 5-136/12
2012-13 USHL 55-18-23-41 -15 48pim (1st)

Somewhat buried on Indiana’s roster, a mid-season trade to Omaha did wonders for him.  He will begin his collegiate career next season.

Francois Brassard, GL, DOB 1994, 6-166/12
2012-13 QMJHL 33-18-4 2.73 .909

Made slight improvements statistically (GAA and save percentage), but won and played many more games than in his draft year.  Like Dreidger he will spend at least one more year in junior.

Mikael Wikstrand, DL, DOB 1993, 7-196/12
2012-13 Allsvenskan 45-11-14-25 +9 35pim

Almost all his unexpected offensive production occurred while the NHL lockout was on and he had teammates like Anze Kopitar.  Showed well in the WJC, but will spend at least one more season in Sweden.

Troy Rutkowski, DL, DOB 1992, FA 2013
2012-13 WHL 72-20-46-66 +32 43pim (1st)

Unsigned by Colorado (5-137/10), Rutkowski was the Sens lone CHL free agent acquisition this season.  Binghamton’s season did not last long enough for Rutkowski to make his pro debut, but his addition creates a logjam of blueliners who will join the AHL ranks next season.  An offensive-minded player, he set career highs in goals and assists in his final season of junior.

Buddy Robinson, RW, DOB 1991, FA 2013
2012-13 NCAA 38-8-8-16 60pim (7th)
2012-13 Binghamton 6-2-2-4 +2 8pim

A collegiate free agent who left after his sophomore season (just like Cole Schneider last year), the 6’5 Robinson seemed to have no trouble adjusting to the pro game, appearing in two of the three playoff games with Binghamton.  His offensive numbers in the NCAA aren’t overwhelming, so he seems to be in the mould of a David Dziurzynski.

Andrew Hammond, GL, DOB 1988, FA 2013
2012-13 NCAA 10-15-3 2.47 .917

Something of an odd signing, Hammond‘s collegiate numbers aren’t overwhelming, but he held the fort on a bad Bowling Green team.  His competitiveness is his distinguishing feature and he’ll be part of Binghamton’s rotation next season.

This is a massive list of prospects, but the numbers are going to drop significantly next season (through graduation or by letting players walk).  Sdao, Culek, Noesen, Pumpel, Ceci, Rutkowski, Robinson, and Hammond will all be in the pro ranks, while (possibly) Bryce Aneloski and Jordan Fransoo will drop from the organisation.  The players that remain are all currently on track (except Maidens who hasn’t played).  The pipeline remains open as the organisation continues to do a great job keeping it stocking its prospect pool.

Senators News: May 10th; Ottawa 6 Montreal 1

-Ottawa beat Montreal 6-1 last night to close out the series and move on to the second round.  Craig Anderson made 33 saves for the win, while Cory Conacher (2), Zack Smith, Kyle Turris, Daniel Alfredsson, and Erik Condra scored the goals.  The Habs dominated the first period, but fell behind 2-1 regardless.  Just like in the last game, Ottawa slowly took control of the play and ran over the Habs in the third period (Matt Kassian finished the game on the powerplay and had two assists in the game!).  I thought there might be a chippy ending in a lopsided victory, but the Habs simply had nothing left to give by the end.  Here’s the boxscore.

-I think Erik Condra summed up last night (and the series) succinctly:

Until we get going, he [Anderson] has kept us in games and that’s all a credit to him.

-Speaking of Anderson, he said all the right things after the victory:

I can’t do it alone. I can’t score goals. I can’t be the guy that wins game for the team. The team has got to win games for each other. That feels good.

Sylvain St-Laurent offers his views of the series as a whole and believes game three was a watershed moment–Ottawa winning the kind of gritty game they never have before in the playoffs.

Mark Parisi offers up his summation of the series and among his “what went wrong” notes I’ll quibble with one: variable intensity.  For the first time that I can remember there was no questioning the intensity the Sens brought throughout each and every game.  From Mark’s specific comments I think he’s actually referring to the quality of their play, but to me that’s quite distinctive from playing intensely.

Allan Muir thought that when it mattered most–in the third periods–the Sens dominated and that in the end that made them the better and more deserving team.

Varada‘s post-mortem’s includes the spot-on point that Michel Therrien did himself and his reputation no favours.  Initially I thought Therrien was effective in deflecting criticism of his team by creating a sideshow, but eventually that sideshow overwhelmed everything else and created a conduit for excuses.  Even in defeat Therrian couldn’t help himself, making an excuse before saying he wasn’t making excuses:

The last two weeks we had a lot of bad luck. My approach with the team and our approach since day one [has been injuries] are not an excuse. I don’t think the players with their attitude used that as an excuse.

Calling anything bad luck is making an excuse.  It’s not like a single play determined the series, so luck shouldn’t be a factor.  Andrei Markov‘s comments seem a lot more sensible:

Yeah we played hard and sometimes we played better than them, but the final score is we lost the series. We can only blame ourselves.

Postmedia News credits the Sens goaltending and depth for winning them the series.

-The Sens might get Jason Spezza back for the second round.  Spezza is now practicing with the black aces, but there’s no time table for his return to action.  It’s exciting news for Ottawa, but even a fully healthy roster is going to struggle against the juggernaut that is the Pittsburgh Penguins (their most likely opponent).

Steve Simmons speculates that Hockey Night in Canada won’t be happy if the Sens are the only Canadian team to make it to the second round (as seems likely).  I think he’s right, but that’s largely because HNIC has made no investment in Ottawa, approaching the team with distasteful indifference.

-The NHL is trying to finalize a transfer agreement with the various professional leagues, with the KHL (as usual) posing the biggest stumbling block.

-In unsurprising news, the NHL is nearing an agreement for their players to participate in the Olympics.  I’ve never doubted that would happen and it appears as though the formal arrangement will soon be made.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 9th

-The Sens look to knock off the Habs tonight.  Brian Gionta is gone for the playoffs, Brandon Prust will miss the next game,  and Carey Price is being replaced by Peter Budaj due to injury.  No Ottawa roster changes are expected.  Can the Habs pull it out?  Given that they’ve dominated most of the series (despite being down 3-1) it’s certainly possible, but it does seem like the Sens are in their heads.  If the score gets lopsided in Ottawa’s favour I expect a lot of extracurricular nonsense.

Scott had the scoring chances of the last game 14/12.

Eric Gryba had a good comment about his likely reception in Montreal:

I’m expecting to get a little more attention than I have in the past, but that’s all part of a spectator sport and the fans bring a different element to the games and that’s exciting and that’s the way it should be.

Travis Yost looks at the numbers to illustrate how the Habs suffered by trying to play “safe” after they went up 2-0.  He also shows the Corsi ratings for Ottawa through the series with Daniel Alfredsson on top and Sergei Gonchar on the bottom.

Dave Young looks at Paul MacLean’s in-game adjustments from the Sens overtime win.

Darren M looks at the statistics of rallying back from a 3-1 series deficit and offers this sensible caveat:

All of those Senators victories (and the Canadiens comebacks) seem somewhat irrelevant: they featured different players, coaches, and opponents. The current Ottawa Senators can’t say that they’ve got a perfect record when up 3-1, just as the current Montreal Canadiens can’t take credit for pulling off two incredible comebacks in a decade.

-The Don Cherry of bloggers, Jeremy Milks, pokes some fun at fans who leave games early while suggesting Chris Neil was a more important cog for the Sens in their last game than Erik Karlsson (check out Neil‘s Corsi numbers via Yost’s link for some amusement).

-Amusingly, the Habs motto this season is “no excuses”, but all they’ve been doing is making excuses throughout the series.

-Dave Stubbs (link above) seems to buy into the conspiracy theory that the officials are out to get Montreal.  I’m not sure what the logic is–the league prefers a small market Canadian team to win?  Diving into conspiracy land is not generally advisable, but if you go there you have to have some reasoning behind it–I don’t see it here.

Jack Todd believes a lot of the criticism aimed at P. K. Subban is due to his race, but I think Lyle Richardson‘s response to the idea is correct:

Subban undoubtedly faces considerable criticism and challenges, some of it undoubtedly from racists and bigots, but his flamboyant, personality (especially on the ice) has more to do with it than the color of his skin. Subban is a confident, sometimes cocky young star unafraid to speak his mind, which sometimes rubs opponents and fans of rival teams the wrong way. Furthermore, Subban isn’t the NHL’s first black superstar. Hall of Famer Grant Fuhr was the first, followed by future Hall-of-Fame Jarome Iginla. True, they’re bi-racial, played their junior hockey in the WHL and aren’t as flamboyant as Subban, but that doesn’t diminish their significance as the NHL’ s first black superstars.

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)

Senators News: May 8th; Ottawa 3 Montreal 2 (OT)

-Ottawa overcame a 2-0 deficit in the third along with their own poor play to rally and beat Montreal 3-2 in overtime.  There was no repetition of the fireworks of game three, although the game was physical.  Craig Anderson made 26 saves for the win, while Mika Zibanejad , Cory Conacher (who was awful most of the game and largely responsible for the second Habs goal), and Kyle Turris scored the goals.  There is controversy over Zibanejad‘s goal, where he clearly directed the puck into the net with his skate, but without a distinct kicking motion it is a good goal (Eric Engels is among those who see the motion, but I don’t).  There have also been complaints about a couple of icing calls at the end of the game, but it’s so nitpicky I don’t take it seriously.  Here’s the boxscore.

Mark Parisi offers a recap of the game where he continues to be unhappy with Milan Michalek‘s play.  Ken Warren‘s recap includes what I see as unfair criticism of Peter Budaj whose allowed goal was deflected in by his own defenseman (Diaz).

-Speaking of Budaj, he played in overtime because Carey Price was injured; Brandon Prust was hurt as well and the Habs are starting to run out of bodies.

Daniel Alfredsson talked about the team’s poor play for most of last night:

It was not our best game, as far as execution, for the first two periods and then some. I did feel we got skating in the third period and were able to get some pressure.

Scott has the scoring chances from game three at 20/11.

Stu Hackel talks about the series:

One thing Therrien may want to change is his own demeanor, which is starting  to remind observers of his more volatile younger days coaching the Penguins and his first tenure behind the Canadiens’ bench. Once overly-emotional, Therrien was thought to have reformed, but he’s getting agitated and suckered into a war  of words with MacLean, who is probably very happy to see his counterpart come a bit unhinged and is not adverse to assisting in that effort by, for example, calling a timeout to set up his team’s power play with a five-goal lead and only 17 seconds left in the game. Therrien’s displays of anger seemed to spread to his players, distracting them from their task. They, too, grew unhinged as the Sunday [game three] rout wore on.

I agree entirely that Therrien’s personality infects his team for the worse in the series.  Hackel’s other point, that the Gryba suspension was an indication that the NHL might be more strict in punishing head shots, has already proven unfounded.

-Everyone’s favourite CSI investigator Eugene Melnyk was talking again and Nichols offers the highlights.  You can try to follow Eugene’s explanations there, but I think Nichols is right that it seems as if Melnyk’s study isn’t about Cooke‘s guilt, but rather a broader study on player safety.

-It’s a common sentiment that it’s always better for your team to make the playoffs and battle it out in the post-season, but for Vancouver (or any team swept in the first round), I have to wonder how true that really is.  Are the Canucks better off having been swept as opposed to simply missing the playoffs?

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)