Senators Player Profile: Jesse Winchester

This is the second of a series of profiles on each player for the Ottawa Senators.

Jesse Winchester, C/RW, Contract: 0.75/12 (UFA)
Acquired: FA 2008 (Murray), 6’1, Shoots R, YOB 1983, Long Sault, Ont
2008-09 76-3-15-18 Even 33pim (3 fights) TOI 10:35 Hits 116 FO% 56.8
2009-10 52-2-11-13 -1 22 pim (2 fights) TOI 10:01 Hits 90 FO% 55.4
2010-11 72-4-9-13 -9 42pim (2 fights) TOI 10:50 Hits 101 FO% 55.6

Signed as a free agent by Bryan Murray in the spring of 2008, Winchester was coming off a strong senior season as captain of the Colgate Red Raiders in the NCAA (40-8-29-37).  A highly sought after free agent prospect (video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/ console?id=36965), at the time of the signing the Senators were struggling badly (John Paddock had already been fired) and Binghamton was struggling in Cory Clouston’s first year.  It was Nick Foligno’s rookie year, but beyond  Nick the top prospect was arguably Josh Hennessy.  Ottawa’s cupboard was bare and talent needed to be added.

Entering his rookie year (2008-09) there was a clear expectation that Winchester was going to provide much needed secondary scoring for the Senators (www.canada.com/ ottawacitizen/news/sports/story.html?id=62439beb-e6fd-4ae5-a701-e956aa66442a).  While he would post what stand as career numbers (18 points), it quickly became apparent that Winchester’s talents were not translating well at the next level.

Missing the start of the 2009-10 season due to injury, he returned to find himself behind rookie Peter Regin on the depth chart.  He posted disappointing numbers and continued to receive fourth line minutes.  By the end of the season Winchester was fully defined as a grinding, depth player.  The organisation still saw enough in him to re-sign him to a two-year deal.

There was little doubt about his contributions heading into the 2010-11, and Winchester put up career worst numbers on a points-per-game basis.  While he’s a competitor, there’s no doubt that the Senators never envisioned him being this kind of player when they signed him.  His future with the team must be in doubt with the influx of youth and talent and I believe the 2011-12 season (assuming he plays it) will be his last as a Senator.  As for projections, there’s no reason to think he won’t follow his career curve, which works out to 18 points over 82 games.

Hockey Futures never developed a profile for him, but here’s an assessment from  2009: www.hockeysfuture.com/articles/10982/senators_top20_prospects_spring2009/
There aren’t a lot of Winchester highlights, but this shows some hits from his rookie season: http://video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/console?id=53933
The best fight of his career: http://www.hockeyfights.com/fights/88827

Next up is Nick Foligno.

Senators Player Profile: Peter Regin

This is the first in a series of profiles on each player for the Ottawa Senators.

Peter Regin, C/W, Contract: 1.0/12 (RFA)
Drafted 3-89/04 (Muckler), 6’2, Shoots L, YOB 1986, Herning, Denmark
2009-10 75-13-16-29 +10 20pim TOI 12:53 TkA 50 FO% 44.6
2010-11 55-3-14-17 -4 12 pim TOI 13:23 TkA 40 FO% 41.8

Regin spent four years playing in Europe before he was signed by Bryan Murray in 2008.  In his three years playing for Timra, Regin demonstrated an all-around game that included slick hands and a great shot (150-25-33-58).  The season before he was signed he finished third on the team in scoring (55-12-19-31) behind future Flyer Mika Pyorala and former NHLer Riku Hahl.

There was little fanfare for Regin in the 2008-09 training camp, as the focus was on recent draft pick Zack Smith who nearly made the team.  Assigned to Binghamton, Regin suffered a shoulder injury in pre-season that initially kept him of the lineup.  When he finally did suit up, he was one of Binghamton’s best rookies (56-18-29-47), finishing third in rookie scoring (first on a point-per-game basis) behind Zack Smith and Mattias Karlsson, and he was first on the team in plus/minus (+15).

The following season (the last of his ELC) he beat Zack Smith for a roster spot and enjoyed a strong rookie campaign.  Fans truly embraced him after a strong playoff performance (6-3-1-4) in the team’s six-game loss to Pittsburgh.  Afterwards he was re-signed to a two-year deal and expectations were high (www.ottawasun.com/sports/ hockey/2010/09/11/15320376.html).

Regin was expected to supply secondary scoring for the Senators, but suffered the worst goal scoring drought of his career and lost Cory Clouston’s confidence.  Working hard defensively was not enough and he was derided by many (www.ottawasun.com/ sports/hockey/2011/01/08/16814836.html).  Just as his production was starting to come back he suffered another shoulder injury (the same he hurt in Binghamton two years earlier) and missed the rest of the season.

The Senators were pleased with his exit interview, where Regin blamed himself for his play rather than anyone or anything else.  Physically he’ll be fully recovered for camp and the organisation expects a return to form in the upcoming season.  Regin has never really been a high-end point producer, but if he returns to form I think 40 points is a fair expectation.  I like Regin, but I’m not sure if he can be a regular second line player.  He’s a little like Chris Kelly, but with more finish and less physicality.

-This is Regin’s outdated Hockey Futures profile (for those of you looking for his early projections as a prospect): http://www.hockeysfuture.com/prospects/peter_regin
-Here’s an interview about Regin with Tim Murray from a couple of years ago: http://video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/console?id=38288
-There are a lot of Youtube highlights of Regin–this is just one: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hlTmiBSrI5A

Next up is Jesse Winchester.

Senators Sign Erik Condra

This afternoon the Ottawa Senators announced the re-signing of 24-year old rightwinger Erik Condra to a two-year deal (reportedly 625k/year; his rookie contract paid him 800k/year).  Condra remaining with the organisation is no surprise, although some are dismayed that it’s a one-way deal for two years.  A smaller (5’11), intelligent player, Condra spent the bulk of the last two years playing in Binghamton after four successful years in the NCAA at Notre Dame (159-48-110-158, twice a CCHA champion).  He was named Rookie of the Year for Binghamton in 2009-10 and was a key member of the team this past season (55-17-30-47)–there’s little doubt that he helped Jim O’Brien and Roman Wick improve their play.  Once Bryan Murray began to trade players away Condra was called up and spent a quarter of the season in Ottawa (26-6-5-11), where his versatility was evident.  He can play in all situations and makes the players around him better.  The concern with Condra is his lack of footspeed and his size, but I think the latter is overblown.

There’s no questioning Condra’s work ethic.  As a seventh round pick (7-211/06) and an undersized player it would have been easy for him to find excuses and not make the successful jump into the pro game.  Instead, like Colin Greening (another seventh round selection), he’s continually worked on his game to get better (repeatedly thanking Randy Lee, head of Player Development for the Sens, with helping his game).  How will he handle a full season in the NHL?  Only time will tell, but he’s a quality player and individual and there’s no questioning the effort he’ll give.

According to Bruce Garrioch of The Ottawa Sun the next RFA to be signed is Bobby Butler (http://twitter.com/#!/SunGarrioch/).

Condra’s interview today on The Team: http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150715917210585&oid=254660295467&comments

Finally, I want to add a thank you to http://www.senschirp.ca/  who linked to this blog.

Senators Sign Zenon Konopka

The Ottawa Senators announced the signing of 30-year old Zenon Konopka today (reportedly 700k).  Rumours of Konopka coming to Ottawa have been floating around forever (the most recent I can remember is here www.ottawasun.com/2011/06/26/sens-should-target-free-agent-konopka), but the former Ottawa 67 has finally landed in the capital.  While a productive forward both at the junior and AHL level, fighting is what got Konopka into the NHL.  Besides toughness, Konopka is one of the NHL’s faceoff leaders (57.7% last year) and a solid penalty killer.  Last year was Konopka’s second full year in the NHL and he finished it with 25 fighting majors (second in the league behind George Parros).  The year before he lead the league with 33 fights.

I expect the Sens won’t require Konopka to fight as much, acquiring him as much for his faceoff and defensive skills (although his acquisition should lessen the load on Chris Neil and Matt Carkner).  Term was likely also an attractive factor.  The signing makes me wonder if Jesse Winchester will move to the wing, as the Sens now have 6 centers on the roster (Colin Greening has been playing leftwing, but was a center until he turned pro).

Konopka’s stats with the Islanders: 82-2-7-9 307 pims

With Konopka signed the Senators now have 10 one-way contracts at the forward position, with Bobby Butler and Erik Condra still to be signed and Nikita Filatov slotted to play.  Barring a trade, there isn’t much room for young players to make the team.

Speaking of signings, the numbers have come out for Francis Lessard‘s two-way deal: his salary is unchanged from his previous contract (550k NHL/100k AHL).

Wrapping up the Senators Development Camp

Yesterday marked the end of the Ottawa Senators Development Camp with the annual 3-on-3 finale.  Team Blue (Mike Hoffman, Stefan Noesen, Mark Stone, Ben Blood, Kirill Lyamin, and Ryan Dzingel) won the competition, while Mark Borowiecki was named the hardest worker in camp.  The increase in the talent of the players in the system was evident.  I’ve included thoughts on individual players below (arranged by position and age), along with links to videos and stories from the camp.  It’s worth remembering to take these camp performances with a grain of salt.

Forwards
Pat Cannone (FA 2011, Miami, NCAA) – the 24-year old did not stand out at camp; he has decent hands/shot (was a shoot-first player); will play in Binghamton
Corey Cowick (6-160 2009) – the former 67 didn’t stand out; he showed decent speed and played physical, but wasn’t able to gel with teammates in the offensive zone; will return to Binghamton
David Dziurzynski (FA 2010, Alberni, BCHL) – enjoyed a good camp; he’s a big north-south player who is great along the boards; he showed good instincts in the offensive zone; will return to Binghamton
Louie Caporusso (3-90 2007) – the Michigan graduate used to shine at these camps, but beginning last year the talent around him was catching up–this year he was largely invisible; while he has decent hands, he overhandles the puck and didn’t display separation speed; will play in Binghamton
Stephane Da Costa (FA 2011, Merrimack, NCAA) – I expected more from him; despite showing good hands, he did not stand out; will play in Binghamton
Brad Peltz (7-190 2009) – after a strong camp last year he was largely invisible; he has good speed and a shoot-first mentality; nearly got into a fight with Shane Prince in the 3-on-3 tourney; returns to Yale for his sophomore year
Mike Hoffman (5-130 2009) – dominated all the game-play I saw, reminding me of his performance at the rookie tournament last fall; fantastic skill set (hands, vision, shot) and I’ll be interested to see how that translates in September; will return to Binghamton
Derek Grant (4-119 2008) – the first camp where I really noticed him; great hands for a big man; will play in Binghamton
Nikita Filatov (T – Columbus) – only able to attend two days of camp using borrowed equipment; showed his skill, speed, and competitiveness; will play in Ottawa
Andre Petersson (4-109 2008) – despite recovering from back problems, Petersson was excellent, particularly dominant in the 3-on-3 tournament; good hands, good speed, and a great shot; will play in Binghamton
Wacey Hamilton (FA 2011, Medicine Hat, WHL) – didn’t notice him until the 3-on-3 tourney, where he showed great net drive; a competitive, north-south player; will play in Binghamton
Jakob Silfverberg (2-39 2009) – enjoyed a great camp; he didn’t always stand out, but competed hard and was a monster defensively; great shot and excellent instincts; expected to return to Brynas
Jeff Costello (5-146 2009) – he missed the scrimmage with what I presume was an injury [He did play in the scrimmage, but wasn’t very noticeable–what he missed was the on-ice practice the day before], but showed some good moves in the 3-on-3 tournament; he has good hands and drives the net; returns to Notre Dame for his sophomore year
Darren Kramer (6-156 2011) – the best fighter in the draft didn’t show much at camp beyond effort; needs to work on everything (skating, hands, etc); returns to Spokane
Ryan Dzingel (7-204 2011) – one of the least developed players at camp, he did not stand out; has decent hands; begins his NCAA career at Ohio State
Marcus Sorensen (4-106 2010) – a little less hyper than last year, he did not stand out; a hard worker who drives the net, he needs to bulk up; will play for Skelleftea
Max McCormick (6-171 2011) – showed flashes of what he is–an agitating player who goes hard to the net and into the corners; begins his NCAA career at Ohio State
Mark Stone (6-178 2010) – was invisible at his first camp last year, but was good this time around; good hands (passing and shooting) and drive to the net; needs to work on his footspeed; returns to Brandon
Jakub Culek (3-76 2010) – coming off a tough year in Rimouski, he was largely invisible; good size and hands, his decision-making is a problem; returns to Rimouski
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (4-96 2011) – had a good camp, with good speed and hands; tended to hold on to the puck too much; returns to Gatineau
Shane Prince (2-61 2011) – enjoyed a strong camp; competitive with good speed and great hands; returns to the Ottawa 67s
Matt Puempel (1-24 2011) – the organisation kept him out of the competitive portion of the camp, so he was very much invisible (he did post blogs on the Sens website however); returns to Peterborough
Stefan Noesen (1-21 2011) – a camp standout, he showed great speed, hands, and shot; returns to Plymouth
Mika Zibanejad (1-6 2011) – he had a mixed camp; showed great speed, moves, and shot, but tried to do too much (particularly when he got frustrated); either makes Ottawa or returns to Djurgarden

Defense

Kirill Lyamin (2-58 2004) – the big Russian defenseman had a solid camp; not flashy, but a good stick and was very effective in the 3-on-3 tourney; is not very physical despite a big frame; returns to Avangard Omsk in the KHL
Ben Blood (4-120 2007) – the big man enjoyed a good camp; physical and competes hard; does not have great hands; returns for his senior year at North Dakota
Mark Borowiecki (5-139 2008) – has improved every camp he’s attended and was this year’s hardest worker; a fantastic open-ice hitter, he was (again) the most physical player in camp and showed improved speed; he still needs to work on his skills; will play in Binghamton
Chris Wideman (4-100 2009) – largely invisible; a good passer and able to work through traffic; probably needs an extra step to move to the next level; returns for his senior year at Miami
Bryce Aneloski (7-196 2010) – not very noticeable beyond having bulked up; decent hands and has added physicality; needs to improve his overall game; returns for his sophomore year at Nebraska-Omaha
David Rundblad (T – St. Louis) – I expected a lot more from Rundblad, who didn’t ratchet up his intensity; great hands and puck skills; guilty of overhandling the puck; will play in Ottawa
Patrick Wiercioch (2-42 2008) – didn’t stand out and had a rough 3-on-3 tourney; smooth skater with good hands, he still needs to bulk up and get more involved; returns to Binghamton
Jared Cowen (1-9 2009) – had an average camp; physical, good stick, and showed some nice moves; needs to work on his shot; will play in Binghamton or Ottawa
Fredrik Claesson (5-126 2011) – had an excellent camp; competitive, strong along the boards and has good hands; returns to Djurgarden
Jordan Fransoo (7-186 2011) – largely invisible; looked a little shellshocked at times; needs to fill out and work on his one-on-one defensive skills; returns to Brandon

Goalies

Scott Greenham (FA NCAA) – played reasonably well, but didn’t stand out; returns for his senior year at Alaska
Adam Janecyk (FA NCAA) – was strong in the scrimmage; returns for his sophomore year at the University of Michigan
Matt O’Connor (FA USHL) – the big man is a project; was beat often upstairs and couldn’t keep pucks from going through him down low; begins his NCAA career at Boston University

Video Links
http://senators.nhl.com/index.html – the Sens site has video clips from all 7 days of the camp, including interviews with Mike Hoffman (his own clip), Jakob Silfverberg (day 6), Mika Zibanejad (day 5), Mark Borowiecki (day 3), Nikita Filatov (his own clip), Jared Cowen (day 2), and David Rundblad (day 1)
A fan’s video clips post from the 3-on-3 tournament:
Orange vs Grey: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EV2FvHlrdyw (this features the near fight between Peltz and Prince)
Black vs Red: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=22zieZisUN4 (watch Costello turn Caporusso into a pilon)
Blue vs Grey: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUZdanoPVrs
Grey vs Red (semifinal): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vAQR4uyv7Q
Blue vs Grey (final): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xIE6X8PhMx0

Story Links:
Organisational comments (mentioning Rundblad, Cowen, Silfverberg, Zibanejad, Hoffman, and Borowiecki) – http://senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=568466&cmpid=rss-brodie
Mark Borowiecki – http://www.ottawacitizen.com/sports/hockey/ottawa-senators/%20Borowiecki+defying+odds+rapid+development+Senators/5047852/story.html and http://www.faceoff.com/hockey/teams/ottawa-senators/Borowiecki+defying+odds+ rapid+development/5047852/story.html
Shane Prince – http://www.ottawasun.com/2011/07/03/sens-prince-in-waiting
Max McCormick and Ryan Dzingel – http://senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=568401
Stefan Noesen – http://www.ottawasun.com/2011/06/30/whirlwind-experience-for-sens-pick-noesen
Wacey Hamilton – http://senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=568349
Darren Kramer – http://senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=568061
Jakob Silfverberg – http://senators.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=567898 and http://www.ottawacitizen.com/sports/hockey/ottawa-senators/Senators+draftee+ Silfverberg+elects+stay+Sweden+another+year/5025877/story.html
Mark Stone – http://www.faceoff.com/hockey/teams/ottawa-senators/Feet+stone+hands +gold+Senators+prospect+scoring/5033116/story.html
Jean-Gabriel Pageau – http://www.ottawacitizen.com/sports/hockey/ottawa-senators/ Reality+slowly+sinks+Olympiques+standout+Pageau+Senators+development/5019657/story.html
David Rundblad – http://www.ottawasun.com/2011/06/28/going-green-with-rundblad
Matt Puempel – http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150223161055670&oid=254660295467&comments
Mika Zibanejad – http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150705465750585&oid=254660295467&comments

Free Agency: Day One for the Ottawa Senators–Shifting Focus

The first day of free agency is in the books and as expected the Ottawa Senators were not major players.  Previously, management had indicated a need for a back-up goaltender and a top-six forward in his prime.  The first need has been filled with former Senators goalie Alex Auld (about whom more below), but Bryan Murray made some very interesting comments today that indicates they are looking for something other than a top-six player.

During the interview (http://video.senators.nhl.com/videocenter/console?catid=1196&id=120162&navid=DL|OTT|home, the relevant bits I’ve transcribed below) Murray made a number of points:
-the key element to signing Alex Auld was term (a one-year deal)
-the acquisition of Filatov means they are not looking for another top-six forward (adding further that the performances at the development camp have presented the possibility of a prospect making the team besides Filatov)
-he said they are still looking for “one specific role” on the team that he wouldn’t specify, only saying that the player could grow and develop into his role
-in regards to Ryan Shannon he said he wouldn’t be a regular player with Ottawa, but if he failed to find an opportunity elsewhere they might bring him back (saying they wanted a young player in his spot)

From Murray’s comments it seems clear that he believes they have their top-six group for next year.  Who is this group?  Jason Spezza, Daniel Alfredsson, and Milan Michalek are the no-brainers.  We know Nikita Filatov is going to be given the opportunity and I have to think Bobby Butler and Peter Regin are the other two players.  I’m not sure what the missing ingredient is–unless Chris Neil, Zack Smith, and Matt Carkner don’t provide enough toughness–but it may be a penalty-killer.

In Alex Auld the Senators have acquired a player who is a capable back-up.  He poses no threat to Craig Anderson‘s starter status nor Robin Lehner‘s position as the goaltender of the feature.  Auld‘s previous stay in Ottawa (2008-09) turned out badly largely because of Martin Gerber‘s struggles.  With the defensively minded Montreal Canadiens his numbers were: 16-6-2-2, 2.64, 0.914.

Ottawa also re-signed pugilist Francis Lessard to police Binghamton next season.  Lessard put up the following numbers between Binghamton and Ottawa: 36-2-1-3 and 24-0-0-0, with 187 pim’s in the AHL and another 78 in the NHL.

Murray quotes:
Alex Auld: “he fit our criteria–he can play, he can play well in the league.  He’s a guy that understands his role, that…he understands we have Robin Lehner waiting in the wings to come and play within a year and…I didn’t want to go for term for the backup guy, and Alex was very receptive to that.” And “I thought we were in the market with several other players, but it came down to term.”
Top-six forward: “I thought about it and we’re still talking about one role on the team, but…when we added Filatov–and I think the good thing that’s happened here is we’ve had our development camp going on before this and I see possibilities with young people.  Our plan starting at the trading deadline last year was to put some young people on our team and compete because of energy maybe not experience and that’s what we’re going to try to do.” And “I think early on I said [we were looking for a] top-six [forward], but by getting Filatov here we’re going to give him that chance or one of the other young guys and then we’ll see if we can find the right fit to…kind of round out the roster.”
Ryan Shannon and who they are looking for: “We thought it was fair to Ryan to let him shop and see if he can get a job where maybe he would be a regular player.  He’s used to playing somewhat regular over here and has done a good job and I hope he gets something for him.  If at the end of the day he can’t find a role we might go back to him, but my intent is to put a different type of player in that spot and see that they can grow so that in the second half of this coming year we’re a very competitive hockey team.” And “We’re looking at a particular type of player, yes.”

Ottawa on the Cusp of Free Agency

With the NHL free agency period beginning tomorrow, the Senators are looking to address a pair of specific needs.  The factors to keep in mind: Ottawa is in the first year of a rebuild.  Teams always overpay for free agents, especially teams in smaller markets like Ottawa.  The Senators have repeatedly said they have no interest in expensive free agent talent and are only looking for a backup goaltender and a top-six forward.  Bryan Murray has also said he doesn’t want to sign key players who are at the end of their careers, so at least for the forward the player will be in their prime.  It also makes no sense to sign a back-up who will challenge Craig Anderson (that’s Robin Lehner’s job).

Goaltenders
[Ultimately, Ottawa goes with a blast from the past in signing Alex Auld who was with the club in 2008-09.]
Mathieu Garon – 32, Clb, 36-10-14-6, 2.72, 0.901, 1.2 million
[As per TSN Tampa Bay has signed Garon, http://twitter.com/#!/tsnbobmckenzie]
Capable of taking over the starting role for short periods of time.  He’s affordable and the best backup in the UFA crop to my mind.
Josh Harding – 27, Min, 25-9-12-0, 3.05, 0.905, 1.2 million
[TSN reports Minnesota has re-signed Harding, http://twitter.com/#!/tsnbobmckenzie]
Coming off some injury problems in Minnesota.  Once a top prospect, he’s settled into a back-up role for the Wild.  When he’s healthy, he’s someone who is capable of taking over the starting role for limited periods of time.
Ty Conklin – 35, Stl, 25-8-8-4, 3.22, 0.881, 1.3 million
[Detroit has signed Conklin, http://www.metronews.ca/toronto/sports/article/921815–wings-sign-conklin-after-osgood-s-retirement]
Career back-up coming off a terrible season in St. Louis.  He’s a good team guy  and won’t command much money.

Top-Six Forward
Jussi Jokinen – 28 C/LW, Car, 70-19-33-52, 1.7 million
[Carolina has reportedly re-signed Jokinen, http://hurricanes.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=567837]
In his prime and would fit nicely in the puck-possession style the team wants; it’s unknown if he’d want to go to a rebuilding team.
Tomas Fleischmann – 27 C/LW, Col, 45-12-19-31, 2.6 million
[TSN reports Florida has signed Fleischmann, http://twitter.com/#!/tsnbobmckenzie]
Serious health problems are a concern, but they would also cut down his salary demands.
Scottie Upshall – 27 LW/RW, Clb, 82-22-12-34, 2.25 million
[TSN reports Minnesota has signed Upshall, http://twitter.com/#!/tsnbobmckenzie]
There are reasons he’s bounced around the NHL, but Upshall has skill and would provide energy.
Ville Leino – 27 LW/RW, Phi, 81-19-34-53, 0.8 million
[As per TSN Buffalo has signed Leino, http://twitter.com/#!/tsnbobmckenzie]
Would he come to a rebuilding team?  I suspect Leino wants to win the Cup, so is unlikely to want to come to Ottawa.

I favour Garon and either Leino or Jokinen, but it’s entirely possible Ottawa signs no forwards at all and have to dive into the lower end of the back-up goaltender pool.

Ottawa Senators’ Development Camp

The Ottawa Senators have released their Development Camp (June 28-July 4) roster and schedule (http://senators.nhl.com/club/page.htm?id=69924) and unfortunately Nikita Filatov was not able to come–it’s not a surprise, given that he was traded on Saturday [Tuesday update: Filatov is now expected to arrive and participate, possibly as soon as Wednesday].  Unlike in past years, there are very few undrafted players invited to the camp, but there are points of interest.

This will be the first camp for all the new draftees along with the following: high-end prospect David Rundblad; FA signee’s Pat Cannone (NCAA), Stephane Da Costa (NCAA), and Wacey Hamiltion (WHL).  A complete shock is the inclusion of long-forgotten 2004 pick Kirill Lyamin (who has a two year deal with Avangard Omsk).  Unlike the surprising inclusion of Ruslan Bashkirov last year, it’s difficult to understand why Lyamin has come to Ottawa.  Bashkirov was without a contract and had barely played the previous three seasons, so his agent arranged for his inclusion (which may have helped him land a contract in the VHL–the tier below the KHL).  Lyamin has spent his career in Russia where his progression has as a big, shutdown defenceman has stalled, but I’ve heard no rumblings of him wanting to leave.  It will be interesting to hear his story as the camp unfolds [Tuesday update: Tim Murray was interviewed on the Team 1200 and said Lyamin‘s agent had asked if he could be included at camp].  The only undrafted invites are goaltenders: Scott Greenham (NCAA), Adam Janecyk (NCAA), and Matt O’Connor (USHL).  Janecyk is the son of Sens scout Bob Janecyk.  Absent from the camp (but eligible) are Robin Lehner, Jim O’Brien, Eric Gryba, Craig Schira, and Michael Sdao.

The camp is open to the public and I encourage fans to go–it’s a lot of fun.  I’ve included information about all the players below.

Kirill Lyamin (2-58 2004) – 25, 6’3, DL, Severstal Cherepovets, KHL, 49-3-9-12
Louie Caporusso (3-90 2007) – 22, 5’9, C/LW, Uni. of Mich, NCAA, 41-11-20-31
Ben Blood (4-120 2007) – 22, 6’3, DL, Uni. of North Dakota, NCAA, 44-2-10-12
Patrick Wiercioch (2-42 2008) – 20, 6’4, DL, Binghamton, AHL, 67-4-14-18
Andre Petersson (4-109 2008) – 20, 5’10, RW, HV71, SEL, 31-8-4-12
Derek Grant (4-119 2008) – 21, 6’3, CL, Mich. State, NCAA, 38-8-25-33
Mark Borowiecki (5-139 2008) – 21, 6’2, DL, Clarkson, NCAA, 31-3-8-11
Jared Cowen (1-9 2009) – 20, 6’5, DL, Spokane, WHL, 58-18-30-48
David Rundblad (1-17 Stl 2009) – 20, 6’2, DR, Skelleftea, SEL, 55-11-39-50
Jakob Silfverberg (2-39 2009) – 20, 6’1, F, Brynas, SEL, 53-18-16-34
Chris Wideman (4-100 2009) – 21, 5’10, DR, Miami, NCAA, 39-3-20-23
Mike Hoffman (5-130 2009) – 21, 6’0, C/LW, Binghamton, AHL, 74-7-18-25
Jeff Costello (5-146 2009) – 20, 6’0, LW, Notre Dame, NCAA, 44-12-6-18
Corey Cowick (6-160 2009) – 22, 6’2, LW, Binghamton, AHL, 30-1-3-4
Brad Peltz (7-190 2009) – 21, 6’1, LW, Yale, NCAA, did not play
David Dziurzynski (FA BCHL 2010) – 21, 6’3, F/LW, Binghamton, AHL, 75-6-14-20
Jakub Culek (3-76 2010) – 18, 6’4, LW, Rimouski, QMJHL, 55-7-15-22
Marcus Sorensen (4-106 2010) – 19, 5’11, RW, Djurgarden J20, 31-14-22-36
Mark Stone (6-178 2010) – 19, 6’2, RW, Brandon, WHL, 71-37-69-106
Bryce Aneloski (7-196 2010) – 21, 6’2, DR, Nebraska-Omaha, NCAA, 39-2-17-19
Stephane Da Costa (FA 2011 NCAA) – 21, 5’11, CR, Merrimack, NCAA, 33-14-31-45
Pat Cannone (FA 2011 NCAA) – 24, 6’0, CR, Miami, 39-14-23-37
Wacey Hamilton (FA 2011 WHL) – 20, 5’10, CL, Medicine Hat, WHL, 67-20-53-73
Mika Zibanejad (1-6 2011) – 18, 6’2, C/RW, Djurgarden, SEL, 26-5-4-9
Stefan Noesen (1-21 2011) – 18, 6’0, RW, Plymouth, OHL, 68-34-43-77
Matt Puempel (1-24 2011) – 18, 6’0, LW, Peterborough, OHL, 55-34-35-69
Shane Prince (2-61 2011) – 18, 5’10, CL, Ottawa 67s, OHL, 59-25-63-88
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (4-96 2011) – 18, 5’9, RW, Gatineau, QMJHL, 67-32-47-79
Fredrik Claesson (5-126 2011) – 18, 6’0, DL, Djurgarden, SEL, 35-2-0-2
Darren Kramer (6-156 2011) – 19, 6’1, CL, Spokane, WHL, 68-7-7-14
Max McCormick (6-171 2011) – 19, 5’11, LW, Sioux City, USHL, 55-21-21-42
Jordan Fransoo (7-186 2011) – 18, 6’2, DR, Brandon, WHL, 63-6-12-18
Ryan Dzingel (7-204 2011) – 19, 6’0, CL, Lincoln, USHL, 54-23-44-67
Scott Greenham (FA invite NCAA) – 24, 6’2, GL, Alaska-Fairbanks, NCAA, 38-16-17-5, 2.23, 0.917
Matt O’Connor (FA invite USHL) – 21, 6’4, GL, Youngstown, USHL, 29-10-16-2, 3.43, 0.886
Adam Janecyk (FA invite NCAA) – 21, 6’0, GL, Uni. of Michigan, NCAA, faced one shot in one game

Reviewing the Ottawa Senators’ 2011 NHL Entry Draft

[July 25th update: Red Line Report‘s draft analysis has come out and Ottawa was ranked as having the 3rd best draft (behind Edmonton and Florida).  “The draft was all about their aggressive trade-ups to secure players they felt strongly about.  Mika Zibanejad is the big power center they’ve lacked forever [apparently Mike Fisher was not].  For a team with no offence, Matt Puempel was a godsend at No. 24 as one of the best pure scorers in the draft.  Nobody improved as much as Stefan Noesen over the course of the season.  And Shane Prince is a first round talent stolen at the top of the 3rd round [they mean the end of the 2nd] – only available due to troubling late season shoulder and head injuries.  In the later rounds, they also tapped the draft’s nastiest enforcer in Darren Kramer.  That’s four of Red Line‘s top 36 ranked prospects, plus our best fighter.”  They also list Shane Prince as the 14th best value pick [“Clear 1st round talent in our view.  Did enough before the injuries that he shouldn’t have dropped this far, but small guys always have ot deal with durability concerns.”  All in all, very positive sentiments, unlike their review of last year’s draft.]

With the draft in the books it’s time to take a look at how the Ottawa Senators did.  Following the team’s usual pattern under Murray, they selected a Swede (two this year), over-age players (three), a player off-the-board (Fransoo), and made draft-day deals (trading picks #35 and #48 to Detroit for #24, then trading pick #66 for Nikita Filatov).  They also illustrated how much their own player rankings varied from those published (for example, taking Noesen at #21, whose best ranking I could find was Bob McKenzie’s at #33).  In total the team selected eight forwards and two defensemen.

The picks are outlined below, followed by scouting reports on each of them.

First Round
-selected Mika Zibanejad 6th overall
-selected Stefan Noesen 21st overall (Nashville’s pick, acquired in the Mike Fisher trade)
-traded two second round picks (their own at #35 and Chicago’s at #48, which was acquired in the Chris Campoli trade) to Detroit in order to select Matt Puempel 24th overall

Second Round (31 picks due to Montreal’s compensatory selection)
-35th overall pick traded to Detroit (Tomas Jurco)
-48th overall pick traded to Detroit (Xavier Ouellet)
-selected Shane Prince with the 61st overall pick which they acquired from Boston in the Chris Kelly trade

Third Round (29 picks due to New Jersey losing their’s for the voided Ilya Kovalchuk contract)
-traded their third round pick (#66) to Columbus for Nikita Filatov; Columbus selected T. J. Tynan

Fourth Round
-selected Jean-Gabriel Pageau 96th overall

Fifth Round
-selected Fredrik Claesson 126th overall

Sixth Round
-selected Darren Kramer 156th overall
-selected Max McCormick 171st overall (Anaheim’s pick acquired in the Jarkko Ruutu trade)

Seventh Round
-selected Jordan Fransoo 186th overall
-selected Ryan Dzingel 204th overall (Pittsburgh’s pick acquired in the Alex Kovalev trade)

The Players

Mika Zibanejad (C/RW, 6’2, DOB 1993, 26-5-4-9 SEL)
The second highest ranked European by Central Scouting,  Zibanejad split the year playing for Djurgarden’s junior and men’s team.  An assistant captain for Sweden’s under-18 team (where he tied Gustav Bjorklund for the team lead in points), he’s considered to be one of players in the draft closest to being NHL-ready (“Like Landeskog, he’s physically developed and capable of playing with men“, THN).  Prior to the draft Zibanejad was brought with Ryan Strome (#5 to the Islanders) and Sean Couturier (#8 to Philadelphia) to workout with the team–there’s little reason to doubt the three were the competing options for Ottawa depending on who remained at the #6 slot.  I don’t foresee the Sens rushing Zibanejad, so if he isn’t ready for the NHL he’ll be returned to Djurgarden.  Otherwise, he’ll compete with either Peter Regin as the second-line pivot or Bobby Butler on right wing.
Two things to note in the scouting reports: ISS and RLR have the exact opposite opinion of his ability to receive difficult passes; RLR and FC have the opposite opinion of his speed.  Regardless, all the comparisons are flattering and deserving of such a high pick.
The ISS Scouting Report (ranked #7): “A very intense player, Zibanejad has extremely explosive technical skills combined with great power and a determined work ethic. He applies tremendous physical pressure on the puck carrier in all zones and can really hammer opponents with his hitting ability. He displayed excellent awareness and intelligence away from the puck and is always calculating his next move. Zibanejad drives the net well and never has very much trouble penetrating the middle lanes off the rush with the puck. His hands and offensive timing could still stand to improve as he doesn’t always handle passes well and struggles to deal with bouncing pucks. NHL Potential: Two-way energy player who can fit a variety of roles including special teams and offensive situations. Style compares to: Jarome Iginla.”  They list his strengths as his intensity, passion, desire, and net drives, while his weaknesses are his backhand pass reception and shot execution.  They list his physical play and competitiveness as excellent and all his other skills as very good (besides size/strength which is merely “good”).
The Future Considerations assessment (ranked #10): “Strengths: A balanced wide leg skater who has a nice top speed that once he get it going is hard to stop or slow down. A power game and uses his strength and size to his advantage in both sides of the puck. Throws hits, has good energy and engages in battles all over the ice, usually coming out ahead. Hard to knock off the puck as he shields it with his reach and body
positioning. Sees the ice well and makes chances for himself and his teammates by driving the puck to the net or getting one of his heavy and accurate shots on net. Can handle the puck but is not really a quick stick puck dangler but instead utilizing more of the strong power moves and positioning. Plays with some compete and real desire to win. Defensively he has some room to grow but is aware most of the time and does backcheck effectively. Should be a real beast once he adds another twenty pounds of muscle. Weaknesses: Largest area that needs work in his game is his foot speed and overall quickness out of the gate. This is not considered something that will hold him back from getting to the next level but more of a small blemish to an overall impressive package and should be easily corrected. Could also use some added leg strength which will help his skating correct itself. Notes: Started off the year as a solid prospect in the books of most but it wasn’t until the month of December that he became a must see prospect. He has been compared to Mats Sundin by some in the scouting community. NHL POTENTIAL: First line offensive forward.
Other rankings: Hockey Prospect’s #4, TSN #9, THN #11.

Stefan Noesen (RW, 6’0, DOB 1993, 68-34-43-77 OHL)
An off-the-board pick in the sense that his highest ranking was Bob Mckenzie’s at #33, the Sens were clearly thrilled to get him.  Noesen’s production in Plymouth almost muliplied by 10 this season (scoring eight points in thirty-three games last year) and clearly the Sens believe the sky is the limit.  He was tied with Robert Czarnik (LA 3rd rounder from 2008) for leading his team in scoring.  There’s no reason to doubt that he will be returned to the OHL next season to continue developing.
The assessments below are all very similar, with the only variety being projections about his upside.  THN quotes a scout “He’s very skilled, has great speed and makes plays at full speed” and then they add “Consistency is an issue“.
The ISS Scouting Report (ranked #49): “He kept elevating his game throughout the year to secure his promising ranking here at ISS for the upcoming NHL draft. Noesen is a big, physical center that plays a real hard-nosed style of game. He possesses a very good combination of physical tools; he skates well considering his size, displays soft hands and a real touch with the puck while using his size effectively. He seems to relish playing in traffic while showing a willingness to compete in all three zones. Noesen shows the odd flash of quickness and he is always moving his feet. A very unselfish player, he is aware of where his teammates are and makes good crisp passes. Excellent secondary scoring option that brings great energy to shifts. NHL Potential: Solid two-way forward can chip in offensively. Style compares to: Colin Wilson.”  They list his strengths as playing hard in all three zones, being a competitor, and having a heavy shot; his weaknesses are foot speed and keeping his feet moving.  Most of his assessments are listed as very good, with his puck skills, offensive/defensive play given a “good” and his skating “average”.
The Future Considerations assessment (ranked #45): “A hard working winger with some offensive ability. A good straight line skater who has some trouble with quick turns and his first couple steps. Nothing that will hinder him from developing but should improve with added strength and time. Is a tenacious forechecker who likes to lay the body and disrupt using physical play. Hard along the wall and drives to the net with
abandon. A very strong penalty killer who is not afraid to drop in front of shots and take a hit to make a simple clearing play. Has a good quick stick and a nice hard shot. Put up some good point totals as an opportunistic scorer this past season however his pro offensive upside is questionable as he lacks creativity and offensive instincts.  NHL POTENTIAL: Third line checking forward.
Other rankings: TSN #33, CS #35NA, HP #36, THN #39.

Matt Puempel (LW, 6’0, DOB 1993, 55-34-33-69 OHL)
Ranked between #15 (RLR) and #29 (ISS), Ottawa traded two picks to get Puempel, who was nearly selected at #21 instead of Noesen.  A hip-injury hurt his season, but the former CHL rookie of the year easily lead Peterborough in scoring.  Like Noesen, there’s no reason to expect that he won’t be returned to junior to continue his development.
The scouting reports below include two comparisons to Patrick Sharp (ISS and RLR) along with two admonishments that he needs to improve his effort level (RLR and FC), with THN saying “He’s not a great skater, but he has good feet and is a pretty hard worker“.
The ISS Scouting Report (ranked #29): “Puempel is a left handed skilled forward that possesses a great stick and shows a high end of ability to finish. His lofty ranking here at ISS may surprise some experts however. Pure goal scorers are a highly sought after
commodity come draft day, and Puempel may just be the best sniper in this draft. Has good speed with quick acceleration. He makes a lot of smart touches with the puck and makes pretty solid decisions. He is at his best in the offensive zone, especially below the top of the face off circles. He has tremendous offensive instincts and is tenacious in offensive situations. He had to have season ending hip surgery, causing him to miss the Under 18’s, however he is expected to make a full recover. NHL Potential: Pure goal scorer with a bright future ahead of him at the next level. Style compares to: Patrick Sharp.”  They rate his shot as excellent, defensive and physical play average, competitiveness and size/strength good, and everything else very good.
The Future Considerations assessment (ranked #16): “Strengths: A goal scorer who puts up good offensive numbers. When on his game, is a force on the ice not only offensively but also with a little agitation to the opposition. Skates well with a healthy amount of speed and an extra gear that comes out when he has the puck on his stick and smells blood in the offensive zone. Shows good creativity with the puck and instinctive offensive anticipation. Possesses goal scorers hands that delivers a heavy snap shots and an accurate wrist shot with lightning quick release. Finds the sweet spots on the ice to get open for a scoring opportunity and has a willingness to go to the net looking for rebound opportunities. When he is on his game he is a threat to score every time he is on the ice. Weaknesses: Consistency is something he will need to improve if he plans on becoming a productive pro hockey player. You never knew what you were going to see in Peterborough or if you would see him at all as he went through stretches of invisibility. Needs to round out his game and work on the defensive aspect as well as his board work to really up his overall effectiveness from shift to shift. Showed that a goal scorer is not much use to a team if he is not scoring goals and that is the rut he fell into a couple times this past season. Notes: His season was an up and down roller coaster ride as he started the year with a bad back while playing at the Ivan Hlinka U18 Championship before coming on mid-season in the OHL and then missing the final month with a bone chip on his hip which ultimately required surgery to repair. He is not excepted to have any long term negative effects from his injury. NHL POTENTIAL: Top six goal scoring forward.
Other rankings: THN #21, HP #23, TSN #27, CS #28NA.

Shane Prince (C/LW, 5’10, DOB 1992, 59-25-63-88 OHL)
The final selection of the second round, Prince becomes only the third Ottawa 67 selected by the Senators (after 2009’s Corey Cowick and 2003’s Will Colbert).  An undersized, skilled forward, Prince will return to the 67s for another year of development.
The scouting community cited below is divided along the lines of whether Prince benefitted from his linemates or vice versa (ISS and RLR); he’s viewed as a boom or bust selection.  THN cites two scouts with varying opinions, one emphasizing his results and the other saying “I’m not sure how much substance there is“.
The ISS Scouting Report (ranked #72): “Prince hasn’t enjoyed a lot of the same hype that fellow OHLer Ryan Strome has even while eclipsing him in the scoring column for part of the season. The reason for this is that scouts believe Princes stronger supporting cast is amplifying his skill set and that without this he doesn’t project as well. Ranked much higher at CSS, however ISS scouts have not been impressed by Prince’s production away from his star teammate Tyler Toffoli. Prince is the big risk/reward!” All his skills are listed as very good except his size/strength which is “average”.
The Future Considerations assessment (ranked #39): “A small but highly skilled playmaker who likes the puck on his stick. He skates real well with both impressive top speed and a nice quick jump to his first couple steps. Has soft hands that enable him to dance around the offensive zone with the puck looking for an opportunity. Excellent vision and timing on his passes. Can not only set-up a play but also shows some nice goal scoring ability as well. Does not have the ideal size and can get crunched pretty good by bigger bodies. Can play a solid defensive responsible game when needed but not always willing, preferring to stay on the attack. If game gets chippy, Prince has the tendency to become invisible and a non-factor. One heck of a good Junior player but pro upside and how his game translates to the next level is the real question. NHL POTENTIAL: Top six playmaking forward.
Other rankings: CS #26NA, TSN #43, THN #52, HP #69.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (RW, 5’8, DOB 1992, 67-32-47-79 QMJHL)
A small forward from the Gatineau Olympiques who lead his team in scoring and impressed Senators brass with his strong playoff performance (24-13-16-29).  His rankings were all over the place (from #61 by Hockey Prospect’s to #176 by RLR).  None of the scouting material I read had a detailed report on Pageau, but RLR offers this, “Another midget with 2nd round skills, but no size“, and THN “Hardworking and very talented, size is an obvious handicap“.  He’ll return to junior to continue his development.  Other rankings: THN #93, ISS #102, CS #116NA, #159 FC.

Fredrik Claesson (DL, 6’0, DOB 1992, 35-2-0-2 SEL)
Ranked as the #27 European skater by Central Scouting, Claesson spent most of the year playing with Zibanejad‘s Djurgarden’s SEL squad (he also played with Sens draft pick Marcus Sorensen, who will play with Skelleftea next year).  He was the youngest blueliner to dress for the team.  Last year he won a silver medal at the under-18 WJC.  The organisation has compared him to Anton Volchenkov, which is high praise indeed, but he’ll return to Sweden for at least another year.  Other rankings: ISS #112 and FC #172.

Darren Kramer (CL, 6’1 DOB 1991, 68-7-7-14 WHL)
A rough and tumble player who was passed over in the 2010 draft.  Krammer made the jump from the AJHL to the WHL and turned into a glue-guy for Spokane (Jared Cowen‘s team; also coached by former Binghamton bench boss Don Nachbaur, who loves him–see the Silver Seven link below).  According to Hockey Fights he dropped the gloves 47 times this past season, so the focus in his development will be less on toughness and more about rounding out his game.  He’ll be returned for his final junior year.  Only RLR had him ranked coming into the draft (#242), calling him the best fighter available.
http://www.hockeyfights.com/players/15705
http://www.silversevensens.com/2011/6/25/2243902/senators-select-darren-kramer-156th-overall

Max McCormick (LW, 5’11, DOB 1992, 55-21-21-42 USHL)
Ranked #161 CSNA (but nowhere else), McCormick is on his way to Ohio State of the NCAA after his first and only USHL season.  He was named an all-star while leading his team in penalty minutes.  Last year he won Wisconsin’s Mr. Hockey award after posting huge numbers for Notre Dame.  A long term project, McCormick is a hard working energy forward who can fight.  He’s expected to spend the full four years in college under the tutelage of coach Mark Osiecki.

Jordan Fransoo (DR, 6’2, DOB 1993, 63-6-12-18 WHL)
Not listed anywhere that I could find, Fransoo graduated from the SMHL to join Mark Stone on the Brandon Wheat Kings.  Fransoo is viewed as a very raw defenceman that will develop slowly (the Silver Seven say he’s expected to be a physical blueliner).  He’ll spend the next two seasons with Brandon.
http://www.silversevensens.com/2011/6/25/2243947/ottawa-senators-take-d-jordan-fransoo-at-186-overall

Ryan Dzingel (CL, 6’0, DOB 1992, 54-23-44-67 USHL)
Eligible for last year’s draft, the Sens selected the Lincoln Stars leading scorer as a long term project.  He’ll join Max McCormick at Ohio State where it’s expected he’ll spend the full four years developing.  The hope is that he’ll turn into a high skill, top end player.

Reviewing the 2011 NHL Entry Draft

[No one has been waiting for an update to this data, but I wanted to incorporate ISS’ into the analysis.  While the scouting organisation does not rank skaters and goalies together, that information is presented in a way that I can be reasonably incorporate it.  In essence, all I’ve done is include the number of goalies per round within the framework and adjusted the skaters accordingly–this gives ISS 220 kicks at the can, but that’s a minor statistical advantage.]

Going into this year’s draft the consensus was that beyond the top-10 there was little difference between the next 40 or so players and that after that, the draft would be something of a crapshoot (each team having its own ideas on the calibre of particular players).  Without a doubt, the conventional wisdom was spot on.  Collective predictions held up fairly well over the first two rounds, but after the third round prognostication crashed and burned.

The Comparison:

First Two Rounds (all sources)
Myself – 47/61
TSN – 43/61
FC – 40/61
HP – 38/61
RLR – 36/61
THN/ISS – 33/61

First Three Rounds (minus TSN because Bob McKenzie’s list is only the top-60)
Myself – 56/90
FC – 47/90
HP – 46/90
RLR – 45/90
ISS – 41/90
THN – 38/90

All Rounds (this excludes TSN and THN)
Myself – 68/210 (32%)
RLR – 58/210 (27%)
FC – 57/210 (27%)
ISS – 56/220 (25%)
HP – 49/210 (23%)

Listed players taken (not necessarily in order, but those listed to be selected in the draft)
Myself – 147/210 (70%)
ISS – 132/220 (60%)
HP – 100/210 (47%)
RLR – 93/210 (44%)
FC – 93/210 (44%)
Overage players selected: 29
Unranked players taken: 10 [Alexander Ruutu (2-51), Tom Nilsson (4-100), Emil Molin (4-105), Yaroslav Kosov (5-124), Nick Seeler (5-131), Sam Jardine (6-169), Mitchell Theoret (7-185), Jordan Fransoo (7-186), Anton Forsberg (7-188), and Michael Schumacher (7-200)]

The numbers are well below last year (with 72% accuracy and 87% of those listed), but still ahead of the sources used.  One trend I noticed with selections in terms of source-assessments: European skaters were both underrated and the least accurately rated.  The most surprising player not drafted was Jeremy Boyce-Rotevall (Myles Bell had better overall rankings, but with his legal troubles it’s not a surprise that he was not selected).

This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)