Belleville at 34-Game Mark

This snapshot has the BSens at the 34-game mark (once again the schedule made a 10-game segment awkward to do & the post was delayed due to illness–they’ve since lost to Utica and Laval). We’ll start with a snapshot of the standings:

The BSens winning percentage started to crawl forward (7th in their conference). In this set of games they went 6-3-0 (4-2-0 in the division). Special teams: PP 16.4% (+1.8), PK 78.3% (-0.4)–the horrible NHL PK is being replicated at the AHL-level; GF 25, GA 22, which in terms of per-game is 2.77 (-0.48) and 2.44 (-1.06); the BSens are the second lowest scoring team in their conference, but not by much.

Game by Game
Cleveland 1-2 (Saulnier/Daoust still injured; Sebrango, Smejkal returned; Larsson NHL; Merilainen back to ECHL)
Wilkes-Barre 1-5 (Crookshank/Smejkal to NHL)
Toronto 4-3 (Heatherington to Spengler)
Laval 4-1 (M. Boucher back to ECHL; Heatherington Spengler)
Toronto 3-2 (no change)
Manitoba 2-1 (Heatherington/Saulnier back)
Manitoba 4-0 (Smejkal/Crookshank back; Fizer to ECHL; Lukosevicius released)
Toronto 0-8 (Sogaard NHL; Merilainen recalled from the ECHL; Jarventie, McPhee injury)
Toronto 6-2 (Imama suspended; McPhee returns)

Individual Performances
I’ve marked those significantly above/below their career averages (cf, where appropriate); @=veteran, *=rookie, #AHL-contract, %=PTO, italics=drafted player. The NHL tallies are year-to-date rather than segment-related.

Forwards
Sokolov 12-5-6-11 (12-4-2-6/34-11-12-23)
Jarventie 10-5-5-10 (6-3-4-7/22-9-11-20)
@Currie 11-4-2-6 (11-1-2-3/29-6-6-12)
@Highmore 12-2-4-6 (3-0-1-1/24-4-10-14)
*Ostapchuk
12-4-1-5 (12-3-0-3/34-9-3-12)
@Pilon 11-1-4-5 (12-5-6-11/31-9-12-21)
#McPhee 8-2-2-4 (5-1-0-1/20-4-2-6)
*T. Boucher 10-1-3-4 (injured)
Reinhardt
12-2-1-3 (6-0-3-3/28-4-7-11)
#Saulnier 4-1-1-2 (injured/13-2-2-4)
*Smejkal 5-2-0-2 (10-2-4-6/22-5-6-11) NHL: 7-0-1-1 TOI 10:13
Crookshank
5-1-1-2 (12-7-6-13/27-10-11-21) NHL: 7-1-1-2 TOI 8:50
%Betts 7-1-1-2 (11-0-3-3/19-1-4-5)
@Imama 11-0-1-1 (10-1-4-5/28-1-6-7)
*#Fizer 1-0-0-0 (3-0-1-1/12-0-0-1)
%M. Boucher 5-0-0-0 (12-2-6-8/17-2-6-8) no longer on roster
%Lukosevicius 7-0-0-0 (11-2-1-3/19-2-1-3) no longer on roster
(Daoust 4-0-2-2) injured

The upswing for McPhee doesn’t mean very much, I’m simply noting it because it’s not something I thought he could do. As for Reinhardt, this isn’t concerning unless it continues, as historically he’s always had offensive droughts. Highmore is more troubling and I’m not clear what the issue is. It’s nice to see Sokolov rounding into form after a career worst start.

Defense
@Larsson 9-2-5-7 (9-0-2-2/27-4-7-11)
Guenette 12-1-4-5 (12-2-7-9/34-4-18-22)
*Kleven 12-0-5-5 (6-1-1-2/22-1-8-9)
Thomson 12-0-2-2 (12-2-3-5/34-3-7-10)
*Matinpalo 12-0-2-2 (12-1-2-3/29-1-5-6)
Sebrango 9-0-1-1 (injured)
@Heatherington 7-0-0-0 (12-1-2-3/28-2-2-4)
#MacKinnon 2-0-0-0 (9-0-2-2/17-0-3-3)

What Larsson is doing is unsustainable–he’s had a long pro career and putting up points has never been part of it. Thomson is suffering because he’s been pulled from the PP. Otherwise we’re simply seeing Guenette return to more expected production and that Sebrango hasn’t found a new gear to change his fate.

Goaltenders
Sogaard 3-1-0 .920 2.48
*Merilainen 1-0-0 .904 3.15 [ECHL 9-4-0 .926 2.97]
Mandolese 4-2-0 .893 3.47
#Sinclair [ECHL 8-8-0 .900 4.18]

The song remains the same–Mandolese goes through hot and cold streaks while Merilainen slowly continues to grow. How much having Justin Peters promoted to the NHL impacts things remains uncertain.

This post is late–unfortunately I was ill last week so I didn’t get this out on time. In general, given the talent limitations of the club I think the performance is about as expected.

This article was written by Peter Levi

BSens Through 22 Games

How time flies as the BSens are now at the 22-game mark (here are my comments on the first 10; the schedule made another 10-game segment awkward to do). We’ll start with a snapshot of the standings:

While the BSens winning percentage has barely moved, they’ve technically moved up the standings slightly (although their position via winning percentage is unchanged). The most recent segment: 5-4-3; going 4-2-0 in the division; PP 14.6% (-2.4%); PK 78.7% (-1.8%); GF 39 (+12); GA 42 (+12)–because this covers two extra games we’d expect more goals for/against, but in terms of per-game the team has gone from 2.7 to 3.25 and 3.0 to 3.5 (so both have increased unrelated to the extra games).

Game by Game
2-1 Cleveland (injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier; Sebrango)
4-6 Laval (injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier; Sebrango; in Ottawa: Sogaard, Larsson)
2-3 Manitoba (injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier; Sebrango)
1-8 Lehigh (injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier; Sebrango)
3-4 (OT) Hartford (Kleven, Larsson returned; Supryka released from PTO; PTO Orrin Centazzo; injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier, McPhee, Reinhardt; Sebrango)
2-4 Bridgeport (injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier, McPhee, Reinhardt; Sebrango)
6-3 Utica (Jarventie, Sogaard returned; Merilainen to ECHL; injured: Fizer, T. Boucher, Daoust, Saulnier, McPhee, Reinhardt; Sebrango)
2-3 Rochester (no changes)
4-2 Rochester (no changes)
5-2 Laval (Highmore, Reinhardt, Fizer back; Sogaard injured; Centazzo released; Sebrango loaned to ECHL)
5-2 Grand Rapids (Smejkal to Ottawa; Merilainen recalled)
3-4 (OT) Grand Rapids (Sogaard back from injury)

Individual Performances
I’ve marked those significantly above/below their career averages (cf, where appropriate); @=veteran, *=rookie, #AHL-contract, %=PTO, italics=drafted player. The NHL tallies are year-to-date rather than segment-related.

Forwards
Crookshank 12-7-6-13 (22-9-10-19)
@Pilon 12-5-6-11 (20-8-8-16)
%M. Boucher 12-2-7-9 (14-2-7-9)
Jarventie 6-3-4-7 (12-4-6-10) NHL: 7-0-1-1 TOI 7:31
*Smejkal 10-2-4-6 (17-3-6-9) NHL: 2-0-0-0 TOI 6:51
Sokolov 12-4-2-6 (22-6-6-12)
@Imama 10-1-4-5 (17-1-5-6)
Reinhardt 6-0-3-3 (16-2-6-8)
%Lukosevicius 11-2-1-3 (12-2-1-3)
@Currie 11-1-2-3 (18-2-4-6)
%Betts 11-0-3-3 (12-0-3-3)
*Ostapchuk 12-3-0-3 (22-5-2-7)
@Highmore 3-0-1-1 (12-2-6-8) NHL: 6-0-1-1 TOI 7:59
*#Fizer 3-0-1-1 (11-0-1-1)
%Centazzo 4-1-0-1 [no longer on the roster]
#McPhee 5-1-0-1 (12-2-0-2)
(@MacEwen 4-2-0-2) NHL: 10-0-1-1 TOI 4:45
(#Saulnier 9-1-1-2)
(Daoust 4-0-2-2)

The biggest surprise are Sokolov‘s struggles. I think he’ll snap out of it as he’s well below his career average (0.79 coming into the season, he’s at just 0.54 right now). The other notable is veteran signee Currie, whose struggles are to the point where I have to assume the team wants to move him (there were signs of a decline when he was in KHL). On the positive side, Crookshank is starting to look like the form he had when he broke into the league and M. Boucher is enjoying the most success he’s had at this level as a pro (although that’s probably not sustainable). One trivial note I want to make is that Betts has tripled his prior production last season with the BSens (however anemic that still remains).

Defense
Guenette 12-2-7-9 (22-3-14-17)
Thomson 12-2-3-5 (22-3-5-8)
*Matinpalo 12-1-2-3 (17-2-2-4) NHL 4-0-0-0 TOI 7:00
@Heatherington 12-1-2-3 (21-2-2-4)
*Kleven 6-1-1-2 (10-1-3-4) NHL 5-0-1-1 11:01
@Larsson 9-0-2-2 (18-2-2-4)
#MacKinnon 9-0-2-2 (15-0-3-3)
JBD 2-0-0-0 NHL 18-1-3-4 TOI 16:50
%Supryka 3-0-0-0 (7-0-0-0) [no longer on the roster]
Sebrango [ECHL 4-1-1-2]

Guenette has managed to maintain his hot pace and is the primary offensive driver from the blueline. Thomson is gradually moving back to his usual pace production (0.30->0.41, with 0.59 being the norm), but other than perhaps Kleven the team (as predicted) struggles to generate offense from the back end. It also looks like it will be safe to remove JBD from this list next time as he seems locked in Ottawa.

Goaltenders
Sogaard 1-0-2 (5-3-2 .922 2.51)
*Merilainen 2-3-0 [ECHL 1-1-0] (3-3-1 .901 3.41)
Mandolese 2-1-1 [ECHL 0-1-0] (2-2-1 .889 3.80)
#Sinclair [ECHL 3-4-0]

I mentioned prior to the season that Mandolese is consistently inconsistent and this persists. Merilainen experienced his first bumps as an AHL-pro, but that shouldn’t cause concern and in the ECHL he’s been by far the best goaltender. Sogaard has remained excellent and seems to be back on form after an inconsistent 2022-23.

Powerplay Production (6 goals)
Sokolov 3-1-4 (5-3-8)
Crookshank 1-2-3 (1-4-5)
Guenette 0-3-3 (1-7-8)
Jarventie 0-2-2 (1-2-3)
Smejkal 1-0-0 (2-1-3)
Ostapchuk 1-0-1
Reinhardt 0-1-1 (1-1-2)
Matinpalo 0-1-1 (1-1-2)
(Highmore 1-3-4)
(Thomson 0-2-2)
(Currie 0-1-1)
(Pilon 0-1-1)

The BSens are still figuring out their powerplay as only Guenette and Sokolov are producing consistently. Special teams in general have been poor and I feel like are among the indicators of coaching impact, but there’s still time for things to solidify and improve.

This article was written by Peter Levi

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