Future Considerations 2012 NHL Draft Guide

Future Considerations 2012 NHL draft guide is out and here’s a look at their top-30 rankings along with my thoughts about the publication:

1). RW Nail Yakupov, Sarnia, OHL, 5-10.5, 189

2). C Alex Galchenyuk, Sarnia, OHL, 6-1, 185

3). D Ryan Murray, Everett, WHL, 6-0.5, 200

4). C Mikhail Grigorenko, Quebec, QMJHL, 6-3, 200

5). LW Filip Forsberg, Leksand, Swe., 6-2, 180

6). D Jacob Trouba, USNTDP U18, USHL, 6-2, 195

7). D Griffin Reinhart, Edmonton, WHL, 6-4, 205

8). RW Teuvo Teravainen, Jokerit Jr., Fin Jr., 5-11, 165

9). D Morgan Rielly, Moose Jaw, WHL, 5-11.5, 190

10). D Mathew Dumba, Red Deer, WHL, 5-11.5, 180

11). D Cody Ceci, Ottawa, OHL, 6-2.5, 210

12). RW Sebastian Collberg, Frolunda Jr., Swe Jr., 5-11, 175

13). C Radek Faksa, Kitchener, OHL, 6-3, 200

14). D Derrick Pouliot, Portland, WHL, 5-11, 185

15). D Hampus Lindholm, Rogle Jr., Swe Jr. 6-2, 195

16). RW Colton Sissons, Kelowna, WHL, 6-1, 190

17). LW Nicolas Kerdiles, USNTDP U18, USHL, 6-1.5, 200

18). C Brendan Gaunce, Belleville, OHL, 6-2, 215

19). C Zemgus Girgensons, Dubuque, USHL, 6-1.5, 200

20). C Tomas Hertl, Slavia Praha, Czech Rep, 6-2, 195

21). G Andrei Vasilevski, Ufa, MHL, 6’-3.5”, 205

22). LW Pontus Aberg, Djurgarden, SEL., 5-11, 195

23). D Slater Koekkoek, Peterborough, OHL, 6-2, 185

24). D Ludvig Bystrom, Modo Jr., Swe Jr., 6-1, 205

25). G Oscar Dansk, Brynas Jr., Swe Jr., 6-2.5, 185

26). D Matt Finn, Guelph, OHL, 6-0, 195

27). D Olli Maatta, London, OHL, 6-1.5, 190

28). D Dalton Thrower, Saskatoon, WHL, 5-11.5, 190

29). G Malcolm Subban, Belleville, OHL, 6-1, 188

30). RW Tom Wilson, Plymouth, OHL, 6-4, 205

In FC’s mock draft they have Ottawa selecting Hampus Lindholm in the first round, saying “A nice cupboard full of forward talent from the past three drafts means the semi-rebuild will be a quick one. They need to focus now on acquiring some impact defensemen with their first rounder and possibly their second rounder in this draft. They go back to Sweden where they have experienced success and grab Lindholm with this pick.”  They list Ottawa’s needs as “A couple puck moving defensemen and goaltender depth.”  I agree wholeheartedly about the organisational need, although I expect the Sens will take the best player available.

Unlike the ISS guide there’s no examination of team depth, but they include goaltenders in their general listings (unlike ISS or Central Scouting) and for an inexpensive product Future Considerations is a solid purchase.  In terms of predictive success, last year FC was at the bottom of publications in terms of the percentage of listed players selected (44%, tied with Red Line Report), but was tied for first (again with RLR) for the most specific selections (player X at position X).

ISS 2012 NHL Draft Guide

The ISS 2012 NHL draft guide has been released and these are their final rankings with changes marked in brackets (here are their previous rankings).  ISS does not rank goaltenders and skaters together, but none of the goaltending prospects are thought to be worthy of first-round selection:
1. Yakupov, Nail, LW 10/6/93 L 5.10.5 189 Sarnia OHL
2. Forsberg, Filip, RW 8/13/94 R 6.01 176 Leksands SweAl
3. Murray, Ryan, LD 9/27/93 L 6.00.5 201 Everett WHL
4. Grigorenko, Mikhail, RW 5/16/94 L 6.03.25 200 Québec QMJHL
5. Trouba, Jacob, RD 2/26/94 R 6.02 196 USA Under-18 NTDP
6. Reinhart, Griffin, LD 1/24/94 L 6.03.75 207 Edmonton WHL  (+4)
7. Rielly, Morgan, LD 3/9/94 L 5.11.5 190 Moose Jaw WHL
8. Dumba, Matt, RD 7/25/94 R 5.11.75 183 Red Deer WHL (-2)
9. Teuvo Teravainen, LW, 09/11/94, 5.11 161 Jokerit FinE (-1)
10. Ceci, Cody, RD 12/21/93 R 6.02.5 207 Ottawa OHL (-1)
11. Gaunce, Brendan, C 3/25/94 L 6.02 215 Belleville OHL
12. Maatta, Olli, LD 8/22/94 L 6.01.5 202 London OHL
13. Collberg, Sebastian, RW 2/23/94 R 5.11 Vastra SweJE
14. Galchenyuk, Alexander, RW 2/12/94 L 6.00.5 198 Sarnia OHL
15. Kerdiles, Nicholas, C/L 1/11/94 L, 6.01.5 200 USA Under-18 NTDP
16. Faksa, Radek, LW 1/9/94 L 6.03 202 Kitchener OHL
17. Wilson, Thomas, RW 3/29/94 R 6.03.5 203 Plymouth OHL
18. Finn, Matthew, LD 2/24/94 L 6.00.25 195 Guelph OHL
19. Lindholm, Hampus, LD 1/20/94 L 6.02.5 196 Rogle SweJE
20. Aberg, Pontus, LW 9/23/93 R 5.11 187 Djurgarden SweE
21. Koekkoek, Slater, LD 2/18/94 L 6.02 184 Peterborough OHL
22. Pouliot, Derrick, D 1/16/94 L 5.11.25 186 Portland WHL
23. Laughton, Scott, C 5/30/94 L 6.00 177 Oshawa OHL
24. Girgensons, Zemgus, F 1/5/94 L 6.01.25 201 Dubuque USHL
25. Sissons, Colton, C/R 11/5/93 L 6.01 189 Kelowna WHL
26. Skjei, Brady, LD 3/26/1994 L 6.03 203 USA Under-18 NTDP
27. Henrik Samuelsson C 2/7/94 R 6.02 195 Edmonton WHL (NR)
28. Dalton Thrower, D, 12/20/93 R 5.11.00 179 Saskatoon WHL (-1)
29. Bystrom, Ludvig, LD 7/29/94 L 6.00.75 208 Modo SweE (-1)
30. Adam Pelech, LD 8/16/94 L 6.02 210 Erie OHL (-1)

Falling out of the top-thirty: Tomas Hertl (30).

ISS assessed each team’s prospects assigning them a grade and here’s how the league looks to them:
A
Edmonton
A-
Los Angeles, Washington
B+
Chicago, St. Louis, Winnipeg
B
Colorado, Florida, Minnesota, Islanders, Philadelphia, Phoenix
B-
Anaheim, Boston, Carolina, Montreal, Nashville, Rangers, Ottawa, Pittsburgh, Tampa
C+
Calgary, Columbus, Detroit, New Jersey, Toronto, Vancouver
C
San Jose
C-
Dallas

In 2010 Ottawa’s prospects were given a C+ grade (with Kirill Lyamin on the horizon!), while in 2011 they also received a C+ (with Lyamin still “on the horizon”).  ISS see’s the following Sens prospects as on the horizon going into next season: Patrick Wiercioch, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Robin Lehner, Ben Bishop, Jakob Silfverberg, and Ben Blood.  They believe Ottawa “Needs help everywhere, priority should be Big center and in goal.”  Their selections are somewhat odd, with Pageau appearing ahead of Mark Stone, Stefan Noesen, Mika Zibanejad, etc (but then again they had Lyamin previously and the Zibanejad comment below).

In the ISS mock draft they have Ottawa selecting Brandan Gaunce with the 15th overall pick, saying “The Sens smashed a home run with Zibanejad last year and have seen their defensive prospects emerge well. Gaunce fits their strategy and needs. He makes them a very difficult team to play against in the near future.”  In 2011 they predicted Ottawa would select Ryan Strome.

My overall impression of ISS remains the same.  It’s a very useful guide to the draft, but I think their specific team analysis lacks sophistication and has to be taken with a grain of salt.  In terms of predictive success, ISS had the largest percentage of players selected in the draft last year (60%) compared to all the other draft guides (link), although their player-by-round predictions lagged behind most other outlets (Red Line Report, Future Considerations, and Hockey Prospects, only beating out The Hockey News).

Senators News: May 28th

-Capgeek has contract numbers for Darren Kramer (600k) and Jakub Culek (590k).

Scott Cullen has posted his off-season game plan for Ottawa: “The Ottawa Senators were the surprise team of the NHL last season, making the playoffs in a year that was expected to be a rebuilding effort. There is a lot to like about a Sens team that has quality prospects on the way and received solid contributions from several rookies last season, but there are also reasons to be wary. Consider that Sergei Gonchar and Daniel Alfredsson both had bounceback seasons in their late-30s, or that defenceman Erik Karlsson had the most points by a defenceman in more than a decade, or that both Jason Spezza and Milan Michalek stayed uncharacteristically healthy. Any of these factors could reverse course and come back to stall the Sens’ progress next season, but there is at least reason to be optimistic that Ottawa is in position to better handle any potential shortcomings — certainly better prepared than anyone could have imagined they would be at this time last year. GM Bryan Murray knows that, while his goaltending is solid with the trade deadline addition of Ben Bishop to complement Craig Anderson, he’ll have to address the blueline, where he has three unrestricted free agents that could leave and a restricted free agent in Erik Karlsson that will be in line for a dramatic raise in pay after his prolific offensive season. The forward group has depth, with lots of young challengers for roster spots, but could always use another proven scorer. Seeing as the Senators had the worst record among playoff teams last season, it doesn’t require much to believe that they could miss the postseason next year but, at the start of the 2011-2012 season, any talk of Ottawa making the playoffs was a pipe dream and we all saw how that played out. Needs: One top six forward, three defencemen.”  For the most part Cullen’s comments are spot on, but one of point to consider: Gonchar and Alfredsson‘s down years were the first of their careers, so stand as anomalies instead of their production this season.

-I only got one half of my Cup final (New Jersey facing the Kings), making my predictions half right.  The Western Conference finished without a single competitive series (only one went to six games!), sucking any drama one might have hoped for from the supposedly superior conference.  As for the finals, I expect the Kings will win.

-There’s not much to get excited about in this year’s playoffs, but I have enjoyed the slap in the face it is for all the journalists who’ve said you can’t win with Ilya Kovalchuk in the lineup.  There remains in some of the media an irrational dislike or suspicion over Russian players which I believe is because they make easy targets.  Just like when Swedes were soft or (for those of you old enough) when French Canadians were soft (thanks for that Don Cherry), it’s picking on a non-English speaking group without seeming influence on readership/viewership as a scapegoat for things someone dislikes.  Nationality has nothing to do with performance (I remember when journalists would earnestly say that no team with a European captain could win the Stanley Cup).  On top of that it’s amazing how glib people can get about one player.  An individual on a hockey team, even a great player, can’t win without a strong supporting cast (which is why Wayne Gretzky never won a Cup outside of Edmonton).  In the post lockout era in particular, only teams that have three productive lines have won the Cup.  I don’t think Kovalchuk has anything to prove, but it has been amusing to see him praised to the roof going into the Cup final given all the criticism he has received over the years (his success is somehow a slap in the face to Ovechkin, the new favourite whipping boy).

-The players attending the NHL draft combine have been announced.

Senators News: May 17th

Nichols writes an excellent season-in-review.  It’s long and entertaining and worth reading in its entirety.  A few things to point out: he reminds us of all the bad press Kyle Turris received for his holdout; he takes a realistic look at Chris Phillips‘ play (“no longer capable of playing top four minutes against the oppositions best forwards“); points out that only Erik Karlsson received negative feedback from journalists as a Norris Trophy candidate; comments that Chris Neil should not be on the powerplay; comes to the defence of Jason Spezza (he’s a little glib in suggesting Milan Michalek doesn’t generate offence); and finally, reminds us that the season can’t be replicated–there won’t be the same expectations going into next season.

-Speaking of Nichols, he says something unintentionally misleading in his article concerning the lack of negotiations with Matt Carkner.  He writes, “In light of the knee injuries that limited Carks to 29 games this season“, which isn’t entirely accurate.  Carkner missed 24 games due to injury; the other 24 he was a healthy scratch.

Pat Cannone is excited to be re-signed, “I’m really happy, really excited. It was a great day a couple days ago. I’m really happy to be part of the organization still. It’s really nice, really comforting to know that you’re wanted for more than one year. I’m just really thrilled, and I just want to work hard this summer to have a good start to the season. My main focus is my skating, just to get a little quicker, get my first two steps going. Everything else will take care of itself if I focus on that this summer and keep improving my strength. I took two, three weeks off to give my body a rest. As I get started, I’m going five days a week. Closer to training camp, I’ll go six, but also give the body a rest sometimes and go four. It all depends on how the body feels throughout the whole process. But for now I’m donig off-ice five days a week, and I’ll be skating three times a week once the summer’s going. Hopefully I can do a lot more of the same, pick up where I left off at the end of the year. I need to be more of a leader, more of a well-rounded player and continue to work hard. That’s one thing I always saw throughout my college career, if you work hard, you set yourself up for success. With that mentality, everything should go well. I feel like for my rookie season, I was an older guy, and I tried to be a sponge, soak in everything from the vets we had. I think I did a great job with that. Being a leader at Miami only helped me for that first year pro. I’m not getting any younger, so the more I play, the wiser I feel like I’ll be. Credit the leadership we had in Binghamton this year — Corey Locke, Mark Parrish, Timmy Conboy— they really helped me throughtout my first season. Coach Kleinendorst was great to me. He was a big influence, and he taught be a lot of things. He was awesome. I wish him luck wherever he goes. That being said, whoever is your coach, you have to keep soldiering on and try to adapt and do the best you can. Obviously, we didn’t finish where we wanted. But everybody will be a year older, a year wiser, a year stronger. We still have a handful of guys that were members of the Calder Cup championship team. If we can put all the right pieces together, we’ll be just fine. We have a good core, some good rookies coming in. I think it will be a good year. Even the guys who came in late, like Chris Wideman and Cole Schneider, got a chance to get a feel for everything. Things could have gone better, but it’s great those guys got to come. Wideman‘s a great buddy of mine, so I’ll take him under my wing. I’m sure everything will run very smoothly.”

Rory Boylen joins Stu Hackel and Greg Wyshynski in dismissing the criticism of shot-blocking in this year’s playoffs.  He points out that the number of shots blocked is statistically no different than the last few years and “It seems, for the most part, the teams who score 5-on-5 (when real skill is on display) enjoy success.”  There are two problems with this argument: 1) the five best 5-on-5 scoring teams are gone (only one of which made it to the second round) and only two of the top-sixteen are still around (Rangers and Coyotes)–a 50-50 success rate is not evidence for a trend; 2) the games themselves are dull.  Defensive hockey isn’t inherently exciting, but this year has punished teams that try to push the tempo.  Yes, there is more interference allowed in the post-season, but something else is going on and if it’s not shot-blocking I’d love to hear what these writers think it is.  The top-ten scoring teams are playing golf right now, leaving us with the 11th, 13th, 17th, and 29th.  Mediocrity is being rewarded and the answer isn’t great goaltending–that exists in every playoff year.

The International Scouting Service (ISS) has released their latest rankings and here’s the top-30 which features many changes (for the previous list go here; I’ve listed previous rankings in brackets where applicable):
1. Yakupov, Nail, LW 10/6/93 L 5.10.5 189 Sarnia OHL
2. Forsberg, Filip, RW 8/13/94 R 6.01 176 Leksands SweAl
3. Murray, Ryan, LD 9/27/93 L 6.00.5 201 Everett WHL (4)
4. Grigorenko, Mikhail, RW 5/16/94 L 6.03.25 200 Québec QMJHL (3)
5. Trouba, Jacob, RD 2/26/94 R 6.02 196 USA Under-18 NTDP
6. Dumba, Matt, RD 7/25/94 R 5.11.75 183 Red Deer WHL
7. Rielly, Morgan, LD 3/9/94 L 5.11.5 190 Moose Jaw WHL
8. Teuvo Teravainen, LW, 09/11/94, 5.11 161 Jokerit FinE
9. Ceci, Cody, RD 12/21/93 R 6.02.5 207 Ottawa OHL
10. Reinhart, Griffin, LD 1/24/94 L 6.03.75 207 Edmonton WHL
11. Gaunce, Brendan, C 3/25/94 L 6.02 215 Belleville OHL
12. Maatta, Olli, LD 8/22/94 L 6.01.5 202 London OHL (13)
13. Collberg, Sebastian, RW 2/23/94 R 5.11 Vastra SweJE (12)
14. Galchenyuk, Alexander, RW 2/12/94 L 6.00.5 198 Sarnia OHL
15. Kerdiles, Nicholas, C/L 1/11/94 L, 6.01.5 200 USA Under-18 NTDP (22)
16. Faksa, Radek, LW 1/9/94 L 6.03 202 Kitchener OHL (15)
17. Wilson, Thomas, RW 3/29/94 R 6.03.5 203 Plymouth OHL (27)
18. Finn, Matthew, LD 2/24/94 L 6.00.25 195 Guelph OHL (16)
19. Lindholm, Hampus, LD 1/20/94 L 6.02.5 196 Rogle SweJE (25)
20. Aberg, Pontus, LW 9/23/93 R 5.11 187 Djurgarden SweE (17)
21. Koekkoek, Slater, LD 2/18/94 L 6.02 184 Peterborough OHL (18)
22. Pouliot, Derrick, D 1/16/94 L 5.11.25 186 Portland WHL (19)
23. Laughton, Scott, C 5/30/94 L 6.00 177 Oshawa OHL (20)
24. Girgensons, Zemgus, F 1/5/94 L 6.01.25 201 Dubuque USHL (21)
25. Sissons, Colton, C/R 11/5/93 L 6.01 189 Kelowna WHL (23)
26. Skjei, Brady, LD 3/26/1994 L 6.03 203 USA Under-18 NTDP (24)
27. Dalton Thrower, D, 12/20/93 R 5.11.00 179 Saskatoon WHL (26)
28. Bystrom, Ludvig, LD 7/29/94 L 6.00.75 208 Modo SweE
29. Adam Pelech, LD 8/16/94 L 6.02 210 Erie OHL (NR)
30. Hertl, Tomas, LW 11/12/93 L 6.02 198 pounds Slavia CzeE (29)

Falling out of the top-thirty: Daniil Zharkov (30).

Senators News: May 15th

Daniel Alfredsson talked about his future as a coach, “I don’t see myself coaching too soon. I think it takes even more time at the rink than it does as a player to prepare! (He chuckles) Right now, I don’t think I’m ready for that. But I like the strategic aspect of the game. I read the game really well. I try to talk to our coaches about things I’d like to see at times. I’m interested in how the coaches think. I like that part of it. So I think I’d be a bit of both types. I think I can also challenge guys and motivate them in different ways.”

Doug MacLean says “In my opinion, he [Alfredsson] owes them another year and, unfortunately, (the Senators) have nothing to say about it. He can retire, I guess. Who knows? Maybe that’s the way the contract was structured.”  I sometimes wonder if even MacLean understands what he means, but I cite this nonsense simply because it’s amusing.

-Sens scout Bob Lowes talks about Mark Stone, “To be honest, I didn’t know that he would be that good. But I thought with his size (6-2, 188 pounds), with his hockey sense and he had enough of a skill set … he would be able to find a fourth-line checking role. He exceeded that, obviously. He had been hurt that year [when he was drafted] and there was a situation where he played lower in the lineup, based on all the trades they [Brandon] made and the experience they had. But I knew they didn’t want to trade him. He was asked for in a lot of trades, but they felt they couldn’t give him up. Randy and Chris have done a tremendous job with him in order to work on his skating, and then work on him getting stronger and work on his weaknesses. And then it’s his character to do everything and come back stronger, work on his skating … he wants to be a player and guys who want to be a player find ways to get better. He has some things you can’t teach, obviously, but the intangibles are going to be what makes him a player as well. I thought he would be (Brandon’s) top scorer and one of their better players, just based on the opportunity he would get because of all the players (who moved on) after the Memorial Cup. I thought he’d get more of an offensive shot. But to say he would do that well … I’d be lying if I said that.”

-As expected, Nikita Filatov signed a new deal in the KHL.  It remains to be seen if this will impact the Sens keeping his rights or not.

Red Line Report‘s latest issue is out with an updated list of 2012′s top prospects (with the position changes noted; for the previous report go here).  Coming into the 2011-12 season scouts believed the 2012 draft was going to be a deep one, but now the sentiment is the opposite.
1. Nail Yakupov (Sarnia, OHL)
2. Filip Forsberg (Leksand, Sweden)
3. Matt Dumba (Red Deer, WHL) (+2)
4. Ryan Murray (Everett, WHL) (-1)
5. Teuvo Teravainen (Jokerit, Finland) (+12)
6. Alex Galchenyuk (Sarnia, OHL)
7. Morgan Rielly (Moose Jaw, WHL)
8. Mikhail Grigorenko (Quebec, QMJHL) (-4)
9. Griffin Reinhart (Edmonton, WHL)
10. Andrey Vasilevski (Salavat, KHL) (+1)
11. Jacob Trouba (US NTDP, USHL) (+1)
12. Derrick Pouliot (Portland, WHL) (+2)
13. Olli Maatta (London, OHL) (+11)
14. Matt Finn (Guelph, OHL) (-1)
15. Pontus Aberg (Djurgarden, Sweden) (-5)
16. Radek Faksa (Kitchener, OHL)
17. Scott Laughton (Oshawa, OHL) (+26)
18. Cody Ceci (Ottawa 67s, OHL) (-3)
19. Zemgus Girgensons (Dubuque, USHL) (+1)
20. Hampus Lindholm (Rogle, Sweden) (+20)
21. Slater Koekkoek (Peterborough, OHL) (-3)
22. Sebastian Collberg (Frolunda, Sweden) (-14)
23. Jordan Schmaltz (Sioux City, USHL)
24. Henrik Samuelsson (US NTDP, USHL) (+4)
25. Scott Kosmachuk (Guelph, OHL) (-3)
26. Tomas Hertl (Slavia, Cze) (+4)
27. Damon Severson (Kelowna, WHL) (-8)
28. Tom Wilson (Plymouth, OHL) (+13)
29. Brady Skjei (US NTDP, USHL)
30. Oscar Dansk (Brynas, SEL) (-4)

Falling out of the top-30 were Brendan Gaunce (#31, -6), Phil Di Giuseppe (#32, -11), and Anton Slepyshev (#41, -13) . Here’s the movement among former top-30 players: Colton Sissons (#39, -4), Martin Frk (#40, -9), Troy Bourke (#51, +8), Nick Ebert (#53, -5), Chandler Stephenson (#56, -1), Gianluca Curcuruto (#70, -4), Jarrod Maidens (#90, +8), Eric Locke (#97, -2), Matia Marcantuoni (#109, -2), Calle Andersson (#122, -32), Patrik Machac (#185, -32), Ryan Olsen (#225, -4), and Luca Ciampini (NR).

Senators News: April 19th

-It’s remarkable that the Sens are tied in their series with the Rangers when their key players have yet to dominate.  Craig Anderson lost his best game of the series (game three), Jason Spezza has been a non-factor, Milan Michalek and Kyle Turris didn’t score until last night, Erik Karlsson has only one point, and Daniel Alfredsson only played one full game.  As a franchise, anything short of stellar play from their stars used to spell death for the Senators, but this year their depth has been good enough to win for them.

Kyle Turris talked about scoring the OT winner, “To score in the Stanley Cup playoffs, in overtime, is something that every kid dreams of. It was very exciting … that’s for sure. [Paul MacLean] come up to me in practice, told me not to grip my stick and that it’s going to come. He told me at the morning skate, ‘Don’t get down on yourself, you’re a good player. The puck is going to come to you. Don’t worry about it’. Stuff like that gives you all the confidence in the world and it allowed me to score the goal tonight, I think.”

-After all the playoff mayhem of late NHL officials cracked down last night as the three games combined for 32 powerplays (26 between the Ottawa and Philadelphia games alone).  It didn’t make the games safer (hooking calls aren’t related to dangerous hits), but I’m interested to see if it’s forms a trend.

-Elmira lost 2-0 to Florida last night, with Brian Stewart taking the loss; Bobby Raymond scored a goal for the Everblades.

Darren Kramer‘s Spokane Chiefs were eliminated last night, ending his CHL career.

Stu Hackel rips into Don Cherry saying in part, “It was [Monday’s Coaches Corner] vintage Cherry, filled with half-truths, distortions and deceptions, all calculated to counteract the rising anger among fans who don’t like what they have seen. And you will hear and read those who think like Cherry parrot what he says time and time again. His main points sort of sound sensible — until you really think about them and examine them rationally.  A shoulder to the head is not fighting.  A head being held and smashed into the glass is not fighting. Crosschecks to the head are not fighting. Jumping a non-combatant is not fighting. Sucker punches are not fighting. Launching yourself into a player along the boards or in open ice is not fighting.”  And so on and so forth.  Picking apart Cherry is easy and old hat, but he still gets ratings and people still repeat his talking points (The Team 1200 springs to mind), so it’s worth delving into his nonsense from time to time.

Red Line Report‘s latest issue is out with an updated list of 2012′s top prospects (with the position changes noted; for the previous report go link).  Coming into the 2011-12 season scouts believed the 2012 draft was going to be a deep one, but now the sentiment is the opposite.
1. Nail Yakupov (Sarnia, OHL)
2. Filip Forsberg (Leksand, Sweden)
3. Ryan Murray (Everett, WHL) (+2)
4. Mikhail Grigorenko (Quebec, QMJHL) (-1)
5. Matt Dumba (Red Deer, WHL) (-1)
6. Alex Galchenyuk (Sarnia, OHL) (+4)
7. Morgan Rielly (Moose Jaw, WHL) (-1)
8. Sebastian Collberg (Frolunda, Sweden)
9. Griffin Reinhart (Edmonton, WHL)
10. Pontus Aberg (Djurgarden, Sweden) (-3)
11. Andrey Vasilevski (Salavat, KHL)
12. Jacob Trouba (US NTDP, USHL)
13. Matt Finn (Guelph, OHL)
14. Derrick Pouliot (Portland, WHL) (+1)
15. Cody Ceci (Ottawa 67s, OHL) (-1)
16. Radek Faksa (Kitchener, OHL)
17. Teuvo Teravainen (Jokerit, Finland) (+1)
18. Slater Koekkoek (Peterborough, OHL) (-1)
19. Damon Severson (Kelowna, WHL)
20. Zemgus Girgensons (Dubuque, USHL)
21. Phil Di Giuseppe (U. Michigan, NCAA)
22. Scott Kosmachuk (Guelph, OHL)
23. Jordan Schmaltz (Sioux City, USHL)
24. Olli Maatta (London, OHL)
25. Brendan Gaunce (Belleville, OHL)
26. Oscar Dansk (Brynas, SEL)
27. Henrik Samuelsson (US NTDP, USHL)
28. Anton Slepyshev (Novokuznetsk, KHL)
29. Brady Skjei (US NTDP, USHL)
30. Tomas Hertl (Slavia, Cze)

No one fell out of the top-30 this month. Here’s the movement among former top-30 players: Martin Frk (#31, +7), Colton Sissons (#35, -3), Scott Laughton (#43, +6), Nick Ebert (#48, -17), Chandler Stephenson (#55, NR), Troy Bourke (#59, +1), Gianluca Curcuruto (#66, -15), Calle Andersson (#90, -11), Eric Locke (#95, -6), Jarrod Maidens (#98, -13), Matia Marcantuoni (#107, -2), Patrik Machac (#153, -20), Ryan Olsen (#221, -5), and Luca Ciampini (NR, -25).

Senators News: April 18th

Daniel Alfredsson did not participate in the morning skate today, but Mike Hoffman did.  While it seems unlikely that Hoffman will play, Paul MacLean wouldn’t discount it.

Paul MacLean talked about the Sens problems in their own zone, “In the game we feel we had, depending on who counts the scoring chances against, 10, 11 or 12. Four of them we had the puck on our stick, in our zone, and didn’t make the next pass to get it out of our zone. That turned into a scoring opportunity for them, and ultimately the goal that won the game. It’s been something we’ve worked on as a team, all year long, our execution with the puck, especially in the defensive zone. If there’s one thing we can do better, moving forward as a team, is to execute better, talk to each other, listen to each other … especially in our own defensive zone when we have the puck.”

Don Brennan has decided to start pumping Bobby Butler‘s tires, which is about as random as things get, but Paul MacLean did say “I thought Bobby skated real hard, played with a lot of energy. He got after the puck, shot the puck. It was a good game for him.”  He did play hard, but playing hard isn’t why you put him in the lineup–the entire Sens roster plays hard–Butler needs to produce to be effective.

Joy Lindsay writes about Binghamton’s forwards at the end of the season, with the main takeaway being that Pat Cannone was named the team’s top defensive forward.

-Here’s my profile of Mika Zibanejad.

Jacob Silfverberg‘s Brynas lost again yesterday so their series (which they lead 3-0) will go to a sixth game.

Stefan Noesen‘s Plymouth Whalers were eliminated last night.

Raffi Torres knocked out Marian Hossa last night.  It helped the Coyotes win and will losing Torres to suspension really hurt Phoenix going forward?  The media was all over Torres and I have to wonder if for once the NHL is going to put the hammer down with a significant suspension.

-The International Scouting Service (ISS) has released their latest rankings and here’s the top-30 which features many changes (for the previous list go link; I’ve listed previous rankings in brackets where applicable):
1. Yakupov, Nail, LW 10/6/93 L 5.10.5 189 Sarnia OHL
2. Forsberg, Filip, RW 8/13/94 R 6.01 176 Leksands SweAl (4)
3. Grigorenko, Mikhail, RW 5/16/94 L 6.03.25 200 Québec QMJHL (2)
4. Murray, Ryan, LD 9/27/93 L 6.00.5 201 Everett WHL (3)
5. Trouba, Jacob, RD 2/26/94 R 6.02 196 USA Under-18 NTDP
6. Dumba, Matt, RD 7/25/94 R 5.11.75 183 Red Deer WHL
7. Rielly, Morgan, LD 3/9/94 L 5.11.5 190 Moose Jaw WHL (8)
8. Teuvo Teravainen, LW, 09/11/94, 5.11 161 Jokerit FinE (29)
9. Ceci, Cody, RD 12/21/93 R 6.02.5 207 Ottawa OHL
10. Reinhart, Griffin, LD 1/24/94 L 6.03.75 207 Edmonton WHL
11. Gaunce, Brendan, C 3/25/94 L 6.02 215 Belleville OHL (7)
12. Collberg, Sebastian, RW 2/23/94 R 5.11 Vastra SweJE (11)
13. Maatta, Olli, LD 8/22/94 L 6.01.5 202 London OHL (12)
14. Galchenyuk, Alexander, RW 2/12/94 L 6.00.5 198 Sarnia OHL (16)
15. Faksa, Radek, LW 1/9/94 L 6.03 202 Kitchener OHL (17)
16. Finn, Matthew, LD 2/24/94 L 6.00.25 195 Guelph OHL (13)
17. Aberg, Pontus, LW 9/23/93 R 5.11 187 Djurgarden SweE (15)
18. Koekkoek, Slater, LD 2/18/94 L 6.02 184 Peterborough OHL
19. Pouliot, Derrick, D 1/16/94 L 5.11.25 186 Portland WHL
20. Laughton, Scott, C 5/30/94 L 6.00 177 Oshawa OHL (NR)
21. Girgensons, Zemgus, F 1/5/94 L 6.01.25 201 Dubuque USHL (21)
22. Kerdiles, Nicholas, C/L 1/11/94 L, 6.01.5 200 USA Under-18 NTDP (27)
23. Sissons, Colton, C/R 11/5/93 L 6.01 189 Kelowna WHL (26)
24. Skjei, Brady, LD 3/26/1994 L 6.03 203 USA Under-18 NTDP (14)
25. Lindholm, Hampus, LD 1/20/94 L 6.02.5 196 Rogle SweJE (NR)
26. Dalton Thrower, D, 12/20/93 R 5.11.00 179 Saskatoon WHL (21)
27. Wilson, Thomas, RW 3/29/94 R 6.03.5 203 Plymouth OHL (NR)
28. Bystrom, Ludvig, LD 7/29/94 L 6.00.75 208 Modo SweE (22)
29. Hertl, Tomas, LW 11/12/93 L 6.02 198 pounds Slavia CzeE (23)
30. Zharkov, Daniil, F 2/6/94 L 6.03 197 Belleville OHL (NR)

Falling out of the top-thirty: Stefan Matteau (24), Mike Matheson (25), Anton Slepyshev (28), and Jarrod Maidens (30).

Senators News: April 9th

Kevin Sellathamby turns off his spell check and looks at the Mike GreenErik Karlsson comparison.  It’s not something that worries me as a fan–I think Green is a more physical player, but looser defensively–but for those who are anxious for Karlsson to win the Norris it’s worth checking out.

-Here’s my review of the Sens regular season and my profile of Sens prospect Mark Stone.

Ian Mendes provides a boatload of trivia going into the Ottawa-Ranger series.  One bit not included: seven players who won the Calder Cup with Binghamton last year are on their roster–I’m guessing that’s a record.

Joy Lindsay Tweets that Mika Zibanejad is in Ottawa and is expected to play in Binghamton’s final two games on the weekend.

Nicholas J. Cotsonika points out that despite the supposed parity in the NHL no team outside the top-four conference seeds has won the Cup since 1995 (New Jersey).  Post-lockout, only three #8 seeds have won (3 times in 6 years; Edmonton in 06, Anaheim 09, and Montreal in 10) and only two #7’s (Colorado in 06 and Philadelphia in 10).  Cotsonika also provides his predictions and in Ottawa’s case see’s them losing in seven games with a realistic chance of an upset.

Chris Stevenson makes his first round predictions and picks the Sens to beat the Rangers in seven.

Central Scouting‘s final rankings for the 2012 draft were released this morning.  CS ranks players in an odd way, with goalies separated out and European and North American players compared only to each other.

-Here’s a look at the entertainment value of each series.  Defense tends to dominate the playoffs as scoring plunges due to a lack of special teams play.  From best to worst, here are the series worth watching (Greg Wyshynski tackles the same issue and his rankings are in brackets):
1. Pittsburgh-Philadelphia (1)
Both teams hate each other, have players who play on (and over) the edge, and they both play an aggressive style
2. Nashville-Detroit (3)
While the Preds are defensive minded, they use an aggressive forecheck system and that combined with the Wings puck-possession and the teams mutual animosity should produce entertaining hockey
3. Boston-Washington (2)
This could turn into a snore-fest, but both teams have the potential to play energetic styles
4. New York Rangers-Ottawa (6)
The Sens are a loose team defensively and like to push the pace, while the Rangers will forecheck aggressively
5. Vancouver-Los Angeles (4)
The Kings play a style that makes your eyeballs bleed, but if the Canucks can push the pace it might create some excitement
6. Phoenix-Chicago (7)
The Coyotes are yet another dull team to watch, but the Hawks are a fun team to watch and might force Phoenix into something palatable
7. St. Louis-San Jose (5)
A defensive juggernaut playing a notorious playoff choker
8. New Jersey-Florida (8)
Putting the style of play aside, does anyone care about this series?  Two of the NHL’s least interesting teams

-I had the misfortune of watching Sportsnet‘s playoff preview on Saturday and have no way to get my two hours back.  It featured Scott Morrison, Damian Cox, Denis Potvin, and a bunch of other people whose opinions hold the weight of a wet paper towel.  I sometimes wonder if TSN looks as good as it does simply because of how bad Sportsnet and Hockey Night in Canada are.  The analysis from Sportsnet can be summed up like this: Nick Kypreos played for the Rangers, Mike Keenan coached the Rangers, Neil Smith managed the Rangers, and, er, everyone is confused by criticism of Crosby and the Penguins and theorize it can only be professional jealousy.

-Not to be out done with useless analysis, Pierre McGuire threw his hat into the ring this morning on The Team 1200 and offered the following chestnuts: 1) the Rangers previous playoff failures (referencing 09 and 11, although the Rangers haven’t made it past the second round post-lockout) were not due to Henrik Lundqvist being overplayed, 2) the Rangers playoff failures make them better suited for success this year.  If there’s logic in that I can’t find it.  Let’s use Pierre-think on Ottawa: the Sens lost in 2010 as did Craig Anderson with Colorado, therefore those failures have taught them lessons that will lead to success.  Hell, if failure leads to success then the Canucks should win the Cup, right?  No, wait, 15 teams in the playoffs this year didn’t win last year, so they will all have success!  Given how rarely teams repeat as Stanley Cup winners, suggesting failure leads to success is going to work in at least one case every year.

Senators News: April 1st; Binghamton 1, Syracuse 2 (OT)

Jesse Winchester and Matt Gilroy return to the lineup while Rob Klinkhammer and Matt Carkner come out (ironically, the latter two players each had points last night, the first in nine games and first in eighteen respectively).

Steve Lloyd Tweets that Mika Zibanejad is coming over from Sweden (Djurgarden will be relegated) and he expects he’ll play some games in Binghamton.

-Binghamton lost 2-1 in overtime last night, with Robin Lehner making 39 saves.  Patrick Wiercioch scored the only goal, while Borowiecki, Dziurzynski, and Hamilton were a team low -2.  Here’s the box score and Joy Lindsay‘s game summary.

Patrick Wiercioch talked about the loss, “It’s been a long year, I feel like we’ve had a lot of those games where either we’ve been up a goal in the last five minutes, or we just couldn’t quite get in done in overtime. Robbie (Lehner) played phenomenal for us tonight, gave us a chance to even be in that game. Pretty disappointing that we couldn’t get him the two points.”

-Elmira lost 4-3 in a shootout with Brian Stewart taking the loss.  Bobby Raymond had an assist in Florida’s win.

Central Scouting looks at the top prospects for the 2012 draft and makes the following comparisons (to be taken with a grain of salt):
Nail Yakubov – Pavel Bure
Mikhail Grigorenko – Evgeny Malkin
Ryan Murray – Scott Niedermayer
Radek Faksa – Martin Havlat
Morgan Rielly – Duncan Keith
Filip Forsberg – Corey Perry
Malcolm Subban – Carey Price

Senators Prospect Review (2011-12)

While a number of Sens prospects are in the midst of the playoffs or getting ready to begin them, their regular seasons are over and it’s a good time to assess each prospect’s season and how they’ve grown or regressed.  When I say “prospect” I’m referring to those who are not playing in the NHL, AHL, or ECHL currently.  I’ll list the players in the order they were drafted (for detailed talent analysis of the 2011 picks go here).

Ben Blood (D-L, 6’3, DOB 1989, 4-120/07)
2010-11 NCAA N. Dakota 44-2-10-12 4th d-pts (ppg 0.27)
2011-12 NCAA N. Dakota 40-3-17-20 1st d-pts (ppg 0.50)

Ben Blood is the longest serving amateur in the organisation, hailing back to Bryan Murray’s first draft which was largely dominated by just-fired John Muckler’s philosophy.  Blood is a big, strong, defensive blueliner who is finishing his senior year at North Dakota.  He’s had a career year in points and I’m sure the Sens would like him to play in Binghamton once his college season is over (they offered him a deal last year, but much like Colin Greening a few seasons ago, he rejected it to play his final year in the NCAA).  When he was drafted Blood was thought to be a well-rounded defenseman (link), but his offensive output in college has remained muted and he projects as a physical, depth player.

Jakob Silfverberg (C/W-R, 6’1, DOB 1990, 2-39/09)
2010-11 SEL Brynas 53-18-16-34 3rd pts (ppg 0.64)
2011-12 SEL Brynas 49-24-30-54 1st pts (ppg 1.10)

Silfverberg was signed this year, but decided to spend a final season in the SEL to round out his game.  He lead Brynas in scoring and was named league MVP by his fellow players (keep in mind this success doesn’t guarantee NHL success–consider how dominant David Rundblad was last year in the SEL).  He has a good chance to make the Senators next year because he’s always been responsible defensively and as such he doesn’t have to crack the top-six.  I don’t think there’s doubt that Silfverberg will be an NHL player, although his ceiling is up in the air (when he was drafted opinions varied about whether he would be a solid checking center or be able to play in the top-six).  Pierre Dorion talked about him last summer, “I can tell you this guy is an NHL hockey player. He plays a north-south game, he’s strong down low, he’s got good skills and good (hockey) sense. He can play the power play, but he also plays the penalty kill. He’s a versatile player. For a European, he competes, he’s strong on the puck and shoots it well. The one thing that’s got to pick up is his quickness off the mark. If he can work on that … that’ll determine where he plays in the NHL. If that quickness off the mark can be just a tad better, he’s a top-two line player. If not, he’s a third-line player.”

Chris Wideman (D-R, 5’10, DOB 1990, 4-100/09)
2010-11 NCAA Miami 39-3-20-23 1st d-pts (ppg 0.58)
2011-12 NCAA Miami 40-4-19-23 1st d-pts (ppg 0.57)

An undersized, puck-moving blueliner, Wideman is finishing his senior year at Miami and I expect the Sens to sign him when his college season is over.  He never topped his rookie production (39-0-26-26), but consistently remained Miami’s most productive blueliner over his four year career.  As with any undersized defenseman, his quickness (decision making and speed) will determine how well he adapts to the pro game (here’s an old scouting report on him, link).

Jeff Costello (LW, 6’0, DOB 1990, 5-146/09)
2010-11 NCAA Notre Dame 44-12-6-18 11th pts (ppg 0.41)
2011-12 NCAA Notre Dame 28-5-7-12 9th pts (ppg 0.42)

Drafted out of the USHL, Costello has finished his second year at Notre Dame where.  His production remained unchanged in his injury-plagued season.  He’s a hard working energy forward who will likely finish out his collegiate career before turning pro.  Costello describes himself as “I think I’d fall as a very physical forward that likes to bang the body around. But at the same time, I have the ability to score. Not necessarily pretty goals, but I can get those dirty, greasy goals that you have to have. I like to lead by example, and really bring the physical part of the game and get a lot of that exposed out there.”

Brad Peltz (LW, 6’1, DOB 1989, 7-190/09)
2010-11 NCAA Yale DNP
2011-12 NCAA Yale 9-1-0-1 20th pts (ppg 0.11)

An off-the-wall pick, Peltz dressed for his first college games this season after being an extra player his entire freshman year.  A sniper, Peltz is a long term project expected to finish his collegiate career before turning pro.  The only scouting report I can find is from Pierre Dorion who said, “hard-working player with good sense … Didn’t play this year because of an infection. We were thinking about taking him last year … Going to Yale for four years. Will become a good college player and from there, we hope he can help us down the road.

Michael Sdao (D-L, 6’4, DOB 1989, 7-191/09)
2010-11 NCAA Princeton 27-3-7-10 4th d-pts (ppg 0.37)
2011-12 NCAA Princeton 30-10-10-20 1st d-pts (ppg 0.66)

Picked out of the USHL as one of the best fighters in the draft, he’s continued to improve the other parts of his game each year at Princeton.  This is his third season at Princeton and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Sens made him an offer to leave college early.  If his offensive game translates at the pro level he’s going to be a very pleasant surprise for Ottawa.  His coach Guy Gadowsky describes him as, “He can really shoot the puck, and he’s in even better shape: he’s definitely stronger, he’s definitely quicker, and he’s as focused on becoming the best hockey player as he can possibly be. I won’t say he’s changing – he’s still going to be a tough, hard-nosed defenceman – but he can definitely shoot the puck.

Jakub Culek (LW, 6’3, DOB 1992, 3-76/10).
2010-11 QMJHL Rimouski 54-7-15-22 12th pts (ppg 0.40)
2011-12 QMJHL Rimouski 55-13-27-40 5th pts (ppg 0.72)
WJC Czech Republic 5-1-3-4

While he rebounded from his terrible 10-11 season, Culek did not set the world on fire in his third season in the Q.  His upside was projected as a third-line player, but whether or not the Sens retain him remains to be seen.  He’s big, but not overly physical and doesn’t possess great offensive instincts.  His future in the organisation would be as a checking center.  When he was drafted ISS said, “Culek was one of Rimouski’s better player’s night in and night out. He centered one of Rimouski’s top two lines plus played both PP and PK minutes. He finished the regular season with decent numbers. He possesses above average puck skills, puck protection and hockey sense. His skating has shown improvement from the start of the year, with added strength. He is a big project with third line upside.

Marcus Sorensen (RW, 5’11, DOB 1992, 4-106/10)
2010-11 SupEl Djurgarden 31-14-22-36 4th pts  (ppg 1.16)
2010-11 SEL Djurgarden 7-1-1-2
2011-12 SupEl SkellefteaJ20 8-2-3-5
2011-12 Allsvenskan Boras 29-8-9-17 9th pts (ppg 0.58)

An off the wall pick, it was a rough year for Sorensen. He was signed by Skelleftea, but couldn’t make their lineup and spent time with their junior team before finishing the year on loan to Boras of the Allsvenskan.  The Sens have the same decision to make on Sorensen as they do with Culek–sign him or he becomes a free agent.  Projected as an energy forward, it will be interesting to see if the Sens keep him or not.  Anders Forsberg described him on draft day, saying “He’s a long (time) away. He’s a character guy who sticks his nose in everywhere he goes. He battles, he hits the (opponents). He just needs to put muscles on his body … he’s a raw, raw kid. We believe if we work with him well, we might get a home run. He has the potential to be a very good player. He has good hands and is a good skater.”

Mark Stone (RW, 6’2, DOB 1992, 6-178/10)
2010-11 WHL Brandon 71-37-69-106 1st pts (ppg 1.49)
2011-12 WHL Brandon 66-41-82-123 1st pts (ppg 1.86)
WJC Canada 6-7-3-10

He enjoyed a fantastic career year where he finished second in scoring (behind Brendan Shinnimin) in the WHL and was a star in the World Junior Championships.  He was signed before the season began and will be in Binghamton next year.  The year he was drafted he was projected as a fourth-line player, with Red Line Report saying, “Big winger has nice hands, but skating issues drop him on our list.  Stride saw improvement this season, but is still a problem – heavy footed and has a short stride.  Has good hands in close and a decent passing touch, but tends to be a garbage goal scorer and we’ve only seen rare glimpses of an accurate shooting touch.  Makes accurate passes and is especially adept at finding linemates in transition. Very good at protecting the puck, but skating keeps him from being able to drive the net with authority.  Despite good size and decent strength, doesn’t use the body at all.  Tends to be a bit timid in board battles and doesn’t initiate much contact.  Progress stalled this season due to broken thumb and concussion.”

Bryce Aneloski (D-R, 6’2, DOB 1990, 7-196/10)
2010-11 NCAA Nebraska-Omaha 39-2-17-19 2nd-d pts (ppg 0.48)
2011-12 NCAA Nebraska-Omaha 38-6-14-20 1st d-pts (ppg 0.52)

The Sens final pick of the 2010 draft, Aneloski played with Jeff Costello in Cedar Rapids after struggling with Providence in the NCAA.  A puck-mover, he finished his second season with Nebraska-Omaha where he lead the team in scoring and slightly improved his offensive totals over last year.  It’s safe to assume Aneloski will play at least one more year in the NCAA before considering turning pro.  He describes himself, “I think I’m a good puck-moving defenseman. I think I can make a good outlet pass. I think I can play good stick-on-stick in the d-zone and stuff like that. I’d say the biggest strength that’s come this year [09-10] has been my play in the offensive zone, just making a little bit more stickhandles, like the feel of the puck and stuff like that, and I think my shot, too, just by working at it this summer.”

Mika Zibanejad (C/RW, 6’2, DOB 1993, 1-6/11)
2010-11 SEL Djurgarden 26-5-4-9 17th pts (ppg 0.34)
2011-12 NHL Ottawa 9-0-1-1
2011-12 SEL Djurgarden 26-5-8-13 14th pts (ppg 0.50)
WJC Sweden 6-4-1-5

Zibanejad made the Senators to start the year, but lost his confidence and was loaned back to his club team Djurgarden.  He didn’t get the ice time the Sens thought he should as his team went through two coaching changes during the season.  The highlight for Zibanejad was the WJC, where he scored the gold medal winning goal for Sweden.  He will play with Ottawa or Binghamton next year.  RLR compared him to Brendan Morrow while ISS compared him to Jerome IginlaGoran Stubb said this about him, “Mika‘s a real power forward but also has soft hands, good vision and fine skating skills. He has tremendous balance and is hard to knock off the puck. He’s very strong in the battles along the boards, finishes checks with authority and has a heavy shot that he gets off quickly.”

Stefan Noesen (RW, 6’0, DOB 1993, 1-21/11)
2010-11 OHL Plymouth 68-34-43-77 t-1st pts (ppg 1.13)
2011-12 OHL Plymouth 63-38-44-82 1st pts (ppg 1.30)

An off the radar first-round selection, Noesen shook off a slow start to lead the Plymouth Whalers in scoring and improve on his production from last year.  He was signed by the Sens during the season, but he can only turn pro next year if he makes the Sens (which I think is very unlikely).  He should dominate the OHL next year and would play for the US at the WJC.  RLR compared him to Jamie Benn while ISS compared him to Colin WilsonPierre Dorion said, “He’s shown that he’s a power forward type of winger who was willing to go to the net and had good skills. He made plays off the rush and he’s got a really good shot. We believe he’s going to be a guy that helps us win down the road.”

Matt Puempel (LW, 6’0, DOB 1993, 1-24/11)
2010-11 OHL Peterborough 55-34-35-69 1st pts (ppg 1.25)
2011-12 OHL Peterborough 30-17-16-33 6th pts (ppg 1.10)

Puempel‘s season was derailed by a lengthy suspension followed by a concussion.  As such, it was largely a wasted season in terms of his development.  He was signed during the season and will join Binghamton for the end of their season.  Like Noesen, he can only turn pro in the fall if he makes the Sens, so expect him to return to Peterborough and challenge for a spot on Canada’s WJC roster.  Both ISS and RLR compared him to Patrick SharpThe Hockey News said, “He’s not a great skater, but he has good feet and is a pretty hard worker.”

Shane Prince (C-L, 5’10, DOB 1992, 2-61-11)
2010-11 OHL Ottawa 59-25-63-88 2nd pts (ppg 1.49)
2011-12 OHL Ottawa 57-43-47-90 2nd pts (ppg 1.57)

The intense Prince was picked by the Senators at the end of the second round.  He followed up his breakout season last year with another strong season this year.  He’ll likely be signed and join Binghamton in the fall.  As an undersized forward, it will be interesting to see how his game translates at the pro level.  RLR was a big fan, saying, “We love everything about him – except his inability to stay healthy.  Plays much bigger than his mediocre size; edgy player who isn’t afraid to stick his nose in – very competitive and smart.  Biggest concern in his penchant for carrying the puck into traffic without regard for his body – takes some big hits to make plays but also ended up with a bum shoulder and a head/neck injury late in the season.  Has terrific speed and is an agile, elusive skater.  Makes imaginative passes at top end gear – excellent vision and playmaking skills.  Team catalyst has tremendous work ethic.  Blocks a ton of shots on the PK unit and starts dangerous rushes the other way, transitioning from defence to offence in a heartbeat.  His team was one of the OHL’s best with him in the lineup, and couldn’t win a game when he was out injured.”

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C/RW, 5’9, DOB 1992, 4-96/11)
2010-11 QMHL Gatineau 67-32-47-79 1st pts (ppg 1.17)
2011-12 QMJHL Gatineau/Chicoutimi 46-32-33-65 3rd pts (ppg 1.41)

The Sens Pierre Dorion is a huge fan of the undersized Pageau‘s, who was the dominating leader for Gatineau before a trade to Chicoutimi saw a drop in his production.  There’s little reason to doubt that he will be signed and join Binghamton in the fall.  As he’s very responsible defensively, it’s less incumbent on Pageau to score at the next level.  The Hockey News said, “Hardworking and very talented, size is an obvious handicap.”

Fredrik Claesson (D-L, 6’0, DOB 1992, 5-126/11)
2010-11 SEL Djurgardens 35-2-0-2 7th d-pts (ppg 0.05)
2011-12 SEL Djurgardens 47-1-6-7 t-5th d-pts (ppg 0.14)
WJC Sweden 6-0-0-0

A defensive defenseman, Claesson is a teammate of Zibanejad‘s and continued his strong, safe play with struggling Djurgarden this year (he was also a member of Sweden’s gold medal winning WJC team).  He might return to the SEL for another season, or the Sens may sign him and start him in Binghamton depending on how far along they think he is.  I haven’t been able to find a decent scouting report on Claesson, but the organisation has compared him to Anton Volchenkov.

Darren Kramer (C-L, 6’1, DOB 1991, 6-156/11)
2010-11 WHL Spokane 68-7-7-14 18th pts (ppg 0.20)
2011-12 WHL Spokane 71-21-19-40 7th pts (ppg 0.56)

The overage draft pick was considered the best fighter in the draft and considered a great team guy.  The Sens sent him to Spokane with the instruction to work on his skills and he responded with a career year.  He had 46 fights his draft year, but cut the fisticuffs down to 26 this year.  He will be signed and join Binghamton in the fall. Describing himself he said , “People ask me why I do it and I say ‘if I could score 47 goals, I’d do it that way. But after you get to a certain age, you see the guys get better and spots become limited on teams. So I figured out (fighting) was something I enjoyed doing and I wasn’t too bad at it, either. I started fighting and playing an energy role. But I didn’t fight just to fight. I did it for the right reasons and tried to pick my spots properly and try to motivate the team and the crowd at times.”

Max McCormick (LW, 5’11, DOB 1992, 6-171-11)
2010-11 USHL Sioux City 55-21-21-42 4th pts (ppg 0.76)
2011-12 NCAA Ohio 27-10-12-22 t-3rd pts (ppg 0.81)

The former Wisconsin Mr. Hockey winner enjoyed a strong (if injury-plagued) rookie season with Ohio State, playing with fellow Senator draft pick Ryan Dzingel.  A long term prospect, he’ll likely finish his NCAA career before turning pro.  McCormick is talented offensively and plays a physical game (link).

Jordan Fransoo (D-R, 6’2, DOB 1993, 7-186/11)
2010-11 WHL Brandon 63-6-12-18 4th d-pts (ppg 0.28)
2011-12 WHL Brandon/Victoria 71-3-18-21 2nd d-pts (ppg 0.29)

An off-the-radar pick by the Sens, Fransoo was a teammate of fellow Senators draft pick Mark Stone, but was traded mid-season to Victoria.  He improved slightly on his point totals, but Fransoo is seen more of a shutdown blueliner so they are less relevant.  He will return to the WHL next year to continue developing his game.  Quality scouting reports on him are lacking, but he’s considered a hard-working competitive player (link).

Ryan Dzingel (C-L, 6’0, DOB 1992, 7-204/11)
2010-11 USHL Lincoln 54-23-44-67 1st-pts (ppg 1.24)
2011-12 NCAA Ohio 33-7-17-24 t-1st-pts (ppg 0.72)

One of the USHL’s top scorers when drafted, Dzingel finished tied for the point-lead at Ohio State, but slowed down considerably as the season wore on.  A long term prospect, he’ll finish his NCAA career before turning pro.  Primarily a play-maker, Dzingel will need to bulk up over his collegiate career (link).