Looking Back on Round One of the 2011 NHL Draft

The first round is in the books and it featured a barrage of trades along with the 30 players selected.  Here I’ll take a quick look to see how I (and my sources) did in predicting tonight’s results.

Precise predictions (player X going at #X) are almost impossible.  Last year Bob McKenzie of TSN lead the way with 6/30 (I was one behind him).  This year has produced very similar results:

4/30 – myself, TSN (Bob McKenzie), and FC (Future Considerations)
3/30 – RLR (Red Line Report) and HP (Hockey Prospect)
2/30 – ISS (International Scouting Service)
1/30 – THN (The Hockey News)

The more important thing to look at is how many players selected to be drafted in the first round actually were.  Last year I edged out TSN by one (26/30), but this year there’s a three-way tie for accuracy:

25/30 – myself, TSN, and FC
24/30 – RLR
23/30 – HP
22/30 – ISS
21/30 – THN

Of the truly off-the-board selections, no one had Stefan Noesen (21st, Ottawa) or Phillip Danault (26th, Chicago) as potential first rounders.  Rickard Rakell (30th, Anaheim), and Stuart Percy (25th, Toronto) were only selected by one source as first round selections while Conner Murphy (20th, Phoenix) appeared in only two.

The highest ranked players who were not selected are 5’6 Rocco Grimaldi, Brandon Saad (whose production tailed off in the second half), Ty Rattie, and Tomas Jurco.

The first round is the easiest to predict (although our friends at THN continue to struggle), so tomorrow the test will be tougher.  Last year I managed 126/180 (70%) and I hope to improve on that this time around.


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