Senators News: April 4th

-The Sens loss last night means they can only face either Boston or the New York Rangers.  There’s no doubt that the team would be better off against the Rangers, but in either case they will be heavy underdogs.  As neither the Bruins, Rangers, nor the Sens have anything to play for in their final two games, no conclusions can be drawn by what happens over the next several days.  The key for Ottawa is to stay healthy.

Daniel Alfredsson can’t understand how Chris Neil‘s goal was called off last night, “I cannot believe that wasn’t a goal. In Winnipeg (Evander Kane) scored the exact same way and he didn’t use his hand to bat it in. It should have been a good goal.”

Sport Illustrated‘s rankings are out with Ottawa 11th.

-Here’s my profile of Sens prospect Jakub Culek.

-Elmira lost last night, with Brian Stewart taking the loss (Stewart, incidentally, was named the ECHL goaltender of the month for March).

-No one should care what Mike Milbury thinks, but his rant about Sidney Crosby is an opportunity to talk about the NHL’s marketing focus.  Crosby is a great player, arguably the best player of his era, but the idea that he should be immune to criticism (recall his elbow on Nick Foligno earlier this season) is absurd.  He’s a histrionic, chippy player (Craig Berube weighs in, although as one of the Flyers assistant coaches it’s in his interest to criticise) and even if he wasn’t no one is beyond reproach.  It does seem like criticising him is unacceptable around the league however (as Milbury‘s subsequent apology illustrates)–it reminds me of the approach to the league’s officiating–“best in the world” is the only acceptable narrative.

Prospect Profile: Jakub Culek

Jakub Culek (LW, 6’4, DOB 1992, 3-76/10)
2008-09 Czech U18 Plzen 29-15-16-31 98pim (ppg 1.06) 4th pts
2008-09 Czech U20 Plzen 12-3-2-5 10pim (ppg 0.41)
2009-10 QMJHL Rimouski 63-13-34-47 Even 54pim (ppg 0.74) 8th
2010-11 WJC Czech 6-1-1-2 (ppg 0.33) 11th
2010-11 QMJHL Rimouski 54-7-15-22 +2 37pim (ppg 0.40) 12th
2011-12 WJC Czech 5-1-3-4 (ppg 0.80) 4th
2011-12 QMJHL Rimouski 55-13-27-40 +3 58pim (ppg 0.72) 5th

Ottawa’s highest draft pick in 2010 (ranked #52 by Central Scouting), Culek rebounded from a terrible season last year.  Projected as a third-line player, the Sens have to make a decision on whether to retain him or not.  When he was drafted ISS said, “Culek was one of Rimouski’s better player’s night in and night out. He centered one of Rimouski’s top two lines plus played both PP and PK minutes. He finished the regular season with decent numbers. He possesses above average puck skills, puck protection and hockey sense. His skating has shown improvement from the start of the year, with added strength. He is a big project with third line upside.”  Red Line Report (who ranked him #70) said, “Big power winger has a good stride, but lacks balance.  Long wingspan that he uses to shield off defenders. Has improved his puck skills dramatically since last season [with Plzen], when he was essentially a big body who played a rugged game along the walls. Is a more confident puck-handler–willing to carry through the neutral zone and make moves off the rush. Nice release on wristers from the slot area, but is not a natural finisher around net. Creates his offence through hard work and aggression, banging and crashing down low and driving to net with and without the puck. Occasionally ridden off the puck too easily by smaller d-men he should be overpowering. Shows defensive awareness to cut off passing lanes and drop back to cover for rushing d-men. Fine prosepct if he continues to round the rough edges and add pieces to his game.”  Sens scouts Greg Royce and Vaclav Burda talked about Culek after the draft, echoing the sentiments above.  This is Culek scoring against Russia at the World Junior Championships.

Ottawa 1, Carolina 2

I was at tonight’s game and as expected it was a letdown with the Sens having secured their playoff spot.  The game was slow and dull, despite a rambunctious crowd.  It wasn’t a stellar night for the officials (Greg Kimmerly and Chris Rooney), but the Sens suffered more from a no-goal call under video review (continuing the trend of rulings against them this season) and sloppy play throughout the game.  Here’s the box score.  I don’t have my period-by-period breakdown, but there frankly weren’t many meaningful plays in the game.  The biggest moments not mentioned above were Chris Neil‘s breakaway (stopped by Ward) and Erik Karlsson saving a goal when Anderson fanned on the puck while out of his net.

A look at the goals:
1. Carolina, Sutter
Begun by a Condra turnover, Sutter’s harmless shot simply goes through Anderson
2. Carolina, Ruutu (pp)
Deflected the puck in off Kuba
3. Spezza (Greening, Alfredsson)
Great play in front of the net by Greening to get Spezza an empty net to shoot in

Top-performers:
Chris Neil – scored a goal (called back) and tried to add energy to the game

Players Who Struggled:
Craig Anderson – let in a bad goal and nearly surrendered another (Karlsson bailed him out)

Senators News: April 3rd

Bryan Murray talked about the Sens being in the playoffs, “I think anything can happen. I think we can play with anybody. I’m not going to say that we want to start (the playoffs) tomorrow. But I think we can play with most teams. Craig Anderson in goal gives us a chance every night, and when you have that to start with, it gives a lot of confidence to the group. To be fair to the people, many of them, they didn’t know our group as well as we think we knew them. (The experts) looked at (Chris) Phillips, (Filip) Kuba, (Sergei) Gonchar, (Daniel Alfredsson) and even (Jason Spezza) to a degree and felt that they weren’t able to rebound to the level that they did (this year). The other thing people didn’t respect is that we had a group in the minors that won a championship. When you win … they grew a great deal in that two-month period. They weren’t the big scorers, but they came in and gave us role definition. They allowed us to play hard every night. I don’t know whether it was a rebuild or what it was, but we kept our core guys. It’s a great achievement for our group and important for our fan base. I believe things will only get better as we go forward.”

Murray was on The Team 1200 and said he hopes Mika Zibanejad will play in Binghamton’s final two games after Djurgarden’s season is over on Friday.  He said it was very unlikely that Zibanejad would play for Ottawa in the playoffs.

The Hockey News and TSN‘s power rankings are out with Ottawa 11th and 10th (“the most surprising success story for an NHL team this season“).

Nichols has an interesting statistical breakdown of Erik Karlsson compared to the other Norris trophy candidates (he also compares him to the other Sens blueliners).  I think it’s unlikely Karlsson will win the trophy irrespective of his relative merits, but the numbers are worth checking out.

Joy Lindsay Tweets Binghamton’s lines at practice: Schneider-Cannone-Grant, Hoffman-Da Costa-Downing, Dziurzynski-Hamilton-Petersson (Lessard), Puempel-Bartlett-Cowick; Borowiecki-Schira, Henningson-Conboy, Wiercioch-Gryba.

-Here’s my profile of Sens prospect Brad Peltz.

Ken Campbell writes about how mis-management has hurt Canadian franchises (true), but makes the mistake of downplaying the value of the Canadian dollar in the ability of Canadian franchises competing (he brings up Winnipeg without making the connection that they wouldn’t have a franchise without the higher dollar).

-Prospect updates for those still playing (their position in team scoring is noted in brackets, defence compared to defence):
CHL
Stefan Noesen (C/RW, Plymouth, OHL) 6-7-7-14 (1st) (Plymouth defeated Guelph 4-2)
Shane Prince (C/LW, Ottawa 67s, OHL) 6-4-3-7 (t-1st) (67′s defeated Belleville 4-2)
Mark Stone
(RW, Brandon, WHL) 5-2-3-5 (2nd) (Brandon defeated Calgary 4-1)
Jakub Culek (C/LW, Rimouski, QMJHL) 4-2-2-4 (t-5th) (Rimouski defeated Val-D’Or 4-0)
Darren Kramer (C/LW, Spokane, WHL) 5-2-2-4 (t-5th) (Spokane defeated Vancouver 4-2)
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (RW, Chicoutimi, QMJHL) 4-0-4-4 (t-6th) (Chicoutimi defeated Acadia-Bathurst 4-2)
Jordan Fransoo (D, Victoria, WHL) 4-0-2-2 (t-1st) (Victoria was eliminated by Kamloops 0-4)
SEL
Jakob Silfverberg (C/RW, Brynas) 10-7-5-12 (1st) (Brynas lead Farjestad 3-1)
Mika Zibanejad (C/RW, Djurgarden) 8-3-2-5 (3rd) (Djurgarden is 2-2-4 in relegation with two games left to play)
Fredrik Claesson (D, Djurgarden) 8-1-1-2 (3rd) (Djurgarden is 2-2-4 in relegation with two games left to play)
Allsvenskan
Marcus Sorensen (RW, Boras) 6-2-0-2 (10th) (Boras is 5-2-1 in relegation with two games left to play)

Prospect Profile: Brad Peltz

Brad Peltz (LW, 6’1, DOB 1989, 7-190/09)
2007-08 USHS Avon 27-12-19-31 12pim (ppg 1.14) 5th pts
2008-09 USHS Avon DNP (illness)
2009-10 EJHL Boston 45-19-15-34 28pim (ppg 0.75) 5th
2010-11 NCAA Yale DNP
2011-12 NCAA Yale 9-1-0-1 Even 2pim (ppg 0.11) 20th

An off-the-wall pick (here’s a Sens TV interview right after he was drafted), Peltz dressed for games for the first time this season after being an extra player his entire freshman year.  A sniper, Peltz is a long term project expected to finish his collegiate career before turning pro (one presumes he’ll play more next season).  The only scouting report I can find on him is from Pierre Dorion who said, “hard-working player with good sense … Didn’t play this year [2008-09] because of an infection. We were thinking about taking him last year … Going to Yale for four years. Will become a good college player and from there, we hope he can help us down the road.”  Here’s a clip of him playing at last summer’s development camp (he nearly gets into a scrap with Shane Prince beginning at 3:09).

Senators News: April 2nd; Binghamton 6, Hershey 5 (SO)

Paul MacLean talked about the team clinching their playoff berth, “I know that in this league it’s always a realistic possibility (to make the playoffs) but I also know that it’s real difficult. What I wanted to do, like we’ve said all season, is come in and build a foundation for winning in the future. And whenever that future is — is it now? — I don’t know. But once you’re in the playoffs, it’s difficult, but when you have the opportunity, anything can happen, and sometimes it does.”

Ian Mendes writes an interesting article about a team meeting just after the Sens 5-1 loss to Montreal, Alfredsson described it as “Coach mentioned that we were playing a little bit too cautious – like we were happy to just be hanging around games instead of going out and initiating. Stay positive and be more aggressive – I think that was the message. It’s do or die right now. We can’t wait for anything to happen.”

John Kreiser offers his reasons for how the Sens made the playoffs this year: 1. Erik Karlsson, 2. Paul MacLean, 3. Daniel Alfredsson, 4. Jason Spezza, 5. Craig Anderson, and 6. Milan Michalek.

ESPN‘s power rankings are out, with Ottawa 9th.

-Binghamton blew a three-goal lead in the third period, but managed to beat Hershey in the shootout (going 13 rounds before Eric Gryba won it).  Da Costa lead the way with three points, while Downing and Schira were a team-worst -2.  Robin Lehner made 30 saves for the win.  Here’s the box score and Joy Lindsay‘s game summary.

Kurt Kleinendorst talked about the win, “Good for Robin. He’d probably tell you there were a few that he’d like to have back, but in the end, he made some really big saves for us. We’re fighting some demons, and we haven’t been able to conquer that yet. I give the guys a lot of credit, because that’s an awfully good team; they had a lot of life in the third, they found a way to come back and tie it up, and we did a nice job of keeping our composure toward the end. And then we got the two points, so good for us.”

-Here’s my profile of Sens prospect Jakob Silfverberg.

Sens Town has Shane Prince writing a diary for them (four entries are up, the first beginning in mid-March).  Unbeknownst to me, prior to Prince former Binghamton player Max Gratchev (signed to an AHL contract) was blogging for them up until he was traded.

-An update on the top college free agents (who has been signed and who remains available); for the original article go here:
Michael Blinn’s picks
Jack Connolly (38-18-38-56)
Kelly Zajac (36-8-33-41)
Mark Zengerle (37-13-37-50)
Troy Grosenik (1.66 .936)
Red Line Report‘s list (plus Blinn where marked with an *)
1. Danny DeKeyser* (38-5-11-16) decided not to turn pro
2. Nate Schmidt (39-3-33-36)
3. Jeremy Welsh (35-23-13-36)
4. Torey Krug* (37-12-21-33) Boston
5. J. T. Brown* (36-23-23-46) Tampa Bay
6. Brian Flynn* (37-17-29-46) Buffalo
7. Ludwig Karlsson (32-10-16-26)
8. Terry Broadhurst (38-16-20-36) Chicago
9. Chris Rawlings* (2.71, .916)
10. Brian O’Neill* (35-21-25-46) Los Angeles
11. Andrej Sustr* (33-4-13-17)
12. Drew Leblanc (10-2-10-12)
13. Nick Sorkin (37-9-26-35)
14. Pat Mullane (38-8-25-33)
15. Eriah Hayes (36-13-11-24)
16. Matt White (38-17-23-40)
17. Kyle Follmer (36-4-22-26)
18. Karl Stollery (37-7-14-21) Colorado
19. Spencer Abbott* (37-20-39-59) Toronto
20. Jack Maclellan (30-15-15-30) Nashville
21. Ross Mauermann (37-10-15-25)
22. Travis Oleksuk (38-21-29-50) San Jose

Prospect Profile: Jakob Silfverberg

Jakob Silfverberg (C/W-R, 6’1, DOB 1990, 2-39/09)
2007-08 SupEl Brynas 30-8-12-20 +5 8pim (ppg) pts
2008-09 SupEl Brynas 30-14-24-38 +23 6pim (ppg 1.26) 4th
2008-09 SEL Brynas 16-3-1-4 -1 2pim (ppg 0.25)
2009-10 SEL Brynas 48-8-8-16 +6 4pim (ppg 0.33) 11th
2009-10 Sweden WJC 6-3-2-5 0pim (ppg 0.83) 9th
2010-11 SEL Brynas 53-18-16-34 -12 16pim (ppg 0.64) 3rd
2011-12 SEL Brynas 49-24-30-54 -2 10pim (ppg 1.10) 1st MVP

Jakob Silfverberg, selected 39th overall in 2009 (ranked #12 among Europeans by Central Scouting), was signed by the Sens in the fall, but decided to spend a final season in the SEL to round out his game (“I feel like, for myself, that I need to get bigger and stronger, and better in every aspect of the game“).  He lead Brynas in scoring and was named league MVP by his fellow players.  He has a good chance to make the Senators next year because he’s always been responsible defensively and as such he doesn’t have to crack the top-six.  There’s no doubt that Silfverberg will be an NHL player, although his ceiling is up in the air.  When he was drafted opinions varied about whether he would be a solid checking center or be able to play in the top-six.  Hockey Futures‘ assessment echoes that doubt, “a strong skating two-way forward with good hockey sense. He is a very smart and mature player and is solid both offensively and defensively. Silfverberg has good technical skills and plays with plenty of intensity. His shot is quick, but could be more accurate and he could stand to play more physical. Opinions about Silfverberg‘s career differ. Some see a potential star player in him, while other see his potential limited to that of a role player“.  The Sens Pierre Dorion talked about him last summer, “I am as sure of him being an NHL player as anyone in this organization. I can tell you this guy is an NHL hockey player. He plays a north-south game, he’s strong down low, he’s got good skills and good (hockey) sense. He can play the power play, but he also plays the penalty kill. He’s a versatile player. For a European, he competes, he’s strong on the puck and shoots it well. The one thing that’s got to pick up is his quickness off the mark. If he can work on that … that’ll determine where he plays in the NHL. If that quickness off the mark can be just a tad better, he’s a top-two line player. If not, he’s a third-line player.”  Here’s a Sens TV interview with him after he was drafted, and here’s a highlight package.

Ottawa 5, New York Islanders 1

Missing two big pieces out of their lineup (Spezza and Alfredsson), the Sens dominated a disinterested Islanders team, cruising to an easy win that guarantees them a playoff berth.  Anderson was tested infrequently, the game being dominated by Kyle Turris and Milan Michalek.  Here’s the box score.

First Period
I missed the first chunk of the first period, but tuned in just in time for Tavares to bounce the puck in off Streit‘s skate.  Karlsson creates a good chance, but O’Brien can’t bang in his rebound.  Turris tied the game on a great individual effort.  Ottawa carried the play throughout the period.
Second Period
The Sens got an early powerplay, but Karlsson gave up a breakaway to Grabner that Anderson stopped.  Ottawa scored subsequently with a great play finished off by GoncharMichalek expands the lead when he steals the puck and slides the puck under Montoya.  As the period continued at a laconic pace, the Sens added to their lead when Foligno banged in Winchester‘s rebound.
Third Period
Ottawa continued to dominate in the lifeless game.  Turris added to the lead on the powerplay picking up Foligno‘s rebound. Streit hit the post as the Sens went to sleep towards the end of the period.

A look at the goals:
1. NYI, Streit
Tavares bounces the puck in off Streit’s skate
2. Turris (Gonchar, Michalek)
Michalek knocks the puck loose from a scrum behind the net, Gonchar finds Turris, and he picks up his own blocked shot to score
3. Gonchar (Michalek, Turris) (pp)
Great pass by Michalek to Gonchar who one-times it in
4. Michalek (Turris, Butler)
Steals the puck from Reasoner and then slides it underneath Montoya and off Reasoner’s skate and in
5. Foligno (Winchester, Greening)
Winchester slides the puck under Montoya and Foligno bangs it in
6. Turris (Foligno, Karlsson) (pp)
Foligno drives the net and Turris bangs in the rebound

Top-performers:
Kyle Turris – a dominating performance
Milan Michalek – see above
Erik Condra – still snake-bitten when it comes to scoring, but was excellent defensively

Players Who Struggled:
Matt Gilroy – continues to play his way off the roster

Binghamton at the Seventy-Game Mark

Binghamton has played 70 games and it’s time to take a look at how they’ve done over the last 10 (for the previous segment go here link). The B-Sens were 3-5-2 for ten points (one less than the previous ten game segment). They continue to be 5th in the division, 15th in the conference, and 30th in the league. They are tied for 20th in goals for (unchanged) and remain 28th in goals against. Player’s stats (INJ=games missed due to injury, SCR= scratched, SUS=suspended, NHL=games in the NHL, ECHL=games in the ECHL):

Pat Cannone 10-3-5-8 -3
Andre Petersson 9-6-0-6 -2 INJ 1
Patrick Wiercioch 10-2-4-6 -3
David Dziurzynski
10-2-3-5 -2
Mike Hoffman
10-2-3-5 -4
Jack Downing 10-1-4-5 +1
Stephane Da Costa 10-1-4-5 -2
Mark Parrish 10-2-2-4 -5
Craig Schira 10-2-1-3 -2
Wacey Hamilton
10-2-1-3 -5
Derek Grant
 10-0-3-3 -2
Tim Conboy 6-0-2-2 +2 INJ 4
Dan Henningson 10-1-1-2 -5
Mark Borowiecki 10-0-2-2 -2
Corey Cowick
6-0-1-1 Even (ECHL 4-4-1-5 +4) SCR 1
Eric Gryba
 8-1-0-1 -4 INJ 2
Josh Godfrey 8-0-1-1 Even SCR 2
Mike Bartlett 
9-0-1-1 +1 SCR 1
Louie Caporusso 6-0-0-0 Even (ECHL 2-3-1-4 Even) INJ 2
Cole Schneider 5-0-0-0 Even
Matt Puempel 3-0-0-0 Even SCR 2
Francis Lessard DNP SCR 10
Corey Locke (injured)
Bobby Raymond (ECHL 13-1-5-6 +7)
Mike McKenna 1-2-1 2.98 .917 (pulled once) GAA and SV decreasing
Robin Lehner 2-3-1 3.23 .908 (pulled twice) GAA and SV improved
Brian Stewart (ECHL 5-1-1 2.56 .917) GAA and SV improved

With Corey Locke out for the rest of the season, Pat Cannone lead the team in points playing on a line with Andre Petersson (who lead the team in goals).  Patrick Wiercioch is finally back to producing the way he was prior to his throat injury and his six points are double the next nearest blueliner.  Mike McKenna‘s numbers have started to slide the wrong way while Robin Lehner‘s are slowly improving.  Jack Downing and Tim Conboy were the only players to finish on the plus side of the ledger, while Mark Parrish, Wacey Hamilton, and Dan Henningson shared the team worst -5.  Rookies Matt Puempel and Cole Schneider have yet to produce on the ice, but neither is a minus player.

Senators News: April 1st; Binghamton 1, Syracuse 2 (OT)

Jesse Winchester and Matt Gilroy return to the lineup while Rob Klinkhammer and Matt Carkner come out (ironically, the latter two players each had points last night, the first in nine games and first in eighteen respectively).

Steve Lloyd Tweets that Mika Zibanejad is coming over from Sweden (Djurgarden will be relegated) and he expects he’ll play some games in Binghamton.

-Binghamton lost 2-1 in overtime last night, with Robin Lehner making 39 saves.  Patrick Wiercioch scored the only goal, while Borowiecki, Dziurzynski, and Hamilton were a team low -2.  Here’s the box score and Joy Lindsay‘s game summary.

Patrick Wiercioch talked about the loss, “It’s been a long year, I feel like we’ve had a lot of those games where either we’ve been up a goal in the last five minutes, or we just couldn’t quite get in done in overtime. Robbie (Lehner) played phenomenal for us tonight, gave us a chance to even be in that game. Pretty disappointing that we couldn’t get him the two points.”

-Elmira lost 4-3 in a shootout with Brian Stewart taking the loss.  Bobby Raymond had an assist in Florida’s win.

Central Scouting looks at the top prospects for the 2012 draft and makes the following comparisons (to be taken with a grain of salt):
Nail Yakubov – Pavel Bure
Mikhail Grigorenko – Evgeny Malkin
Ryan Murray – Scott Niedermayer
Radek Faksa – Martin Havlat
Morgan Rielly – Duncan Keith
Filip Forsberg – Corey Perry
Malcolm Subban – Carey Price